Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Sweden51Tunisia

Elo change: Sweden +43

Pre-game: 41% / 27% / 32%

Tunisia goals →
012345+
Sweden goals08.6%9.7%5.4%2.0%0.6%
111.4%12.8%7.2%2.7%0.8%
27.6%8.6%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.4%3.8%2.1%0.8%
41.1%1.3%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (5–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
SwedenF+43+21.0%+8.3%+9.5%+38.8%+18.1%+9.1%+4.0%+1.6%+0.7%
AustraliaD+0+0.4%-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.2%+0.3%-0.4%-0.6%-0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.4%-0.5%+0.3%+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.1%-0.2%+0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
EnglandL+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.4%
SpainH+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%
EcuadorE+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.4%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%-0.4%+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
PanamaL+0+0.4%-0.6%-0.3%+0.2%
UruguayH+0+0.7%-0.5%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.6%+0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.5%-0.5%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%
TurkeyD+0-0.2%+0.3%-0.6%-0.6%-0.6%-0.4%-0.1%
JordanJ+0-0.1%-0.2%
EgyptG+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
QatarB+0-0.2%-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.7%-0.2%
South AfricaA+0-0.4%-0.5%-0.8%-0.2%
CuraçaoE+0-0.1%-0.2%
GhanaL+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
CanadaB+0+0.4%-0.6%-0.3%-0.6%-0.1%+0.1%
HaitiC+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
IraqI+0-0.2%-0.6%-0.7%-0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%
CroatiaL+0-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%
New ZealandG+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
JapanF+0-6.1%+2.6%+4.8%+1.4%+0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.1%+0.4%-0.2%+0.1%+0.3%
MexicoA+0-0.1%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.4%+0.3%-0.2%-0.8%-0.3%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-3.5%-0.8%+4.5%+0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
IranG+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.1%+0.3%
BelgiumG+0-0.3%+0.5%-0.1%+0.1%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-1.0%-0.6%-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
SenegalI+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
TunisiaF-43-11.4%-10.1%-11.2%-32.7%-10.6%-4.1%-1.5%-0.5%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.5%+0.7%-1.1%-0.9%-1.2%-0.7%-0.4%