Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Saudi Arabia11Uruguay

Elo change: Saudi Arabia +22

Pre-game: 17% / 24% / 59%

Notable upsetdraw — Uruguay failed to win (Elo gap: 316)

Uruguay goals →
012345+
Saudi Arabia goals08.7%14.6%12.2%6.8%2.9%1.3%
16.7%11.2%9.4%5.2%2.2%1.0%
22.6%4.3%3.6%2.0%0.8%
30.7%1.1%0.9%0.5%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (1–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
ArgentinaJ+0-0.4%+0.4%+0.1%+0.1%+3.0%+1.8%+1.0%+0.4%+0.2%
ScotlandC+0-0.1%+0.6%-0.6%+0.3%+0.2%
NetherlandsF+0+0.8%-1.0%+0.5%+0.2%-0.4%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
PortugalK+0+0.1%-0.6%+0.7%+0.2%+0.4%-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
United StatesD+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.7%+0.3%
EnglandL+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%+0.3%
BelgiumG+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.5%+0.3%+0.1%-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
South KoreaA+0-0.5%+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+22-0.7%+6.3%+5.8%+11.3%+2.8%+1.1%+0.4%+0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.1%+0.5%+0.4%+0.6%+0.3%+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.1%+0.4%+0.1%+0.4%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%
PanamaL+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%+0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%
SwedenF+0-0.5%+0.8%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
CanadaB+0+0.2%-0.6%+0.3%-0.2%-0.1%-0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%
JapanF+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
IranG+0+0.1%+0.5%+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
IraqI+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%
TurkeyD+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
HaitiC+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.4%
GhanaL+0-0.3%+0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
CuraçaoE+0+0.2%+0.1%
QatarB+0-0.3%+0.2%
New ZealandG+0+0.5%+0.2%-0.1%+0.6%+0.3%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
South AfricaA+0+0.3%+0.4%-0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.1%+0.3%-0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.5%
TunisiaF+0+0.4%+0.4%
ParaguayD+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.1%-0.1%+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.6%+0.3%-0.2%+0.2%
JordanJ+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.3%-0.3%+0.4%-0.1%+0.2%-0.1%
NorwayI+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.8%-0.3%
EcuadorE+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0+2.3%+5.5%-7.0%+0.8%+0.3%
UzbekistanK+0+0.4%+0.2%-0.1%+0.4%+0.5%-0.1%
GermanyE+0-0.2%-0.5%-0.2%
DR CongoK+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.4%+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0+6.5%-7.9%-1.5%-0.7%-1.2%-0.7%-0.3%-0.3%
UruguayH-22-8.1%-3.9%-3.2%-15.2%-7.8%-4.4%-2.5%-1.3%-0.5%