Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Ghana10Panama

Elo change: Ghana +47

Pre-game: 25% / 26% / 49%

Notable upsetGhana won as underdog (Elo gap: 220)

Panama goals →
012345+
Ghana goals08.5%12.7%9.4%4.7%1.8%0.7%
18.3%12.3%9.2%4.6%1.7%0.7%
24.0%6.0%4.5%2.2%0.8%
31.3%2.0%1.5%0.7%
40.5%
5+

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.5%+0.3%
ColombiaK+0+0.6%-0.5%+0.2%+3.0%+1.9%+1.2%+0.6%+0.3%
FranceI+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%
PortugalK+0-0.4%+0.4%+2.6%+1.2%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
IranG+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
EgyptG+0+0.2%-0.5%-0.4%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
GhanaL+47+3.0%+22.6%+17.7%+43.3%+12.4%+3.5%+1.0%+0.3%
MoroccoC+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
South KoreaA+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%
GermanyE+0-0.1%+0.1%-0.2%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.5%+0.1%+0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
AustraliaD+0-0.3%+0.6%+0.2%-0.1%
EnglandL+0+4.9%-5.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
TurkeyD+0+0.6%+0.6%
HaitiC+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.5%+0.2%+0.6%+0.2%+0.1%
IraqI+0-0.4%-0.4%
South AfricaA+0+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%
ParaguayD+0-0.1%-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
CuraçaoE+0-0.2%-0.3%
New ZealandG+0+0.1%-0.4%-0.3%
TunisiaF+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.5%-0.5%+0.1%
SpainH+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.5%+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%
QatarB+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.4%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.1%-0.4%-0.5%+0.4%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%
JordanJ+0
SenegalI+0+0.3%+0.4%-0.2%
CanadaB+0-0.1%-0.5%+0.2%
JapanF+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.6%+0.3%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0+0.1%-0.1%+0.6%+0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
CroatiaL+0-0.1%+6.4%-8.3%-2.0%-0.6%-0.8%-0.3%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
AustriaJ+0-0.3%-0.2%+0.7%+0.2%+0.5%+0.8%+0.3%+0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.3%-0.4%+0.2%-0.5%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
SwedenF+0-0.3%+0.2%-0.5%-0.2%
ScotlandC+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.5%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
EcuadorE+0+0.6%+0.5%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.5%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%
PanamaL-47-7.7%-23.8%-9.2%-40.8%-18.3%-7.5%-3.1%-1.3%-0.5%