Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Argentina3–2Egypt

Elo change: Argentina +5

Pre-game: 82% / 18%

Egypt goals →
012345+
← Argentina goals04.1%3.2%1.2%
110.0%7.7%2.9%0.7%
212.1%9.3%3.5%0.9%
39.8%7.5%2.9%0.7%
45.9%4.5%1.7%
5+4.6%3.5%1.3%

Gold = actual result (3–2).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
BelgiumG+51—————+54.8%+21.8%+10.0%+4.6%
EnglandL+0——————+0.2%+0.4%+0.4%
ArgentinaJ+0—————-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0—————+0.4%+0.3%—+0.1%
MoroccoC+0——————-0.5%+0.3%—
ColombiaK+0—————-0.4%———
EgyptG+0—————+0.2%———
NorwayI+0——————-0.2%-0.3%—
FranceI+0——————+0.5%—-0.3%
SpainH+0——————-5.0%-3.0%-2.1%
United StatesD-51—————-54.8%-16.8%-7.2%-3.0%