Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Bosnia and Herzegovina31Qatar

Elo change: Bosnia and Herzegovina +26

Pre-game: 46% / 26% / 29%

Qatar goals →
012345+
Bosnia and Herzegovina goals07.0%8.0%4.6%1.7%0.5%
110.6%12.1%6.9%2.6%0.8%
28.0%9.2%5.3%2.0%0.6%
34.1%4.7%2.7%1.0%
41.5%1.8%1.0%
5+0.6%0.7%

Gold = actual result (3–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
NetherlandsF+0+0.3%-0.4%-0.4%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
MoroccoC+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
SpainH+0+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%+0.4%+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%
FranceI+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.4%-0.5%-0.4%-0.5%+0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.6%+0.4%+0.6%+0.7%+0.1%
JapanF+0-0.5%+0.4%+0.1%+0.4%+0.4%+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+26+51.2%+51.2%+9.9%+4.1%+1.0%+0.3%
GermanyE+0+0.6%+0.5%+0.4%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.3%-2.4%-2.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%
EnglandL+0+0.4%-0.4%+0.6%+0.5%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%+0.3%
GhanaL+0+0.1%-0.7%-0.5%
AustraliaD+0+0.4%-1.5%-1.1%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
South AfricaA+0+0.1%+0.2%
IranG+0-2.3%-2.3%-0.6%-0.4%-0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
PanamaL+0-0.2%-0.2%
CuraçaoE+0+0.1%+0.2%
JordanJ+0
EgyptG+0+0.1%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0-3.2%-3.2%-0.9%-0.4%
QatarB-26-25.0%-25.0%-2.1%-0.6%
New ZealandG+0+0.5%-0.2%+0.3%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.5%-0.2%-0.6%-0.2%
DR CongoK+0-1.2%-1.2%-0.9%-0.2%-0.1%
TurkeyD+0-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%
IraqI+0-2.0%-2.0%-0.2%-0.2%
BelgiumG+0-0.6%-0.3%-0.9%-0.3%-0.3%
SenegalI+0-0.4%-0.4%+0.4%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.2%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
CanadaB+0-0.3%-0.2%
ParaguayD+0-0.4%-2.0%-2.4%-1.4%-0.5%
UruguayH+0-0.3%-0.2%-2.2%-2.7%-1.2%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
SwedenF+0+0.2%-1.2%-1.0%+0.4%+0.1%
AustriaJ+0-0.3%-0.1%-0.5%+0.1%+0.1%
ScotlandC+0+0.1%-1.8%-1.6%-0.3%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.5%+0.1%+0.2%
CroatiaL+0-0.6%+0.3%-1.0%-1.2%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
South KoreaA+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%-0.9%-1.0%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
EcuadorE+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
PortugalK+0+0.4%-0.4%-0.4%-1.0%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%