Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

England4–2Croatia

Elo change: England +31

Pre-game: 42% / 27% / 31%

Croatia goals →
012345+
← England goals09.0%9.8%5.4%2.0%0.5%
111.8%12.9%7.1%2.6%0.7%
27.8%8.5%4.7%1.7%0.5%
33.4%3.7%2.0%0.7%
41.1%1.2%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (4–2).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
EnglandL+31+35.2%-19.2%-10.5%+5.5%+5.9%+5.8%+3.2%+1.8%+1.1%
SpainH+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.4%——+1.2%+0.8%+0.4%+0.2%
NorwayI+0—+0.3%-0.1%—-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%—+0.1%—-0.1%—+0.1%
FranceI+0+0.1%—————+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
United StatesD+0-0.2%—+0.3%—+0.2%+0.3%+0.7%+0.3%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.1%-0.3%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%-0.3%-0.3%——
AustriaJ+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.6%+0.2%—
Ivory CoastE+0—+0.3%-0.3%——+0.2%-0.2%——
ScotlandC+0+0.1%-0.1%+0.7%+0.7%+0.5%+0.2%—+0.1%—
CanadaB+0-0.5%——-0.6%-0.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.1%—
UzbekistanK+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%——
Czech RepublicA+0—+0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+0.4%—+0.1%+0.1%—
ColombiaK+0-0.7%+0.5%+0.2%—+1.0%+0.4%+0.2%——
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.2%+0.3%—-0.2%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%—-0.3%—+0.2%————
SwitzerlandB+0+0.5%-0.3%-0.1%—+0.1%+0.4%+0.1%——
DR CongoK+0—+0.3%+0.4%+0.8%-0.2%————
New ZealandG+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.3%+0.2%—————
GhanaL+0-1.9%+2.7%+0.3%+1.1%—-0.1%———
JordanJ+0—-0.1%+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%————
UruguayH+0-0.2%-0.1%+0.1%-0.2%+0.1%————
QatarB+0—+0.2%—+0.3%—————
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.3%+0.2%——+0.2%———
CuraçaoE+0—-0.2%+0.2%——————
HaitiC+0——+0.5%+0.6%+0.2%————
TunisiaF+0-0.2%—+0.2%——————
South AfricaA+0—+0.1%+0.2%+0.3%—————
ParaguayD+0—+0.2%+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%——
IraqI+0——+0.5%+0.5%-0.1%————
South KoreaA+0—-0.5%+0.4%—-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%—
GermanyE+0—+0.1%-0.1%——+0.2%+0.2%——
SwedenF+0—+0.3%—+0.3%+0.3%-0.1%-0.2%——
AustraliaD+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.4%+0.2%+0.5%+0.5%—-0.2%—
PanamaL+0-3.2%+8.2%-4.4%+0.7%+0.7%————
EgyptG+0-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%—-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——+0.2%+0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%——
IranG+0—+0.5%—+0.4%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%——
PortugalK+0+0.4%-0.3%——+0.7%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%—
SenegalI+0—-0.2%+0.8%+0.5%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%-0.1%—
NetherlandsF+0—+0.2%——+0.1%-0.2%-0.5%——
TurkeyD+0—+0.2%—+0.2%+0.2%——-0.1%-0.1%
JapanF+0+0.3%-0.6%+0.3%—-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%—-0.1%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%-0.2%——+0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
MexicoA+0————+0.1%-1.9%-1.2%-0.5%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.3%+0.3%——-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.7%-0.4%
CroatiaL-31-30.1%+8.3%+7.2%-14.6%-10.1%-6.1%-3.3%-1.8%-0.9%