Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Austria3–1Jordan

Elo change: Austria +27

Pre-game: 48% / 27% / 26%

Jordan goals →
012345+
← Austria goals08.7%8.6%4.3%1.4%
112.6%12.5%6.2%2.1%0.5%
29.1%9.1%4.5%1.5%
34.4%4.4%2.2%0.7%
41.6%1.6%0.8%
5+0.6%0.6%

Gold = actual result (3–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
AustriaJ+27+8.6%+20.1%-2.5%+26.2%+13.6%+7.2%+3.8%+1.9%+0.8%
PortugalK+0—+0.4%-0.3%—+0.2%-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%
South KoreaA+0+0.3%-0.3%——-0.3%——+0.1%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0—+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%———+0.1%—
GermanyE+0—+0.2%-0.2%—-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%—
TurkeyD+0-0.1%——-0.1%-0.1%+0.1%+0.1%——
MexicoA+0-0.3%+0.4%——+0.3%—+0.2%——
ScotlandC+0——+0.4%+0.3%+0.3%—+0.1%——
ParaguayD+0—+0.2%—+0.1%——+0.1%——
EnglandL+0+0.1%———-0.5%-0.6%-0.3%——
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%—+0.2%——-0.1%———
AustraliaD+0————-0.3%—-0.3%-0.1%—
IranG+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.2%——————
SwedenF+0—+0.4%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%———
DR CongoK+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%-0.3%—-0.3%———
PanamaL+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.3%+0.2%—-0.2%———
South AfricaA+0—-0.4%-0.1%-0.5%-0.3%————
ColombiaK+0+0.4%-0.2%+0.1%+0.4%+0.4%—-0.1%——
SenegalI+0—+0.2%-0.2%—-0.3%+0.3%—-0.1%—
TunisiaF+0—-0.1%-0.4%-0.5%-0.1%————
HaitiC+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
Cabo VerdeH+0—-0.1%+0.2%—-0.5%-0.1%———
SwitzerlandB+0—-0.1%+0.2%—+0.1%+0.3%———
QatarB+0+0.2%+0.1%—+0.2%—————
CuraçaoE+0——+0.1%——————
JapanF+0—-0.4%+0.2%-0.2%———-0.1%—
GhanaL+0+0.1%—-0.4%-0.2%—-0.2%———
AlgeriaJ+0-0.5%-5.4%+5.5%-0.4%+0.4%+0.2%———
EgyptG+0-0.2%+0.2%——-0.3%————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.3%——-0.3%—+0.1%———
IraqI+0—————————
MoroccoC+0——+0.4%+0.5%+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%——
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%+0.3%-0.2%—-0.1%——
New ZealandG+0-0.1%——-0.1%—————
EcuadorE+0+0.1%-0.6%+0.3%-0.2%+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%—
Czech RepublicA+0—+0.3%—+0.2%—————
ArgentinaJ+0-2.9%+4.0%-0.8%+0.2%-0.5%-0.8%-0.3%——
Ivory CoastE+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.3%—+0.4%——+0.2%—
United StatesD+0—————-0.2%-0.2%——
CroatiaL+0-0.1%-0.6%+0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%—
UruguayH+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.8%————
CanadaB+0+0.3%——+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%———
BelgiumG+0——-0.3%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%———
BrazilC+0——+0.2%——+0.1%———
NorwayI+0-0.2%-0.1%—-0.2%+0.1%—-0.2%—-0.1%
JordanJ-27-5.2%-18.7%-1.9%-25.7%-8.1%-3.3%-1.3%-0.5%-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.1%———-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%
SpainH+0—-0.2%+0.3%—-3.5%-2.2%-1.5%-1.2%-0.7%