Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Bosnia and Herzegovina3–1Qatar

Elo change: Bosnia and Herzegovina +26

Pre-game: 46% / 26% / 29%

Qatar goals →
012345+
← Bosnia and Herzegovina goals07.0%8.0%4.6%1.7%0.5%
110.6%12.1%6.9%2.6%0.8%
28.0%9.2%5.3%2.0%0.6%
34.1%4.7%2.7%1.0%
41.5%1.8%1.0%
5+0.6%0.7%

Gold = actual result (3–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
NetherlandsF+0+0.3%-0.4%——-0.4%—+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
MoroccoC+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.1%—+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
SpainH+0+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%—-0.2%+0.4%+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%
FranceI+0-0.2%+0.2%——-0.4%-0.5%-0.4%-0.5%+0.2%
United StatesD+0————+0.6%+0.4%+0.6%+0.7%+0.1%
JapanF+0-0.5%+0.4%+0.1%—+0.4%+0.4%+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+26——+51.2%+51.2%+9.9%+4.1%+1.0%+0.3%—
GermanyE+0————+0.6%+0.5%+0.4%——
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.3%-2.4%-2.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%——
EnglandL+0+0.4%-0.4%——+0.6%+0.5%+0.2%——
ArgentinaJ+0————+0.2%+0.3%———
GhanaL+0+0.1%—-0.7%-0.5%—————
AustraliaD+0—+0.4%-1.5%-1.1%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%——
South AfricaA+0—+0.1%——+0.2%————
IranG+0——-2.3%-2.3%-0.6%-0.4%-0.1%——
Saudi ArabiaH+0——-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%————
PanamaL+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
CuraçaoE+0——+0.1%—+0.2%————
JordanJ+0—————————
EgyptG+0—+0.1%-0.4%-0.3%——-0.2%-0.1%—
UzbekistanK+0——-3.2%-3.2%-0.9%-0.4%———
QatarB-26——-25.0%-25.0%-2.1%-0.6%———
New ZealandG+0—+0.5%-0.2%+0.3%—————
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.5%-0.2%-0.6%-0.2%———
DR CongoK+0——-1.2%-1.2%-0.9%-0.2%-0.1%——
TurkeyD+0——-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%————
IraqI+0——-2.0%-2.0%-0.2%-0.2%———
BelgiumG+0—-0.6%-0.3%-0.9%-0.3%-0.3%———
SenegalI+0——-0.4%-0.4%+0.4%————
Czech RepublicA+0—+0.2%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%———
CanadaB+0—————-0.3%-0.2%——
ParaguayD+0—-0.4%-2.0%-2.4%-1.4%-0.5%———
UruguayH+0-0.3%-0.2%-2.2%-2.7%-1.2%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%—
SwedenF+0+0.2%—-1.2%-1.0%+0.4%—+0.1%——
AustriaJ+0—-0.3%-0.1%-0.5%+0.1%+0.1%———
ScotlandC+0—+0.1%-1.8%-1.6%-0.3%-0.1%———
SwitzerlandB+0————-0.5%+0.1%—+0.2%—
CroatiaL+0-0.6%+0.3%-1.0%-1.2%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%—
South KoreaA+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%-0.9%-1.0%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%—
BrazilC+0+0.2%-0.3%——+0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%—
EcuadorE+0——-0.2%-0.2%————-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0——-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%-0.1%—-0.1%-0.2%
PortugalK+0+0.4%-0.4%——-0.4%-1.0%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.4%+0.4%——-0.3%-0.2%——-0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.1%-0.2%——+0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.2%-0.2%——————-0.2%