World Cup 2026
Canada1–1Bosnia and Herzegovina
Elo: Canada -21 · Bosnia and Herzegovina +21
Pre-game odds: Canada 72% · Draw 18% · Bosnia and Herzegovina 10%
Mild upset — draw — Canada failed to win (Elo gap: 193 pts)
Canada1–1Bosnia and Herzegovina
Elo change: Canada -21
Pre-game: 72% / 18% / 10%
Mild upset — draw — Canada failed to win (Elo gap: 193)
| Bosnia and Herzegovina goals → | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ← Canada goals | 0 | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | |||
| 1 | 12.5% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | |||
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | |||
| 3 | 10.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | |||
| 4 | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | ||||
| 5+ | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | ||||
Gold = actual result (1–1).
Click a team name to view their stats.
| Country | Grp | Elo Δ | 1st (grp) | 2nd (grp) | 3rd (adv) | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 France | I | +0 | — | +0.3% | -0.2% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +0.4% |
 Argentina | J | +0 | +0.4% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.3% |
 Senegal | I | +0 | — | — | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | — | — | — |
 South Korea | A | +0 | -0.3% | — | — | -0.3% | +1.9% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% | — |
 Switzerland | B | +0 | +11.9% | -16.2% | +3.7% | -0.5% | -0.4% | +0.1% | — | — | — |
 Uruguay | H | +0 | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.3% | — | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.2% | — | — |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | +21 | +6.0% | +8.6% | +0.8% | +15.3% | +6.6% | +2.6% | +0.8% | +0.3% | — |
 Spain | H | +0 | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | — |
 Japan | F | +0 | +0.4% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.3% | — |
 Mexico | A | +0 | +0.3% | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | +0.8% | +0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | — |
 Morocco | C | +0 | -0.2% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -0.3% | — | +0.2% | -0.1% | — | — |
 United States | D | +0 | — | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.3% | — | — |
 Colombia | K | +0 | +0.4% | -0.1% | — | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | — |
 Panama | L | +0 | +0.1% | -0.2% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Belgium | G | +0 | +0.3% | — | -0.3% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -0.2% | — | — | — |
 Haiti | C | +0 | — | -0.1% | — | -0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Ghana | L | +0 | — | — | -0.5% | -0.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Egypt | G | +0 | -0.2% | +0.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.5% | — | — | — | — |
 Algeria | J | +0 | — | +0.2% | -0.4% | -0.3% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Portugal | K | +0 | -0.4% | +0.2% | — | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.5% | — | — | — |
 South Africa | A | +0 | — | +0.4% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Uzbekistan | K | +0 | — | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -0.2% | — | — | — |
 Curaçao | E | +0 | — | — | -0.3% | -0.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Qatar | B | +0 | +0.9% | -0.2% | -2.2% | -1.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
 DR Congo | K | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Iraq | I | +0 | — | — | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Ivory Coast | E | +0 | — | -0.4% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Saudi Arabia | H | +0 | — | — | -0.3% | -0.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Norway | I | +0 | -0.1% | -0.1% | — | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% | — | -0.1% | — |
 Brazil | C | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +0.2% | — |
 New Zealand | G | +0 | — | -0.3% | — | -0.2% | +0.8% | — | — | — | — |
 Scotland | C | +0 | +0.2% | — | -0.8% | -0.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Paraguay | D | +0 | — | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | — | — |
 Jordan | J | +0 | -0.2% | — | +0.1% | -0.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Cabo Verde | H | +0 | — | -0.3% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Czech Republic | A | +0 | — | -0.1% | -0.6% | -0.7% | — | -0.2% | — | — | — |
 Netherlands | F | +0 | -0.1% | -0.1% | — | -0.3% | -0.6% | — | +0.2% | +0.1% | — |
 Turkey | D | +0 | -0.3% | +0.4% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.3% | — | — | -0.2% | — |
 Australia | D | +0 | +0.2% | — | -0.4% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | — |
 Austria | J | +0 | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +0.4% | — | +0.2% | — | — |
 Sweden | F | +0 | — | — | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -0.1% | — |
 Tunisia | F | +0 | -0.2% | +0.4% | -0.2% | — | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% | — | — |
 Iran | G | +0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | -0.2% | -0.2% | — |
 England | L | +0 | — | — | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.3% | — |
 Germany | E | +0 | +0.4% | +0.1% | -0.5% | — | -0.1% | — | +0.3% | +0.2% | -0.1% |
 Ecuador | E | +0 | -0.2% | +0.4% | — | +0.2% | -0.7% | -0.6% | — | -0.1% | -0.2% |
 Croatia | L | +0 | -0.1% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.3% | — | — | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| Canada | B | -21 | -18.8% | +7.8% | +7.5% | -3.5% | -7.3% | -3.3% | -1.7% | -0.7% | -0.4% |