Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Uzbekistan1–3Colombia

Elo change: Uzbekistan -16

Pre-game: 21% / 24% / 55%

Colombia goals →
012345+
← Uzbekistan goals06.7%11.6%10.1%5.8%2.5%1.2%
16.5%11.3%9.8%5.6%2.4%1.2%
23.1%5.5%4.7%2.7%1.2%0.6%
31.0%1.8%1.5%0.9%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (1–3).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ColombiaK+16+19.1%-1.2%-4.2%+13.8%+11.9%+8.0%+4.0%+2.3%+1.2%
SpainH+0+0.2%-0.3%——+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.3%-0.1%+0.2%-0.3%-0.1%————
JapanF+0-0.4%+0.1%+0.4%—+0.3%+0.7%+0.4%——
EcuadorE+0+0.1%+0.4%-0.6%—-0.8%-0.5%-0.2%——
SwedenF+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%+0.8%+0.3%———
JordanJ+0—+0.1%—+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%——
DR CongoK+0-2.6%+1.4%+1.5%+0.3%—-0.3%———
BrazilC+0—-0.1%——-0.7%-0.3%———
EnglandL+0————+1.8%+1.5%+0.7%——
UruguayH+0—+0.4%-0.3%+0.2%—+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%—
MoroccoC+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.8%-0.4%-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%——
NorwayI+0+0.4%—-0.3%—-0.7%-0.4%———
AustraliaD+0+0.7%-1.0%+0.2%—-0.3%+0.2%———
TunisiaF+0-0.1%——-0.1%—————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0—+0.2%—+0.2%—————
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.3%—+0.3%—-0.1%-0.1%———
ParaguayD+0————-0.3%————
CuraçaoE+0—+0.1%———————
Saudi ArabiaH+0—-0.1%+0.5%+0.4%—-0.2%———
IraqI+0————-0.1%————
South AfricaA+0—+0.2%—+0.2%—+0.1%———
QatarB+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%————
PanamaL+0—+0.3%+0.4%+0.7%-0.3%-0.2%———
HaitiC+0—+0.1%+0.3%+0.5%+0.1%————
New ZealandG+0+0.5%-0.2%—+0.3%-0.2%————
EgyptG+0-0.4%—+0.4%—-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%——
TurkeyD+0—+0.4%-0.1%+0.3%+0.1%————
Czech RepublicA+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.6%+0.3%+0.4%————
United StatesD+0-0.7%+0.6%——+0.6%————
GermanyE+0-0.2%-0.3%+0.5%—+0.2%+0.1%———
CanadaB+0+0.5%-0.3%—+0.3%+0.6%-0.7%-0.2%-0.1%—
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.3%+0.4%—+0.3%-0.2%-0.1%——
PortugalK+0-3.1%+4.3%-0.2%+1.0%+0.5%—+0.3%+0.2%—
GhanaL+0—-0.3%+0.1%-0.2%-2.9%-1.1%-0.3%——
BelgiumG+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.4%—-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%——
ArgentinaJ+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.1%—-0.1%-0.3%-1.1%-0.5%—
SenegalI+0—-0.2%—-0.2%-0.6%-0.2%-0.1%——
SwitzerlandB+0-0.4%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.7%-0.2%-0.1%—
NetherlandsF+0+0.9%-0.4%-0.3%+0.2%—+0.2%+0.3%——
AustriaJ+0+0.3%—-0.3%——-0.5%-0.5%-0.4%—
South KoreaA+0———-0.2%+0.4%+0.5%+0.3%——
IranG+0-0.2%—+0.3%+0.1%—-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0—-0.2%+0.1%—-0.3%-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
CroatiaL+0——+0.2%+0.3%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.2%—-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%
UzbekistanK-16-13.4%-4.5%+0.9%-17.1%-8.9%-4.0%-1.5%-0.6%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.4%+0.3%——+0.1%-0.5%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%