Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Australia2–0Turkey

Elo change: Australia +62

Pre-game: 28% / 27% / 45%

Mild upset — Australia won as underdog (Elo gap: 134)

Turkey goals →
012345+
← Australia goals08.8%12.3%8.6%4.0%1.4%0.5%
19.1%12.7%8.9%4.1%1.5%0.5%
24.7%6.6%4.6%2.1%0.7%
31.6%2.3%1.6%0.7%
40.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
AustraliaD+62+23.1%+22.8%-7.4%+38.5%+24.3%+12.7%+5.8%+2.9%+1.3%
ColombiaK+0+0.4%-0.5%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%—+0.2%
South KoreaA+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.4%—+0.5%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.4%-0.3%—+0.1%+0.2%———+0.2%
UruguayH+0————+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.2%+0.3%——+0.4%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.1%—+0.2%——+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%—
JapanF+0-0.3%-0.3%—-0.5%-0.2%————
ParaguayD+0-0.3%-1.2%+2.0%+0.5%—+0.1%—+0.1%—
PanamaL+0-0.2%-0.2%—-0.3%-0.2%————
United StatesD+0—+0.9%-0.6%+0.4%+0.5%+0.1%+0.2%——
BelgiumG+0+0.2%——+0.2%+0.4%+0.4%+0.3%+0.3%—
CanadaB+0-0.5%+0.2%—-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%—
SwitzerlandB+0+0.4%-0.1%-0.4%—-0.3%—+0.2%+0.1%—
GermanyE+0+0.4%-0.2%—+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%+0.1%——
SwedenF+0—+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%—————
UzbekistanK+0—+0.5%-0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%——
IraqI+0-0.1%——-0.2%+0.1%————
DR CongoK+0-0.1%-0.5%—-0.7%-0.4%—-0.1%——
ScotlandC+0—+0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%-0.2%———
SenegalI+0-0.3%-0.1%+0.4%——-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%—
GhanaL+0+0.1%+0.1%-0.3%—+0.2%————
Ivory CoastE+0————+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%——
FranceI+0+1.0%-0.2%-0.6%+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%—
QatarB+0+0.2%-0.4%—-0.3%—————
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.2%—+0.3%+0.5%+0.3%————
Czech RepublicA+0—-0.4%+0.4%——————
EnglandL+0+0.2%+0.4%-0.3%+0.3%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.3%—
HaitiC+0——+0.2%+0.2%—————
CuraçaoE+0—————————
South AfricaA+0————-0.1%————
New ZealandG+0-0.3%-0.4%—-0.8%—————
TunisiaF+0—+0.6%-0.1%+0.5%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%——
MoroccoC+0—-0.1%+0.1%—-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%—
JordanJ+0—+0.3%—+0.3%-0.3%-0.1%———
EcuadorE+0-0.5%+0.3%+0.1%—-0.4%-0.1%—+0.2%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%————
Saudi ArabiaH+0—-0.1%-0.5%-0.7%-0.2%————
NorwayI+0-0.5%+0.3%-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%———
AustriaJ+0-0.3%——-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%——
EgyptG+0+0.4%+0.4%—+0.7%+0.4%+0.3%———
BrazilC+0+0.2%-0.2%——+0.3%—-0.2%——
CroatiaL+0—-0.3%+0.1%-0.3%+0.2%—-0.2%-0.1%—
IranG+0-0.2%—+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%————
NetherlandsF+0+0.4%-0.5%+0.2%—-0.3%-0.6%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.2%+0.2%——-0.5%-0.4%——-0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.2%+0.5%—+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%
TurkeyD-62-22.9%-22.5%+7.7%-37.7%-25.2%-13.4%-6.8%-3.6%-1.7%