World Cup 2026
United States4–1Paraguay
Elo: United States +54 · Paraguay −54
Pre-game odds: United States 41% · Draw 28% · Paraguay 31%
Mild upset — United States won as underdog (Elo gap: 108 pts)
United States4–1Paraguay
Elo change: United States +54
Pre-game: 41% / 28% / 31%
Mild upset — United States won as underdog (Elo gap: 108)
| Paraguay goals → | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ← United States goals | 0 | 10.2% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | |
| 1 | 12.7% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | ||
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | |||
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |||
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | ||||
| 5+ | |||||||
Gold = actual result (4–1).
Click a team name to view their stats.
| Country | Grp | Elo Δ | 1st (grp) | 2nd (grp) | 3rd (adv) | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | D | +54 | +34.1% | +1.3% | -8.7% | +26.8% | +24.1% | +17.2% | +8.3% | +4.7% | +2.4% |
 Ecuador | E | +0 | -0.3% | +0.1% | — | -0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.2% |
 Germany | E | +0 | +0.1% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +0.4% | — | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
 Croatia | L | +0 | +0.3% | -0.1% | -0.2% | — | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | +0.2% | — |
 Tunisia | F | +0 | +0.3% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Morocco | C | +0 | +0.5% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — | — | +0.2% | — | — |
 Colombia | K | +0 | -0.1% | — | +0.5% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -0.1% | — | — |
 Iran | G | +0 | -0.5% | +0.6% | — | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -0.1% | — | — |
 Scotland | C | +0 | — | -0.2% | +0.6% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Brazil | C | +0 | -0.5% | +0.4% | — | — | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% | — |
 Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | +0 | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -0.6% | -0.2% | — | — |
 New Zealand | G | +0 | — | +0.2% | — | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | — |
 England | L | +0 | -0.4% | +0.7% | -0.2% | — | +0.6% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — |
 Australia | D | +0 | -5.8% | +2.5% | +3.6% | +0.4% | -0.3% | -0.3% | — | +0.1% | — |
 Portugal | K | +0 | +0.3% | — | — | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.4% | — | +0.2% | — |
 Jordan | J | +0 | — | +0.2% | — | +0.3% | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | — | — |
 Czech Republic | A | +0 | — | — | — | +0.2% | — | -0.3% | -0.1% | — | — |
 Panama | L | +0 | +0.1% | -0.4% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -0.1% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Qatar | B | +0 | — | — | -0.1% | — | -0.5% | -0.1% | — | — | — |
 Algeria | J | +0 | -0.1% | -0.4% | +0.4% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.3% | — | — | — |
 Ghana | L | +0 | — | -0.2% | — | -0.1% | — | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Haiti | C | +0 | — | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.6% | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | — | — |
 Curaçao | E | +0 | — | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Saudi Arabia | H | +0 | — | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.1% | — | — |
 Sweden | F | +0 | — | -0.4% | — | -0.3% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.3% | — | — |
 Cabo Verde | H | +0 | — | +0.6% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -0.1% | — | — | — |
 South Africa | A | +0 | — | — | +0.3% | +0.3% | — | -0.2% | — | — | — |
 Spain | H | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.1% | — |
 Austria | J | +0 | +0.1% | — | — | +0.2% | -0.8% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.1% | — |
 Iraq | I | +0 | — | -0.1% | — | — | -0.4% | -0.2% | — | — | — |
 DR Congo | K | +0 | -0.3% | +0.2% | — | -0.1% | -0.2% | — | -0.2% | — | — |
 Egypt | G | +0 | +0.3% | -0.3% | — | — | +0.1% | -0.3% | -0.2% | — | — |
 Uzbekistan | K | +0 | +0.1% | — | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -0.1% | — | — |
 France | I | +0 | — | -0.3% | +0.2% | — | — | -0.3% | -0.2% | — | — |
 Senegal | I | +0 | — | +0.3% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -0.2% | — | — | -0.2% | — |
 Ivory Coast | E | +0 | +0.1% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% | — |
 Canada | B | +0 | — | +0.4% | -0.4% | — | -0.8% | -0.4% | — | -0.1% | — |
 Japan | F | +0 | — | +0.3% | -0.3% | — | +0.1% | — | — | -0.3% | -0.1% |
 South Korea | A | +0 | -0.2% | — | +0.2% | — | -0.3% | -0.7% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% |
 Netherlands | F | +0 | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | +0.2% | — | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
 Norway | I | +0 | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
 Argentina | J | +0 | — | +0.2% | — | — | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
 Uruguay | H | +0 | — | -0.3% | +0.4% | — | +0.4% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
 Switzerland | B | +0 | +0.2% | -0.3% | +0.1% | — | -1.0% | -0.7% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
 Belgium | G | +0 | +0.2% | -0.5% | +0.4% | — | — | -0.6% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
 Mexico | A | +0 | +0.2% | -0.1% | — | — | -0.4% | -0.4% | — | -0.2% | -0.2% |
 Turkey | D | +0 | -9.1% | +7.3% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| Paraguay | D | -54 | -19.3% | -11.2% | -0.4% | -30.9% | -18.8% | -9.7% | -4.3% | -2.0% | -0.9% |