Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Qatar1–1Switzerland

Elo change: Qatar +26

Pre-game: 6% / 13% / 81%

Major upset — draw — Switzerland failed to win (Elo gap: 470)

Switzerland goals →
012345+
← Qatar goals03.5%9.4%12.8%11.6%7.9%7.3%
12.2%6.1%8.2%7.5%5.1%4.7%
20.7%1.9%2.6%2.4%1.6%1.5%
30.6%0.5%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (1–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
MexicoA+0+0.4%-0.4%——+1.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%
FranceI+0+0.1%————+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.8%+0.2%+0.4%-0.2%-0.1%—+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%
TurkeyD+0+0.6%-0.3%-0.1%+0.2%—+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%
SenegalI+0—+0.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.5%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0-0.6%+0.4%—-0.2%-0.4%—+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
NorwayI+0——+0.4%+0.5%+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
South KoreaA+0-0.3%+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%+1.5%+0.9%+0.6%+0.2%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0+0.4%—-0.3%——+0.6%+0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
GermanyE+0-0.3%+0.4%+0.4%+0.5%—+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%—
CanadaB+0+13.0%-13.0%-2.8%-2.8%+0.9%————
EgyptG+0-0.4%+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%-0.3%-0.3%———
AustraliaD+0-0.2%——-0.2%——+0.2%——
DR CongoK+0+0.4%-0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%—+0.2%——
Ivory CoastE+0—-0.4%+0.7%+0.4%-0.1%————
ScotlandC+0-0.2%+0.3%—+0.1%+0.4%+0.1%———
SwedenF+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%——
GhanaL+0—-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%————
AustriaJ+0+0.4%-0.2%+0.4%+0.6%+0.3%+0.1%———
PortugalK+0-0.2%-0.4%+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%———
HaitiC+0+0.3%-0.6%—-0.2%—————
ParaguayD+0—+0.2%+0.4%+0.7%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%——
CuraçaoE+0—-0.1%+0.4%+0.2%—————
IraqI+0-0.2%-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%—-0.2%———
QatarB+26+2.9%+8.6%+5.0%+16.5%+4.6%+1.1%+0.2%——
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+4.6%+4.1%-9.0%-0.2%+1.1%+0.3%+0.2%——
PanamaL+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.4%+0.3%+0.3%-0.1%———
South AfricaA+0——+0.6%+0.5%+0.7%+0.1%———
Cabo VerdeH+0—-0.5%+0.8%+0.3%-0.1%————
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.1%+0.1%+0.8%+0.8%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%——
UruguayH+0-0.4%+0.9%—+0.5%+0.5%+0.5%———
UzbekistanK+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.3%+0.4%-0.2%-0.1%———
TunisiaF+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%-0.1%————
JordanJ+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.2%——+0.2%———
Czech RepublicA+0——+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%-0.3%———
New ZealandG+0+0.3%-0.4%——+0.5%————
CroatiaL+0-0.3%+0.4%+0.4%+0.5%+0.4%+0.3%—-0.1%—
JapanF+0-0.4%-0.4%+0.3%-0.5%—+0.3%———
BrazilC+0+0.4%-0.2%———-0.1%———
AlgeriaJ+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+0.2%+0.1%———
EcuadorE+0+0.3%+0.2%-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%—-0.2%—
EnglandL+0+0.6%-0.5%+0.2%+0.3%—-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%—
IranG+0+0.7%-0.3%-0.1%+0.2%+0.4%————
MoroccoC+0-0.4%+0.5%———+0.4%+0.2%—-0.1%
United StatesD+0-0.5%+0.1%+0.3%—-0.4%-0.4%-0.6%-0.3%-0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.5%+0.4%-0.3%-0.4%-0.7%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
SpainH+0+0.6%-0.6%——+0.6%+0.8%+0.6%+0.2%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB-26-20.6%+0.3%-1.6%-21.9%-13.5%-7.3%-3.8%-1.9%-1.0%