Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Argentina3–0Algeria

Elo change: Argentina +13

Pre-game: 57% / 22% / 21%

Algeria goals →
012345+
← Argentina goals04.9%5.4%2.9%1.1%
19.5%10.3%5.6%2.0%0.6%
29.1%9.9%5.4%2.0%0.5%
35.8%6.3%3.5%1.3%
42.8%3.1%1.7%0.6%
5+1.5%1.7%0.9%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ArgentinaJ+13+23.3%-8.2%-6.5%+8.6%+10.2%+8.8%+6.0%+3.6%+2.2%
SpainH+0-0.1%+0.3%—+0.1%+0.1%—+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.5%+0.4%—+0.3%———
EcuadorE+0-0.3%+0.6%+0.6%+1.0%+0.9%+0.5%+0.2%+0.1%—
ColombiaK+0—-0.1%+0.2%—-0.3%—-0.3%-0.1%—
EgyptG+0—+0.3%-0.3%—+0.6%-0.4%-0.1%——
SwedenF+0—————-0.1%+0.1%——
MexicoA+0+0.6%-0.6%——-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%—
MoroccoC+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%—+0.1%———
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%—+0.2%———
GhanaL+0-0.2%—+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.7%-0.4%+0.1%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%———
HaitiC+0—-0.1%+0.2%—-0.2%————
FranceI+0————-0.1%——+0.1%—
DR CongoK+0+0.2%+0.3%-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%+0.3%———
GermanyE+0—-0.3%+0.3%—+0.1%—-0.1%——
South AfricaA+0—+0.4%+0.6%+1.0%+0.6%————
CuraçaoE+0———-0.1%—————
QatarB+0——+0.3%+0.3%—+0.1%———
IraqI+0———+0.1%—————
TunisiaF+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%—-0.1%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0——+0.3%+0.2%-1.1%-0.4%———
SenegalI+0—-0.5%+1.2%+0.6%+0.6%————
United StatesD+0+0.7%-0.5%-0.1%—+0.3%-0.1%———
New ZealandG+0+0.2%-0.5%+0.2%—+0.2%-0.5%-0.2%——
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%-0.3%—-0.3%-3.0%-1.2%-0.4%——
BrazilC+0——+0.2%+0.4%+0.3%-0.2%—-0.1%—
AustriaJ+0-5.8%+9.6%-2.2%+1.6%-0.4%—-0.1%-0.2%—
NorwayI+0—+0.5%-0.1%+0.4%-0.1%————
JordanJ+0-3.4%+3.9%+0.6%+1.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%——
South KoreaA+0-0.6%+0.7%—+0.2%—-0.3%———
Czech RepublicA+0—-0.5%+0.6%+0.1%—————
ParaguayD+0——+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%——
JapanF+0+0.1%-0.3%+0.1%—-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%——
CanadaB+0-0.9%+0.5%+0.4%—+0.2%+0.3%-0.4%-0.1%—
TurkeyD+0——+0.7%+0.8%+0.5%-0.2%———
NetherlandsF+0—+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%——-0.1%
PanamaL+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.5%+0.4%—+0.4%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0—-0.3%—-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%—-0.1%-0.1%
IranG+0-0.3%+0.3%——-0.3%-0.8%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.3%—+0.3%+0.5%-1.7%-1.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
AustraliaD+0-0.7%+0.6%+0.6%+0.4%-0.1%-1.4%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%——-0.2%
CroatiaL+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%—-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
PortugalK+0——+0.1%+0.1%+0.4%+0.5%-0.1%—-0.2%
BelgiumG+0—-0.1%+0.3%+0.3%+0.6%-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%
EnglandL+0+0.3%——+0.3%+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ-13-14.2%-5.3%-0.9%-20.3%-9.6%-4.6%-2.3%-0.9%-0.4%