Brazil1–1Morocco

Elo: Brazil -13 · Morocco +13

Pre-game odds: Brazil 46% · Draw 26% · Morocco 29%

Mild upset — draw — Brazil failed to win (Elo gap: 164 pts)

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Brazil1–1Morocco

Elo change: Brazil -13

Pre-game: 46% / 26% / 29%

Mild upset — draw — Brazil failed to win (Elo gap: 164)

		Morocco goals →
		0	1	2	3	4	5+
← Brazil goals	0	7.0%	8.0%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
	1	10.6%	12.1%	6.9%	2.6%	0.8%
	2	8.0%	9.2%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
	3	4.1%	4.7%	2.7%	1.0%
	4	1.5%	1.8%	1.0%
	5+	0.6%	0.7%

Gold = actual result (1–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

Country	Grp	Elo Δ	1st (grp)	2nd (grp)	3rd (adv)	R32	R16	QF	SF	Final	Win ▼
Morocco	C	+13	-1.1%	+4.3%	+0.3%	+3.5%	+2.5%	+1.5%	+0.9%	+0.5%	+0.3%
England	L	+0	-0.1%	+0.2%	-0.3%	-0.3%	-0.2%	+0.3%	+0.4%	+0.3%	+0.3%
Japan	F	+0	+0.2%	+0.2%	+0.1%	+0.5%	+0.1%	—	—	+0.1%	+0.1%
Iran	G	+0	-0.3%	-0.1%	+0.2%	-0.3%	-0.2%	—	+0.2%	+0.1%	+0.1%
Uruguay	H	+0	—	-0.4%	—	-0.5%	-0.6%	-0.8%	-0.2%	—	+0.1%
Norway	I	+0	+0.3%	-0.3%	+0.2%	+0.1%	+0.3%	+0.3%	—	+0.1%	+0.1%
Paraguay	D	+0	—	-0.2%	+0.3%	+0.1%	+0.5%	+0.2%	—	—	+0.1%
Austria	J	+0	-0.3%	+0.6%	-0.4%	-0.1%	—	—	—	—	—
Colombia	K	+0	-0.1%	+0.1%	—	—	+0.1%	+0.2%	+0.2%	—	—
Argentina	J	+0	+0.6%	-0.6%	—	—	+0.4%	+0.5%	—	—	—
Algeria	J	+0	-0.2%	-0.1%	-0.2%	-0.5%	+0.2%	+0.1%	—	—	—
Switzerland	B	+0	—	+0.2%	-0.2%	—	+0.2%	—	-0.1%	+0.1%	—
United States	D	+0	+0.1%	—	-0.2%	—	+0.2%	—	+0.3%	+0.1%	—
Uzbekistan	K	+0	-0.1%	—	+0.1%	—	—	+0.3%	—	—	—
Czech Republic	A	+0	—	—	+0.4%	+0.3%	—	+0.2%	+0.1%	—	—
Sweden	F	+0	+0.2%	-0.2%	—	-0.2%	—	-0.2%	-0.2%	—	—
Cabo Verde	H	+0	+0.1%	—	-0.5%	-0.3%	—	—	—	—	—
Jordan	J	+0	-0.1%	+0.1%	—	—	—	-0.1%	—	—	—
Ecuador	E	+0	+0.2%	-0.4%	+0.4%	+0.2%	+0.2%	—	—	—	—
Saudi Arabia	H	+0	+0.1%	+0.1%	—	+0.3%	—	—	—	—	—
Tunisia	F	+0	-0.3%	+0.1%	-0.1%	-0.3%	+0.5%	+0.2%	+0.1%	—	—
South Africa	A	+0	—	—	-0.5%	-0.5%	-0.5%	—	—	—	—
Qatar	B	+0	+0.1%	—	-0.1%	—	+0.1%	—	—	—	—
Curaçao	E	+0	—	-0.2%	-0.4%	-0.6%	-0.1%	—	—	—	—
Bosnia and Herzegovina	B	+0	—	-0.4%	—	-0.4%	-0.4%	-0.1%	—	—	—
Iraq	I	+0	—	+0.4%	+0.1%	+0.5%	+0.1%	+0.2%	—	—	—
Croatia	L	+0	+0.2%	-0.5%	—	-0.3%	-0.1%	-0.2%	—	—	—
New Zealand	G	+0	-0.3%	+0.5%	-0.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Egypt	G	+0	—	-0.1%	—	-0.1%	-0.1%	+0.2%	—	—	—
Netherlands	F	+0	—	—	+0.3%	+0.2%	—	-0.4%	-0.2%	—	—
DR Congo	K	+0	—	-0.3%	+0.1%	-0.1%	-0.3%	—	—	—	—
Panama	L	+0	+0.1%	+0.2%	-0.6%	-0.2%	-0.1%	+0.3%	+0.1%	—	—
Ivory Coast	E	+0	—	+0.3%	-0.5%	-0.1%	—	+0.1%	—	—	—
Ghana	L	+0	-0.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Haiti	C	+0	+1.7%	-1.8%	-0.5%	-0.6%	—	—	—	—	—
Spain	H	+0	-0.2%	+0.2%	—	—	-0.3%	-0.8%	-0.6%	-0.3%	—
Senegal	I	+0	-0.2%	-0.3%	—	-0.5%	-0.4%	-0.2%	—	—	—
Turkey	D	+0	-0.5%	+0.1%	+0.2%	-0.2%	-0.3%	-0.4%	-0.3%	-0.2%	—
Germany	E	+0	-0.2%	+0.3%	-0.5%	-0.5%	-0.2%	+0.2%	—	—	—
Scotland	C	+0	+4.8%	-7.2%	+2.1%	-0.3%	-0.3%	-0.5%	-0.4%	-0.2%	—
Australia	D	+0	+0.4%	—	-0.3%	—	—	—	-0.2%	—	—
Belgium	G	+0	+0.5%	-0.3%	—	+0.3%	+0.4%	+0.2%	+0.1%	—	-0.1%
South Korea	A	+0	+0.7%	-0.5%	—	+0.2%	+0.1%	-0.4%	-0.1%	—	-0.1%
Mexico	A	+0	-0.7%	+0.6%	+0.2%	—	-0.8%	-0.5%	—	—	-0.1%
Canada	B	+0	-0.1%	+0.4%	-0.2%	—	—	-0.2%	-0.2%	—	-0.1%
Brazil	C	-13	-5.4%	+4.7%	+1.2%	+0.5%	-1.2%	-0.6%	-0.4%	-0.4%	-0.2%
Portugal	K	+0	+0.2%	+0.2%	-0.4%	—	+0.2%	—	—	-0.2%	-0.2%
France	I	+0	—	+0.2%	—	+0.1%	-0.3%	+0.2%	—	-0.1%	-0.3%