Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Ghana1–0Panama

Elo change: Ghana +47

Pre-game: 25% / 26% / 49%

Notable upset — Ghana won as underdog (Elo gap: 220)

Panama goals →
012345+
← Ghana goals08.5%12.7%9.4%4.7%1.8%0.7%
18.3%12.3%9.2%4.6%1.7%0.7%
24.0%6.0%4.5%2.2%0.8%
31.3%2.0%1.5%0.7%
40.5%
5+

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.2%———+0.3%+0.5%+0.5%+0.3%
ColombiaK+0+0.6%-0.5%—+0.2%+3.0%+1.9%+1.2%+0.6%+0.3%
FranceI+0—-0.1%———+0.3%—+0.2%+0.3%
PortugalK+0-0.4%+0.4%——+2.6%+1.2%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
IranG+0—-0.2%-0.1%-0.3%—-0.1%——+0.1%
EgyptG+0—+0.2%-0.5%-0.4%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
GhanaL+47+3.0%+22.6%+17.7%+43.3%+12.4%+3.5%+1.0%+0.3%—
MoroccoC+0-0.1%—————+0.2%+0.2%—
MexicoA+0————+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%—
BelgiumG+0——+0.1%—+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%——
South KoreaA+0——+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%—
GermanyE+0-0.1%+0.1%————-0.2%+0.1%—
NetherlandsF+0-0.5%+0.1%+0.3%—-0.2%-0.1%———
AustraliaD+0-0.3%+0.6%—+0.2%—-0.1%———
EnglandL+0+4.9%-5.2%+0.2%—+0.2%——+0.2%—
TurkeyD+0——+0.6%+0.6%—————
HaitiC+0——-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%————
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.5%+0.2%+0.6%—+0.2%+0.1%——
IraqI+0——-0.4%-0.4%—————
South AfricaA+0——+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%————
ParaguayD+0—-0.1%-0.4%-0.4%——-0.1%——
CuraçaoE+0——-0.2%-0.3%—————
New ZealandG+0—+0.1%-0.4%-0.3%—————
TunisiaF+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%—————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——-0.5%-0.5%——+0.1%——
SpainH+0—+0.2%-0.2%—-0.5%+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%—
QatarB+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%————
Czech RepublicA+0————-0.4%————
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%——+0.2%-0.1%—+0.1%——
DR CongoK+0-0.1%—-0.4%-0.5%+0.4%————
Saudi ArabiaH+0——+0.1%——————
JordanJ+0—————————
SenegalI+0——+0.3%+0.4%-0.2%————
CanadaB+0-0.1%———-0.5%+0.2%———
JapanF+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.6%—+0.3%—-0.2%——
UzbekistanK+0—+0.1%-0.1%—+0.6%+0.1%———
UruguayH+0——+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%—
CroatiaL+0-0.1%+6.4%-8.3%-2.0%-0.6%-0.8%-0.3%——
Cabo VerdeH+0—-0.2%-0.2%-0.5%-0.3%—-0.1%——
AustriaJ+0-0.3%-0.2%+0.7%+0.2%+0.5%+0.8%+0.3%+0.2%—
United StatesD+0+0.3%-0.4%+0.2%—-0.5%——-0.2%—
SwitzerlandB+0—+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%—
SwedenF+0—-0.3%+0.2%—-0.5%-0.2%———
ScotlandC+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.5%-0.4%-0.3%——-0.1%-0.1%
EcuadorE+0——+0.6%+0.5%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
BrazilC+0——-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%—-0.2%-0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.2%—+0.2%—+0.5%—-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%
PanamaL-47-7.7%-23.8%-9.2%-40.8%-18.3%-7.5%-3.1%-1.3%-0.5%