World Cup 2026
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Mexico2–0South Africa
Elo: Mexico +6 · South Africa −6
Pre-game odds: Mexico 87% · Draw 10% · South Africa 3%
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| South Africa goals → | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ← Mexico goals | 0 | 3.7% | 1.6% | ||||
| 1 | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% | ||||
| 2 | 15.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% | ||||
| 3 | 14.6% | 6.2% | 1.3% | ||||
| 4 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% | ||||
| 5+ | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | ||||
Gold = actual result (2–0).
Click a team name to view their stats.
| Country | Grp | Elo Δ | 1st (grp) | 2nd (grp) | 3rd (adv) | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain | H | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.4% |
 France | I | +0 | +0.6% | -0.4% | — | +0.2% | -0.5% | — | — | — | +0.3% |
 England | L | +0 | +0.3% | -0.2% | — | +0.2% | -0.2% | — | — | +0.4% | +0.1% |
 Croatia | L | +0 | -0.5% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% | — | — | +0.1% |
 South Korea | A | +0 | -1.1% | +1.6% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.2% | — |
| Mexico | A | +6 | +3.8% | -0.6% | -1.4% | +1.8% | +1.7% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +0.4% | — |
 Portugal | K | +0 | +0.1% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Panama | L | +0 | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.3% | — | — | +0.1% | — | — | — |
 Switzerland | B | +0 | -0.2% | — | +0.1% | — | -0.4% | — | -0.2% | — | — |
 Cabo Verde | H | +0 | — | +0.4% | — | +0.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Iraq | I | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Uzbekistan | K | +0 | +0.1% | — | -0.1% | — | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | — | — |
 Egypt | G | +0 | -0.2% | — | +0.1% | -0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Iran | G | +0 | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.2% | — | — | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | — |
 Qatar | B | +0 | — | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Sweden | F | +0 | +0.2% | -0.7% | +0.5% | — | -0.1% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Curaçao | E | +0 | — | — | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Ivory Coast | E | +0 | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -0.1% | — | — | +0.2% | — | — |
 New Zealand | G | +0 | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.4% | — | — | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | — |
| South Africa | A | -6 | -1.7% | -1.4% | — | -3.1% | -1.0% | -0.3% | — | — | — |
 Algeria | J | +0 | -0.2% | -0.2% | +0.3% | — | — | — | — | +0.2% | — |
 Jordan | J | +0 | +0.3% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | — |
 Ghana | L | +0 | — | +0.2% | -0.3% | — | +0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Netherlands | F | +0 | -0.3% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +0.1% | — | — |
 Australia | D | +0 | — | -0.2% | +0.3% | — | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.3% | — | — |
 DR Congo | K | +0 | — | +0.2% | — | +0.1% | — | +0.1% | — | — | — |
 Germany | E | +0 | -0.2% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -0.1% | — | -0.4% | -0.2% | — | — |
 Saudi Arabia | H | +0 | — | -0.3% | +0.2% | -0.1% | — | +0.1% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Canada | B | +0 | +0.4% | -0.6% | +0.2% | — | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.5% | -0.2% | — |
 Paraguay | D | +0 | — | -0.1% | +0.2% | — | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Haiti | C | +0 | +0.1% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | — | — |
 Tunisia | F | +0 | +0.1% | +0.1% | — | +0.2% | +0.3% | — | — | — | — |
 Czech Republic | A | +0 | -1.0% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.2% | — | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | — |
 Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | +0 | -0.1% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +0.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Turkey | D | +0 | +0.1% | — | — | — | — | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Austria | J | +0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -0.2% | — |
 Senegal | I | +0 | -0.2% | — | -0.1% | -0.3% | +0.3% | — | — | — | — |
 Scotland | C | +0 | -0.2% | — | +0.2% | — | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.3% | — | — |
 Japan | F | +0 | — | -0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | -0.2% | — | -0.2% | — |
 Colombia | K | +0 | -0.3% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.5% | -0.1% | — | — | — |
 Brazil | C | +0 | -0.3% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +0.1% | — | — |
 Uruguay | H | +0 | -0.1% | — | — | -0.2% | — | — | — | -0.1% | — |
 Morocco | C | +0 | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.5% | — | -0.1% | — | — | -0.2% | — |
 Norway | I | +0 | -0.5% | +0.5% | — | — | — | — | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
 United States | D | +0 | -0.1% | +0.4% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -0.2% | — | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
 Belgium | G | +0 | +0.3% | — | -0.3% | — | +0.9% | — | — | -0.1% | -0.1% |
 Argentina | J | +0 | — | — | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
 Ecuador | E | +0 | — | — | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.2% |