Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Mexico2–0Ecuador

Elo change: Mexico +31

Pre-game: 65% / 34%

Ecuador goals →
012345+
← Mexico goals08.9%7.8%3.4%1.0%
113.7%12.1%5.3%1.5%
210.6%9.3%4.1%1.2%
35.4%4.7%2.1%0.6%
42.1%1.8%0.8%
5+0.8%0.7%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
MexicoA+31————+34.1%+17.3%+8.5%+4.0%+1.7%
ColombiaK+0————+0.1%+0.3%——+0.2%
ParaguayD+0———————+0.2%+0.1%
AustriaJ+0————+0.7%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
MoroccoC+0—————+0.4%———
BrazilC+0—————+0.4%———
FranceI+0——————+0.3%+0.2%—
AustraliaD+0——————+0.3%+0.1%—
SenegalI+0————-0.5%-0.2%———
BelgiumG+0————+0.5%——+0.1%—
DR CongoK+0————-0.1%-0.1%———
United StatesD+0—————+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0—————-0.2%-0.2%——
Cabo VerdeH+0—————————
CroatiaL+0——————+0.2%——
NorwayI+0—————-0.4%-0.2%——
GhanaL+0————-0.1%-0.1%———
PortugalK+0——————+0.1%——
AlgeriaJ+0————-0.1%-0.5%-0.4%——
CanadaB+0—————-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%—
EgyptG+0—————-0.2%———
SwitzerlandB+0————+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%—
ArgentinaJ+0———————-0.2%-0.2%
EnglandL+0————+0.1%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%
SpainH+0————-0.7%-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
EcuadorE-31————-34.1%-16.3%-7.6%-3.5%-1.7%