World Cup 2026
Portugal1–1DR Congo
Elo change: Portugal -22
Pre-game: 57% / 22% / 21%
Notable upset — draw — Portugal failed to win (Elo gap: 337)
| DR Congo goals → | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ← Portugal goals | 0 | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | ||
| 1 | 9.5% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | ||
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | ||
| 3 | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | |||
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |||
| 5+ | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | ||||
Gold = actual result (1–1).
Click a team name to view their stats.
| Country | Grp | Elo Δ | 1st (grp) | 2nd (grp) | 3rd (adv) | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 England | L | +0 | -0.3% | +0.1% | — | -0.1% | -0.3% | — | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
 Croatia | L | +0 | +0.3% | +0.5% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
 Japan | F | +0 | -0.6% | +1.0% | — | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.1% |
 Senegal | I | +0 | — | +0.1% | — | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.2% | — | +0.1% | +0.1% |
 Turkey | D | +0 | +0.1% | — | — | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | +0.1% | +0.1% |
 Norway | I | +0 | — | -0.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
 United States | D | +0 | -0.6% | +0.5% | — | — | — | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.1% |
 France | I | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.6% | +0.2% | -0.2% | — | +0.1% |
 Argentina | J | +0 | -0.4% | +0.4% | — | — | — | +0.4% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +0.1% |
 Iran | G | +0 | — | -0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | +0.4% | +0.3% | — | — |
| DR Congo | K | +22 | +1.3% | +5.2% | +0.5% | +7.0% | +4.1% | +1.6% | +0.6% | +0.2% | — |
 Switzerland | B | +0 | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | — | +0.2% | — | — |
 Uruguay | H | +0 | +0.2% | -0.1% | — | — | -0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Panama | L | +0 | — | -0.8% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +0.2% | — | +0.2% | — |
 Mexico | A | +0 | — | — | +0.1% | — | — | — | +0.3% | +0.2% | — |
 Brazil | C | +0 | +0.7% | -0.4% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | — |
 Morocco | C | +0 | -0.7% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — | -0.6% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.2% | — |
 Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | +0 | +0.1% | — | — | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Austria | J | +0 | +0.4% | -0.6% | +0.2% | — | — | +0.3% | — | — | — |
 Sweden | F | +0 | +0.1% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Algeria | J | +0 | — | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Saudi Arabia | H | +0 | — | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.5% | -0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Iraq | I | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Ecuador | E | +0 | — | +0.7% | -0.9% | -0.2% | -0.3% | +0.1% | — | — | — |
 New Zealand | G | +0 | -0.3% | +0.5% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | — |
 Qatar | B | +0 | -0.3% | — | +0.1% | -0.2% | — | +0.1% | — | — | — |
 Canada | B | +0 | +0.4% | -0.1% | — | +0.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Curaçao | E | +0 | — | +0.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Ghana | L | +0 | — | +0.1% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +0.4% | — | — | — |
 Haiti | C | +0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Cabo Verde | H | +0 | -0.3% | — | +0.3% | — | — | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Egypt | G | +0 | +0.4% | -0.6% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | — | — | — |
 Tunisia | F | +0 | +0.2% | — | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Czech Republic | A | +0 | — | -0.2% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Jordan | J | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Australia | D | +0 | +0.5% | — | -0.4% | — | +0.2% | — | +0.3% | +0.2% | — |
 Belgium | G | +0 | -0.2% | +0.4% | — | +0.1% | — | -0.1% | — | — | — |
 South Africa | A | +0 | — | — | — | +0.1% | +0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Ivory Coast | E | +0 | -0.6% | -0.4% | +0.7% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | -0.1% | — |
 Uzbekistan | K | +0 | +3.3% | +0.7% | -3.2% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Paraguay | D | +0 | — | -0.5% | +0.5% | — | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | — | — |
 Netherlands | F | +0 | +0.3% | -0.5% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +0.1% | — | — |
 South Korea | A | +0 | +0.1% | +0.2% | — | +0.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Colombia | K | +0 | +7.6% | -7.4% | -1.3% | -1.1% | -0.2% | +0.5% | — | — | — |
 Spain | H | +0 | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.5% | — | -0.2% | — | — | +0.1% | — |
 Scotland | C | +0 | — | — | — | — | -0.1% | — | -0.3% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
 Germany | E | +0 | +0.5% | -0.5% | — | — | — | -0.1% | — | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| Portugal | K | -22 | -12.2% | +1.5% | +1.3% | -9.4% | -8.1% | -5.6% | -3.2% | -2.0% | -1.1% |