Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Mexico20Ecuador

Elo change: Mexico +31

Pre-game: 65% / 34%

Ecuador goals →
012345+
Mexico goals08.9%7.8%3.4%1.0%
113.7%12.1%5.3%1.5%
210.6%9.3%4.1%1.2%
35.4%4.7%2.1%0.6%
42.1%1.8%0.8%
5+0.8%0.7%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
MexicoA+31+34.1%+17.3%+8.5%+4.0%+1.7%
ColombiaK+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%
ParaguayD+0+0.2%+0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.7%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
MoroccoC+0+0.4%
BrazilC+0+0.4%
FranceI+0+0.3%+0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.3%+0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.5%-0.2%
BelgiumG+0+0.5%+0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.1%-0.1%
United StatesD+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.2%-0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0
CroatiaL+0+0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.4%-0.2%
GhanaL+0-0.1%-0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.1%-0.5%-0.4%
CanadaB+0-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%-0.2%
EnglandL+0+0.1%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.7%-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
EcuadorE-31-34.1%-16.3%-7.6%-3.5%-1.7%