Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Belgium51New Zealand

Elo change: Belgium +15

Pre-game: 59% / 24% / 17%

New Zealand goals →
012345+
Belgium goals08.7%6.7%2.6%0.7%
114.6%11.2%4.3%1.1%
212.2%9.4%3.6%0.9%
36.8%5.2%2.0%0.5%
42.9%2.2%0.8%
5+1.3%1.0%

Gold = actual result (5–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
BelgiumG+15+47.1%-14.8%-12.8%+19.5%+12.8%+8.5%+3.7%+1.8%+0.9%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.9%+0.6%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
FranceI+0+0.2%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%
JapanF+0-0.3%-0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%
GermanyE+0-0.5%-0.8%-0.2%+0.1%
ColombiaK+0+0.6%-0.6%+0.5%+0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.3%+0.5%+0.4%+0.3%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%+0.1%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.1%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
SwedenF+0-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
South AfricaA+0
EgyptG+0-22.1%+9.4%+12.7%-0.9%-0.9%-0.3%-0.1%
GhanaL+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.1%-0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
JordanJ+0
DR CongoK+0+0.2%+0.3%-0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.6%+0.5%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0+0.2%+0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0
PanamaL+0+0.1%+0.1%
New ZealandG-15-13.6%-4.9%-18.5%-5.9%-0.6%-0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.2%+0.2%
South KoreaA+0+0.4%+0.4%-1.4%-0.3%
IranG+0-25.0%+19.0%+5.3%-0.7%-0.7%-1.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.1%-0.6%-0.2%-0.1%
CanadaB+0-0.2%
ParaguayD+0+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.8%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
AustraliaD+0-2.4%-0.5%-0.3%
EcuadorE+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.1%-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0-1.1%-0.5%-0.1%
United StatesD+0+0.1%-2.8%-0.6%-0.3%-0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.5%-0.5%-0.9%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.3%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.3%-0.2%-1.0%-0.9%-0.5%