Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Spain0–0Cabo Verde

Elo change: Spain -28

Pre-game: 89% / 8% / 3%

Major upset — draw — Spain failed to win (Elo gap: 579)

Cabo Verde goals →
012345+
← Spain goals02.3%1.1%
17.6%3.7%0.9%
212.5%6.1%1.5%
313.6%6.6%1.6%
411.1%5.4%1.3%
5+14.3%7.0%1.7%

Gold = actual result (0–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%——-0.2%+1.3%+1.1%+0.9%+0.7%+0.7%
FranceI+0+0.6%-0.6%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%—+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%
ScotlandC+0+0.5%-0.6%-0.8%-0.9%-0.5%-0.4%—+0.2%+0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%+0.6%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
JapanF+0-0.2%-0.1%—-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%—+0.2%+0.2%
SenegalI+0+0.3%—-1.0%-0.8%-0.3%—+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.1%——+0.1%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+28+5.9%+10.5%+8.4%+24.9%+7.8%+3.0%+1.1%+0.4%+0.1%
EnglandL+0-0.4%+0.5%-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%+0.2%——+0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.3%+0.5%-0.5%-0.2%+0.7%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.1%—-0.2%-0.5%-0.3%—+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%+0.3%-0.1%+0.4%+0.3%——+0.1%—
Ivory CoastE+0+0.3%-0.1%-0.4%-0.2%-0.9%-0.5%———
PanamaL+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.5%-0.7%-0.4%+0.4%+0.2%——
Czech RepublicA+0——-1.5%-1.5%-1.0%-0.5%+0.1%+0.1%—
BelgiumG+0—-0.2%-0.3%-0.6%-0.5%—+0.2%——
DR CongoK+0——-0.4%-0.4%+0.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.1%—
JordanJ+0—+0.2%-0.2%—+2.1%+0.7%+0.4%+0.1%—
EcuadorE+0+0.2%—-0.8%-0.7%-0.1%+0.4%+0.1%——
NetherlandsF+0+0.2%—-0.4%-0.1%-0.3%—-0.2%——
AlgeriaJ+0+0.3%-0.5%-0.7%-0.8%+1.0%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%—
CanadaB+0+0.4%-0.6%+0.3%+0.1%+0.4%+0.3%———
IranG+0-0.1%+0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.5%-0.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.5%-0.2%—-0.7%-0.4%—-0.1%——
UzbekistanK+0—+0.3%-1.0%-0.7%-0.5%+0.4%———
New ZealandG+0—+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%————
TunisiaF+0——-0.1%-0.2%-0.3%————
Saudi ArabiaH+0+4.1%-3.5%-4.0%-3.5%-0.3%-0.2%———
AustriaJ+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.6%-0.5%+2.0%+0.9%+0.3%+0.1%—
HaitiC+0—-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%—————
CuraçaoE+0——-0.3%-0.3%—————
South AfricaA+0—+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%————
South KoreaA+0-0.2%—-0.3%-0.5%—-0.5%———
GhanaL+0—————+0.1%———
TurkeyD+0——-0.6%-0.6%—-0.2%———
QatarB+0—+0.4%+0.1%+0.5%+0.2%————
IraqI+0——-0.2%-0.3%—-0.2%———
GermanyE+0-0.5%+0.2%+0.3%—-0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%—
SwedenF+0——-0.5%-0.4%+0.2%+0.2%—+0.1%—
EgyptG+0—-0.3%-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%—+0.1%——
BrazilC+0-0.2%+0.2%———-0.3%-0.3%——
ParaguayD+0-0.2%+0.4%-0.5%-0.3%—-0.1%———
UruguayH+0+10.5%-19.4%+5.8%-3.2%-0.7%-1.0%-0.4%-0.2%—
CroatiaL+0+0.5%-0.4%-0.6%-0.4%—+0.4%—-0.1%—
ColombiaK+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%+0.7%+0.5%——
AustraliaD+0——-0.4%-0.4%-0.5%-0.6%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
NorwayI+0-0.8%+0.7%-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
SpainH-28-20.5%+12.4%+5.3%-2.7%-6.2%-5.0%-4.2%-3.3%-2.5%