Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Iraq1–4Norway

Elo change: Iraq -15

Pre-game: 19% / 23% / 58%

Norway goals →
012345+
← Iraq goals07.0%12.3%10.9%6.4%2.8%1.4%
16.2%11.0%9.8%5.8%2.5%1.3%
22.8%4.9%4.4%2.6%1.1%0.6%
30.8%1.5%1.3%0.8%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (1–4).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
NorwayI+15+8.7%+12.4%—+21.0%+13.2%+7.3%+4.0%+1.9%+0.9%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0+0.5%-0.1%—+0.4%+0.6%+0.7%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
SpainH+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
ScotlandC+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%———+0.1%
UzbekistanK+0—+0.2%—+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%—+0.2%+0.1%
EnglandL+0————————+0.1%
AustriaJ+0—+0.3%-0.5%———+0.3%+0.1%—
ParaguayD+0—+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%————
Czech RepublicA+0—+0.2%+0.1%+0.5%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%—
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.3%+0.4%+0.1%-0.4%-0.4%———
CanadaB+0+0.3%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%—
New ZealandG+0-0.2%—-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%————
PanamaL+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.5%—-0.2%-0.1%———
QatarB+0——-0.4%-0.3%—-0.1%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0—-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%————
AustraliaD+0—-0.2%—-0.2%—-0.2%———
TurkeyD+0——-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%————
CuraçaoE+0———+0.2%—————
South AfricaA+0—-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.4%————
IranG+0-0.7%+0.3%—-0.3%—+0.2%+0.2%——
HaitiC+0—+0.1%—+0.1%+0.1%————
TunisiaF+0——+0.5%+0.5%+0.2%————
GhanaL+0——+0.1%+0.2%-0.1%————
Cabo VerdeH+0—+0.7%—+0.7%+0.2%————
EgyptG+0+0.4%-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%———
DR CongoK+0—-0.2%+0.2%—+0.2%-0.1%———
JordanJ+0-0.1%—-0.1%-0.2%—————
ArgentinaJ+0——-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%—
South KoreaA+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.4%+0.6%———
SenegalI+0-1.1%-7.0%+10.4%+2.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.1%——
NetherlandsF+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%—
MoroccoC+0—+0.3%-0.3%—+0.2%-0.5%-0.3%——
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.3%+0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%—
BrazilC+0-0.3%-0.1%—-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%——
UruguayH+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.5%-0.2%+0.1%———
JapanF+0——-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%—
SwitzerlandB+0—+0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%—
IraqI-15-2.3%-12.2%-8.2%-22.7%-7.6%-2.6%-0.8%-0.3%—
PortugalK+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%—-0.6%-0.4%-0.6%-0.3%—
SwedenF+0+0.1%-0.3%+0.2%—-0.5%-0.4%-0.4%——
FranceI+0-5.3%+6.9%-1.2%+0.4%—-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.4%+0.4%——+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%—-0.1%
GermanyE+0-0.4%+0.4%——-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%—-0.5%-0.1%-1.9%-0.9%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
United StatesD+0—————-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%-0.6%+0.4%—-1.5%-0.8%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.5%-0.2%+0.1%—+0.1%——-0.2%