Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

France31Senegal

Elo change: France +21

Pre-game: 49% / 25% / 25%

Senegal goals →
012345+
France goals07.4%7.7%4.0%1.4%
111.6%12.0%6.2%2.2%0.6%
29.1%9.4%4.9%1.7%
34.7%4.9%2.5%0.9%
41.8%1.9%1.0%
5+0.8%0.8%

Gold = actual result (3–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
FranceI+21+28.1%-8.0%-10.7%+9.4%+9.0%+6.6%+5.1%+3.0%+1.9%
UruguayH+0+0.1%+0.5%+0.6%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
NorwayI+0-6.7%+9.9%-2.2%+1.1%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.3%+0.1%+0.5%+0.3%+1.0%
PanamaL+0+0.3%+0.5%-0.4%+0.4%+0.5%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.3%+0.6%+0.3%+0.8%+0.4%+0.2%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%+0.4%+0.5%+0.6%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
CanadaB+0+0.4%-0.1%+0.2%-0.1%
JordanJ+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.3%+0.5%+0.5%+0.7%+0.5%+0.3%
EgyptG+0-0.3%-0.1%-0.4%-0.4%
IranG+0+0.8%-0.4%-0.3%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
DR CongoK+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.5%+0.1%+0.1%
United StatesD+0-0.4%+0.5%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
TunisiaF+0-0.1%-0.3%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.2%-0.1%
CuraçaoE+0-0.2%
GhanaL+0-0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%
QatarB+0-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.2%-0.6%-0.4%-0.5%-0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.3%+0.3%
JapanF+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%-0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
TurkeyD+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%-0.1%
HaitiC+0+0.4%+0.3%-0.1%
New ZealandG+0+0.4%+0.1%+0.7%+0.4%+0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.5%-0.1%+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
IraqI+0-2.6%+1.0%+0.8%-0.8%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.6%-0.2%-0.6%-0.9%-0.5%-0.4%-0.3%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.3%+0.2%-0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%+0.5%-0.5%
UzbekistanK+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
South KoreaA+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.3%
SwedenF+0-0.1%+0.2%-1.7%-0.6%-0.3%-0.1%
ParaguayD+0-0.2%+0.6%+0.5%-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.5%+0.5%+0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%
AustriaJ+0-0.1%+0.8%+0.6%+0.5%+0.2%+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.8%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%-0.1%
EnglandL+0-0.5%+0.3%-0.2%+0.4%+0.1%-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.4%+0.5%-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.3%+0.5%+0.2%+0.5%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.3%-0.4%+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%+0.2%-1.4%-0.7%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%
SenegalI-21-18.8%-2.9%+4.4%-17.3%-10.4%-5.7%-3.1%-1.5%-0.6%