Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Ivory Coast10Ecuador

Elo change: Ivory Coast +48

Pre-game: 23% / 26% / 51%

Notable upsetIvory Coast won as underdog (Elo gap: 243)

Ecuador goals →
012345+
Ivory Coast goals08.8%13.2%10.0%5.0%1.9%0.7%
18.1%12.3%9.2%4.6%1.7%0.7%
23.8%5.7%4.3%2.1%0.8%
31.2%1.8%1.3%0.7%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
Ivory CoastE+48+26.0%+19.3%-17.9%+27.4%+15.7%+7.0%+3.4%+1.4%+0.6%
FranceI+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.8%+0.9%+0.8%+0.5%+0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.5%-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
NetherlandsF+0+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
JapanF+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.8%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
MoroccoC+0-0.1%-0.1%+0.6%+0.6%+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%
EnglandL+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.5%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.1%-2.0%-0.7%-0.2%
IranG+0-0.8%-0.6%-0.2%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
CroatiaL+0-0.1%+0.3%-0.3%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.7%-0.6%-0.2%-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.3%-1.2%-0.8%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
SenegalI+0+0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%+0.8%+0.3%-0.2%
SwedenF+0+0.4%-0.1%-0.5%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0-0.2%-0.7%-1.0%-0.5%+0.1%
IraqI+0-0.1%+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%+0.5%+0.2%+0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.3%-0.7%-0.4%+0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.2%-0.5%+0.4%-0.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.2%
DR CongoK+0+0.1%-0.5%-0.4%
TunisiaF+0-0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.8%-0.3%
UzbekistanK+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
GhanaL+0+0.1%-0.8%-0.7%
PanamaL+0-0.8%-0.8%-0.4%-0.2%
QatarB+0+0.2%-0.2%
CuraçaoE+0+0.9%+1.0%
HaitiC+0-0.5%-0.4%+0.3%
New ZealandG+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%+0.3%+0.3%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%-0.9%-0.7%
JordanJ+0-0.3%-0.4%+0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.8%-0.8%
SpainH+0-0.1%-0.5%-0.6%-0.1%+0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.1%-0.5%-0.4%-0.4%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
EgyptG+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.9%-0.7%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
TurkeyD+0+0.1%+0.1%-0.4%-0.2%+0.9%+0.5%+0.3%
GermanyE+0+6.1%-7.4%+1.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
CanadaB+0+0.3%+0.2%-0.4%-0.5%
South KoreaA+0-0.4%-0.4%-0.6%-0.3%
PortugalK+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.6%-0.5%-0.1%
UruguayH+0-0.1%-0.4%-0.6%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.4%+0.4%+0.2%
ScotlandC+0+0.5%-1.3%-0.8%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.3%-0.1%-0.6%-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%
EcuadorE-48-32.2%-12.8%+30.4%-14.6%-14.0%-7.8%-5.2%-2.6%-1.5%