Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Haiti0–1Scotland

Elo change: Haiti -12

Pre-game: 23% / 25% / 52%

Scotland goals →
012345+
← Haiti goals07.6%12.2%9.9%5.3%2.1%0.9%
17.3%11.8%9.5%5.1%2.1%0.9%
23.5%5.7%4.6%2.5%1.0%
31.1%1.8%1.5%0.8%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (0–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ScotlandC+12+9.5%+5.8%+5.1%+20.4%+10.0%+4.9%+2.5%+1.1%+0.5%
PortugalK+0-0.1%——-0.2%-0.4%—+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%
SpainH+0+0.3%-0.2%———+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
CanadaB+0+0.4%+0.1%-0.2%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%———
UzbekistanK+0—-0.4%-0.2%-0.6%—-0.1%—+0.1%—
CroatiaL+0——-0.3%-0.3%-0.5%-0.5%-0.2%——
BelgiumG+0—————-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%—
AustraliaD+0-0.6%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%————
BrazilC+0-0.8%+1.3%+2.1%+2.5%+1.1%+0.9%+0.4%+0.2%—
EcuadorE+0+0.2%—-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%——-0.1%—
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.3%-1.1%-0.4%———
MoroccoC+0-2.0%+0.8%+2.9%+1.7%+1.0%+0.7%———
Ivory CoastE+0—-0.4%-0.2%-0.7%-0.5%-0.5%———
EgyptG+0——-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%———
New ZealandG+0+0.3%-0.2%—+0.1%-0.3%————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——+0.1%—+0.3%————
JordanJ+0+0.1%—-0.1%—+0.4%+0.2%———
IraqI+0+0.2%—-0.2%——————
South AfricaA+0—+0.1%——+0.2%————
DR CongoK+0-0.2%+0.6%-0.3%+0.1%+0.3%-0.1%———
QatarB+0-0.3%—+0.6%+0.3%-0.1%————
CuraçaoE+0—+0.2%—+0.1%—————
TurkeyD+0+0.7%-0.6%—+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%—+0.1%—
GhanaL+0+0.1%—-0.3%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%———
TunisiaF+0+0.2%-0.6%-0.4%-0.8%-0.8%-0.3%-0.1%——
Saudi ArabiaH+0——-0.3%-0.3%+0.1%————
South KoreaA+0—-0.3%—-0.4%-0.6%-0.8%-0.5%-0.2%—
Czech RepublicA+0—+0.2%-0.9%-0.7%-0.2%————
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%—+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%——-0.1%—
HaitiC-12-6.7%-7.9%-5.0%-19.6%-5.5%-1.8%-0.5%-0.1%—
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.2%—-0.3%-0.6%-0.3%————
MexicoA+0——-0.1%—-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%—
PanamaL+0————-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%——
United StatesD+0—+0.1%———+0.4%———
ParaguayD+0——-0.8%-0.9%-0.5%-0.1%———
EnglandL+0-0.2%———+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%—
IranG+0-0.1%—-0.4%-0.4%—+0.2%—-0.1%—
UruguayH+0—+0.3%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%——
AustriaJ+0+0.2%-0.6%+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%—
ColombiaK+0+0.4%-0.2%-0.1%+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%———
GermanyE+0—+0.3%-0.1%—+0.1%—-0.3%——
FranceI+0-0.7%—+0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-1.1%-0.8%-0.5%—
SenegalI+0+0.3%—-0.2%+0.1%-0.2%————
SwedenF+0-0.1%+0.2%——-0.4%————
AlgeriaJ+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%——
JapanF+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.3%—-1.3%-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.3%—-0.1%——-0.2%——-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.4%+0.5%——-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%-0.4%-0.4%