World Cup 2026
Australia2–0Turkey
Elo change: Australia +62
Pre-game: 28% / 27% / 45%
Mild upset — Australia won as underdog (Elo gap: 134)
| Turkey goals → | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ← Australia goals | 0 | 8.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | ||
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |||
| 4 | 0.6% | ||||||
| 5+ | |||||||
Gold = actual result (2–0).
Click a team name to view their stats.
| Country | Grp | Elo Δ | 1st (grp) | 2nd (grp) | 3rd (adv) | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | +62 | +23.1% | +22.8% | -7.4% | +38.5% | +24.3% | +12.7% | +5.8% | +2.9% | +1.3% | |
| K | +0 | +0.4% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | +0.2% | |
| A | +0 | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.4% | — | +0.5% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.2% | |
| J | +0 | +0.4% | -0.3% | — | +0.1% | +0.2% | — | — | — | +0.2% | |
| H | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | |
| A | +0 | -0.2% | +0.3% | — | — | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | |
| J | +0 | -0.1% | — | +0.2% | — | — | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | |
| F | +0 | -0.3% | -0.3% | — | -0.5% | -0.2% | — | — | — | — | |
| D | +0 | -0.3% | -1.2% | +2.0% | +0.5% | — | +0.1% | — | +0.1% | — | |
| L | +0 | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | -0.3% | -0.2% | — | — | — | — | |
| D | +0 | — | +0.9% | -0.6% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +0.1% | +0.2% | — | — | |
| G | +0 | +0.2% | — | — | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.3% | — | |
| B | +0 | -0.5% | +0.2% | — | -0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | |
| B | +0 | +0.4% | -0.1% | -0.4% | — | -0.3% | — | +0.2% | +0.1% | — | |
| E | +0 | +0.4% | -0.2% | — | +0.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% | +0.1% | — | — | |
| F | +0 | — | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.2% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| K | +0 | — | +0.5% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | — | — | |
| I | +0 | -0.1% | — | — | -0.2% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — | |
| K | +0 | -0.1% | -0.5% | — | -0.7% | -0.4% | — | -0.1% | — | — | |
| C | +0 | — | +0.3% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -0.2% | — | — | — | |
| I | +0 | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.4% | — | — | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | |
| L | +0 | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% | — | +0.2% | — | — | — | — | |
| E | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.2% | — | — | |
| I | +0 | +1.0% | -0.2% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.1% | — | |
| B | +0 | +0.2% | -0.4% | — | -0.3% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| H | +0 | +0.2% | — | +0.3% | +0.5% | +0.3% | — | — | — | — | |
| A | +0 | — | -0.4% | +0.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| L | +0 | +0.2% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.3% | — | |
| C | +0 | — | — | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| E | +0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A | +0 | — | — | — | — | -0.1% | — | — | — | — | |
| G | +0 | -0.3% | -0.4% | — | -0.8% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F | +0 | — | +0.6% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | — | |
| C | +0 | — | -0.1% | +0.1% | — | -0.3% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | |
| J | +0 | — | +0.3% | — | +0.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% | — | — | — | |
| E | +0 | -0.5% | +0.3% | +0.1% | — | -0.4% | -0.1% | — | +0.2% | — | |
| B | +0 | -0.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — | |
| H | +0 | — | -0.1% | -0.5% | -0.7% | -0.2% | — | — | — | — | |
| I | +0 | -0.5% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -0.2% | — | — | — | |
| J | +0 | -0.3% | — | — | -0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | |
| G | +0 | +0.4% | +0.4% | — | +0.7% | +0.4% | +0.3% | — | — | — | |
| C | +0 | +0.2% | -0.2% | — | — | +0.3% | — | -0.2% | — | — | |
| L | +0 | — | -0.3% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +0.2% | — | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | |
| G | +0 | -0.2% | — | +0.5% | +0.3% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — | |
| F | +0 | +0.4% | -0.5% | +0.2% | — | -0.3% | -0.6% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.2% | |
| H | +0 | -0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | -0.5% | -0.4% | — | — | -0.2% | |
| K | +0 | -0.2% | +0.5% | — | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | |
| D | -62 | -22.9% | -22.5% | +7.7% | -37.7% | -25.2% | -13.4% | -6.8% | -3.6% | -1.7% |