Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Iraq14Norway

Elo change: Iraq -15

Pre-game: 19% / 23% / 58%

Norway goals →
012345+
Iraq goals07.0%12.3%10.9%6.4%2.8%1.4%
16.2%11.0%9.8%5.8%2.5%1.3%
22.8%4.9%4.4%2.6%1.1%0.6%
30.8%1.5%1.3%0.8%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (1–4).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
NorwayI+15+8.7%+12.4%+21.0%+13.2%+7.3%+4.0%+1.9%+0.9%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0+0.5%-0.1%+0.4%+0.6%+0.7%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
SpainH+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
ScotlandC+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
UzbekistanK+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
EnglandL+0+0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.3%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.2%+0.1%+0.5%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.3%+0.4%+0.1%-0.4%-0.4%
CanadaB+0+0.3%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
New ZealandG+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
PanamaL+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
QatarB+0-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%
AustraliaD+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
TurkeyD+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
CuraçaoE+0+0.2%
South AfricaA+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.4%
IranG+0-0.7%+0.3%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
HaitiC+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%
TunisiaF+0+0.5%+0.5%+0.2%
GhanaL+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.7%+0.7%+0.2%
EgyptG+0+0.4%-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
DR CongoK+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%
JordanJ+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
South KoreaA+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.4%+0.6%
SenegalI+0-1.1%-7.0%+10.4%+2.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.2%-0.5%-0.3%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.3%+0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.3%-0.1%-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
UruguayH+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.5%-0.2%+0.1%
JapanF+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
IraqI-15-2.3%-12.2%-8.2%-22.7%-7.6%-2.6%-0.8%-0.3%
PortugalK+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%-0.6%-0.4%-0.6%-0.3%
SwedenF+0+0.1%-0.3%+0.2%-0.5%-0.4%-0.4%
FranceI+0-5.3%+6.9%-1.2%+0.4%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.4%+0.4%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
GermanyE+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%-0.5%-0.1%-1.9%-0.9%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%-0.6%+0.4%-1.5%-0.8%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.5%-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%-0.2%