World Cup 2026
South Africa1–1Czech Republic
Elo: South Africa +16 · Czech Republic −16
Pre-game odds: South Africa 25% · Draw 25% · Czech Republic 49%
Notable upset — draw — Czech Republic failed to win (Elo gap: 201 pts)
South Africa1–1Czech Republic
Elo change: South Africa +16
Pre-game: 25% / 25% / 49%
Notable upset — draw — Czech Republic failed to win (Elo gap: 201)
| Czech Republic goals → | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ← South Africa goals | 0 | 7.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | ||
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |||
| 4 | 0.6% | ||||||
| 5+ | |||||||
Gold = actual result (1–1).
Click a team name to view their stats.
| Country | Grp | Elo Δ | 1st (grp) | 2nd (grp) | 3rd (adv) | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Croatia | L | +0 | — | +0.1% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
 Austria | J | +0 | -0.1% | +0.4% | +0.6% | +0.9% | +0.1% | — | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
 Netherlands | F | +0 | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.3% | — | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | +0.2% |
 France | I | +0 | +0.3% | -0.3% | — | — | -0.1% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.2% |
 Switzerland | B | +0 | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | — | +0.1% |
 Mexico | A | +0 | +1.8% | +0.4% | -2.4% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — |
 Portugal | K | +0 | +0.2% | — | +0.5% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +0.3% | — | — | — |
 Senegal | I | +0 | — | +0.4% | +2.7% | +3.1% | +2.3% | +1.1% | +0.4% | — | — |
 Paraguay | D | +0 | — | +0.1% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Norway | I | +0 | -0.3% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +0.6% | +0.9% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.1% | — |
 South Korea | A | +0 | +0.3% | +2.8% | -3.2% | — | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | — | — |
 Ivory Coast | E | +0 | -0.3% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +0.3% | — | — | — |
 Uzbekistan | K | +0 | +0.1% | -0.2% | +1.8% | +1.7% | +0.4% | +0.1% | — | — | — |
 Algeria | J | +0 | — | -0.2% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +1.3% | +0.5% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Uruguay | H | +0 | — | -0.3% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +0.5% | — | — | — |
 Iraq | I | +0 | — | — | +2.3% | +2.2% | +0.7% | +0.3% | — | — | — |
 Ghana | L | +0 | +0.1% | +0.2% | +4.5% | +4.8% | +0.9% | +0.3% | — | — | — |
 Turkey | D | +0 | — | -0.7% | +1.7% | +1.1% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | — |
 Brazil | C | +0 | — | — | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.5% | — | — | — | — |
 Panama | L | +0 | — | -0.4% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Haiti | C | +0 | — | — | +1.0% | +0.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Saudi Arabia | H | +0 | -0.1% | — | +0.2% | — | +1.5% | +0.8% | — | — | — |
 Sweden | F | +0 | -0.2% | +0.6% | — | +0.3% | -0.5% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.2% | — |
 Cabo Verde | H | +0 | +0.5% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +0.1% | — | — |
 Qatar | B | +0 | — | +0.3% | +0.5% | +0.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Canada | B | +0 | +0.2% | — | — | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Curaçao | E | +0 | — | — | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 England | L | +0 | -0.1% | +0.1% | — | — | -0.2% | -0.8% | -0.3% | — | — |
| South Africa | A | +16 | -0.5% | +2.7% | -9.5% | -7.3% | -1.8% | -0.3% | — | — | — |
 Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | +0 | +0.2% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.3% | — | — | — | — |
 Spain | H | +0 | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | +0.6% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.2% | — |
 New Zealand | G | +0 | -0.2% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +0.7% | — | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | — |
 Tunisia | F | +0 | +0.1% | — | +1.7% | +1.8% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Australia | D | +0 | -0.7% | +1.0% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +0.8% | — | +0.1% | — | — |
 Colombia | K | +0 | -0.2% | +0.5% | — | +0.4% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.2% | — |
 Iran | G | +0 | +0.6% | — | +0.9% | +1.4% | — | — | +0.1% | — | — |
 Ecuador | E | +0 | -0.1% | -0.5% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +0.9% | +0.6% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Jordan | J | +0 | — | — | +2.3% | +2.2% | +1.1% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Germany | E | +0 | +0.5% | — | -0.4% | +0.1% | -0.1% | — | +0.4% | — | — |
 Japan | F | +0 | +0.4% | -0.8% | +0.6% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | — | — | — |
 Scotland | C | +0 | — | +0.3% | +1.7% | +1.9% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.2% | — |
 Egypt | G | +0 | +0.6% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | — | — | — |
 DR Congo | K | +0 | -0.1% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +0.9% | — | — | -0.2% | -0.2% | — |
 Morocco | C | +0 | +0.2% | -0.3% | +1.0% | +0.9% | — | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.2% | -0.1% |
 Belgium | G | +0 | -1.1% | +0.4% | +0.7% | — | -0.9% | -0.6% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
 United States | D | +0 | +0.6% | -0.4% | -0.1% | — | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.6% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
 Argentina | J | +0 | +0.2% | — | -0.1% | — | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.3% | — | -0.3% |
| Czech Republic | A | -16 | -1.7% | -5.9% | -25.8% | -33.3% | -15.6% | -6.1% | -2.2% | -0.8% | -0.3% |