Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Belgium5–1New Zealand

Elo change: Belgium +15

Pre-game: 59% / 24% / 17%

New Zealand goals →
012345+
← Belgium goals08.7%6.7%2.6%0.7%
114.6%11.2%4.3%1.1%
212.2%9.4%3.6%0.9%
36.8%5.2%2.0%0.5%
42.9%2.2%0.8%
5+1.3%1.0%

Gold = actual result (5–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
BelgiumG+15+47.1%-14.8%-12.8%+19.5%+12.8%+8.5%+3.7%+1.8%+0.9%
SwitzerlandB+0————+0.9%+0.6%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
FranceI+0————+0.2%+0.6%—+0.4%+0.2%
JapanF+0————-0.3%-0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%
GermanyE+0————-0.5%-0.8%-0.2%—+0.1%
ColombiaK+0+0.6%-0.6%———+0.5%+0.2%——
BrazilC+0————+0.3%+0.5%+0.4%+0.3%—
MoroccoC+0————+0.2%+0.1%———
CroatiaL+0+0.2%-0.4%—-0.1%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%——
SwedenF+0————-0.2%-0.1%———
Ivory CoastE+0————-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%——
South AfricaA+0—————————
EgyptG+0-22.1%+9.4%+12.7%—-0.9%-0.9%-0.3%-0.1%—
GhanaL+0—+0.1%-0.2%—+0.1%-0.2%———
EnglandL+0-0.2%+0.2%———+0.2%———
JordanJ+0—————————
DR CongoK+0——+0.2%+0.3%-0.2%————
PortugalK+0-0.6%+0.5%——-0.2%-0.1%—-0.1%—
ScotlandC+0——+0.2%+0.2%—————
Cabo VerdeH+0—————————
PanamaL+0——+0.1%+0.1%—————
New ZealandG-15—-13.6%-4.9%-18.5%-5.9%-0.6%-0.2%——
NorwayI+0————+0.2%—+0.2%——
South KoreaA+0——+0.4%+0.4%-1.4%-0.3%———
IranG+0-25.0%+19.0%+5.3%-0.7%-0.7%-1.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0————-0.1%-0.6%-0.2%-0.1%—
CanadaB+0—————-0.2%———
ParaguayD+0————+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%——
NetherlandsF+0————-0.2%—+0.1%——
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.8%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%—
AustraliaD+0————-2.4%-0.5%-0.3%——
EcuadorE+0————-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.1%-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0—————-1.1%-0.5%—-0.1%
United StatesD+0————+0.1%-2.8%-0.6%-0.3%-0.1%
SenegalI+0——-0.5%-0.5%-0.9%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0—-0.2%—-0.3%-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
MexicoA+0————+0.3%-0.1%—-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0————-0.3%-0.2%-1.0%-0.9%-0.5%