Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

England42Croatia

Elo change: England +31

Pre-game: 42% / 27% / 31%

Croatia goals →
012345+
England goals09.0%9.8%5.4%2.0%0.5%
111.8%12.9%7.1%2.6%0.7%
27.8%8.5%4.7%1.7%0.5%
33.4%3.7%2.0%0.7%
41.1%1.2%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (4–2).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
EnglandL+31+35.2%-19.2%-10.5%+5.5%+5.9%+5.8%+3.2%+1.8%+1.1%
SpainH+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.4%+1.2%+0.8%+0.4%+0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.3%-0.1%-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%-0.1%+0.1%
FranceI+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
United StatesD+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.7%+0.3%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.1%-0.3%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%-0.3%-0.3%
AustriaJ+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.6%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%
ScotlandC+0+0.1%-0.1%+0.7%+0.7%+0.5%+0.2%+0.1%
CanadaB+0-0.5%-0.6%-0.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.1%
UzbekistanK+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.7%+0.5%+0.2%+1.0%+0.4%+0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.2%+0.3%-0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%-0.3%+0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.5%-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%+0.4%+0.1%
DR CongoK+0+0.3%+0.4%+0.8%-0.2%
New ZealandG+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
GhanaL+0-1.9%+2.7%+0.3%+1.1%-0.1%
JordanJ+0-0.1%+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%
UruguayH+0-0.2%-0.1%+0.1%-0.2%+0.1%
QatarB+0+0.2%+0.3%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
CuraçaoE+0-0.2%+0.2%
HaitiC+0+0.5%+0.6%+0.2%
TunisiaF+0-0.2%+0.2%
South AfricaA+0+0.1%+0.2%+0.3%
ParaguayD+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
IraqI+0+0.5%+0.5%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0-0.5%+0.4%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.1%-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
SwedenF+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.4%+0.2%+0.5%+0.5%-0.2%
PanamaL+0-3.2%+8.2%-4.4%+0.7%+0.7%
EgyptG+0-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%+0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
IranG+0+0.5%+0.4%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.4%-0.3%+0.7%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.2%+0.8%+0.5%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.2%-0.5%
TurkeyD+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
JapanF+0+0.3%-0.6%+0.3%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.1%-1.9%-1.2%-0.5%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.7%-0.4%
CroatiaL-31-30.1%+8.3%+7.2%-14.6%-10.1%-6.1%-3.3%-1.8%-0.9%