Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Australia20Turkey

Elo change: Australia +62

Pre-game: 28% / 27% / 45%

Mild upsetAustralia won as underdog (Elo gap: 134)

Turkey goals →
012345+
Australia goals08.8%12.3%8.6%4.0%1.4%0.5%
19.1%12.7%8.9%4.1%1.5%0.5%
24.7%6.6%4.6%2.1%0.7%
31.6%2.3%1.6%0.7%
40.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
AustraliaD+62+23.1%+22.8%-7.4%+38.5%+24.3%+12.7%+5.8%+2.9%+1.3%
ColombiaK+0+0.4%-0.5%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
South KoreaA+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.4%+0.5%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.4%-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
UruguayH+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
JapanF+0-0.3%-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%
ParaguayD+0-0.3%-1.2%+2.0%+0.5%+0.1%+0.1%
PanamaL+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.9%-0.6%+0.4%+0.5%+0.1%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%+0.4%+0.3%+0.3%
CanadaB+0-0.5%+0.2%-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.4%-0.1%-0.4%-0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
GermanyE+0+0.4%-0.2%+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%+0.1%
SwedenF+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0+0.5%-0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%
IraqI+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.1%-0.5%-0.7%-0.4%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0+0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
SenegalI+0-0.3%-0.1%+0.4%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
GhanaL+0+0.1%+0.1%-0.3%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%
FranceI+0+1.0%-0.2%-0.6%+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
QatarB+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.3%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.4%+0.4%
EnglandL+0+0.2%+0.4%-0.3%+0.3%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.3%
HaitiC+0+0.2%+0.2%
CuraçaoE+0
South AfricaA+0-0.1%
New ZealandG+0-0.3%-0.4%-0.8%
TunisiaF+0+0.6%-0.1%+0.5%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.1%+0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
JordanJ+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.5%+0.3%+0.1%-0.4%-0.1%+0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.1%-0.5%-0.7%-0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.5%+0.3%-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.3%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
EgyptG+0+0.4%+0.4%+0.7%+0.4%+0.3%
BrazilC+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.3%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0-0.3%+0.1%-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
IranG+0-0.2%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0+0.4%-0.5%+0.2%-0.3%-0.6%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.2%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%
TurkeyD-62-22.9%-22.5%+7.7%-37.7%-25.2%-13.4%-6.8%-3.6%-1.7%