Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Sweden5–1Tunisia

Elo change: Sweden +43

Pre-game: 41% / 27% / 32%

Tunisia goals →
012345+
← Sweden goals08.6%9.7%5.4%2.0%0.6%
111.4%12.8%7.2%2.7%0.8%
27.6%8.6%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.4%3.8%2.1%0.8%
41.1%1.3%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (5–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
SwedenF+43+21.0%+8.3%+9.5%+38.8%+18.1%+9.1%+4.0%+1.6%+0.7%
AustraliaD+0+0.4%-0.6%—-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%—+0.2%+0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.2%+0.3%-0.4%—-0.6%-0.3%—+0.1%+0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.4%-0.5%+0.3%+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.3%—-0.3%+0.1%-0.2%+0.4%+0.1%—+0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%—+0.1%
EnglandL+0——-0.2%—+0.2%+0.1%+0.4%——
SpainH+0—-0.2%+0.2%—+0.4%+0.2%———
GermanyE+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.1%—-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%——
EcuadorE+0—-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%—-0.4%-0.1%——
South KoreaA+0—+0.4%-0.3%—-0.4%————
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%-0.4%+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%—+0.1%—
PanamaL+0+0.4%—-0.6%-0.3%—+0.2%———
UruguayH+0—+0.7%-0.5%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%+0.2%—+0.3%+0.6%—+0.2%——
AustriaJ+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.5%-0.5%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%—
TurkeyD+0-0.2%+0.3%-0.6%-0.6%-0.6%-0.4%-0.1%——
JordanJ+0——-0.1%-0.2%—————
EgyptG+0—+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%——
QatarB+0—-0.2%-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%————
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.7%-0.2%————
South AfricaA+0—-0.4%-0.5%-0.8%-0.2%————
CuraçaoE+0——-0.1%-0.2%—————
GhanaL+0——-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%————
CanadaB+0—+0.4%-0.6%-0.3%-0.6%-0.1%—+0.1%—
HaitiC+0——-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%————
IraqI+0—-0.2%-0.6%-0.7%-0.2%————
Cabo VerdeH+0—-0.2%—-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%———
DR CongoK+0——-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%————
CroatiaL+0-0.4%——-0.5%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%——
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%-0.2%—-0.4%-0.1%————
New ZealandG+0—-0.4%-0.2%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%———
JapanF+0-6.1%+2.6%+4.8%+1.4%+0.3%-0.1%+0.1%——
ParaguayD+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.1%——-0.3%-0.2%——
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%——-0.1%-0.2%—
Ivory CoastE+0-0.1%+0.4%-0.2%—+0.1%+0.3%———
MexicoA+0——-0.1%—-0.1%————
ScotlandC+0-0.4%—+0.3%-0.2%-0.8%-0.3%-0.1%——
NetherlandsF+0-3.5%-0.8%+4.5%+0.2%-0.3%-0.1%———
IranG+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.1%—+0.3%————
BelgiumG+0-0.3%+0.5%-0.1%+0.1%—-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0——-0.1%-0.2%————-0.1%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%—-1.0%-0.6%-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
SenegalI+0——+0.1%+0.2%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%—-0.1%
TunisiaF-43-11.4%-10.1%-11.2%-32.7%-10.6%-4.1%-1.5%-0.5%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.2%—+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%—-0.1%—-0.3%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.5%+0.7%——-1.1%-0.9%-1.2%-0.7%-0.4%