Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Germany71Curaçao

Elo change: Germany +7

Pre-game: 85% / 10% / 4%

Curaçao goals →
012345+
Germany goals03.0%1.6%
18.9%4.9%1.3%
213.2%7.2%2.0%
313.0%7.1%1.9%
49.6%5.2%1.4%
5+10.3%5.6%1.5%

Gold = actual result (7–1) — shown in 5+ bucket.

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
GermanyE+7+13.3%-5.2%-2.6%+5.4%+3.8%+2.0%+1.2%+0.7%+0.4%
NorwayI+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%+0.1%+0.4%+0.7%+0.3%+0.1%
United StatesD+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
BrazilC+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.5%+0.5%-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%+0.1%
SpainH+0+0.2%+0.3%
IranG+0+0.3%-0.2%+0.3%
AustriaJ+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%
PanamaL+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.6%+0.3%+0.1%-0.1%
TurkeyD+0-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%-0.6%-0.2%-0.6%
Ivory CoastE+0-2.3%-1.3%+4.8%+1.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
TunisiaF+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
SwedenF+0-0.4%-0.4%
South AfricaA+0-0.4%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.3%+0.1%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%
HaitiC+0-0.3%-0.3%
CuraçaoE-7-0.9%-2.6%-4.6%-8.1%-1.2%-0.2%
JordanJ+0-0.2%-0.1%+0.1%+0.3%
GhanaL+0-0.2%+0.3%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.3%-0.3%
CanadaB+0-0.2%+0.1%-0.1%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%-0.8%-0.1%-0.1%
QatarB+0+0.4%-0.4%+0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.3%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
New ZealandG+0+0.1%+0.6%-0.1%+0.6%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.3%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.1%+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%
FranceI+0-0.6%+0.1%+0.5%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%
DR CongoK+0+0.4%+0.2%+0.7%+0.2%+0.2%
IraqI+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
EcuadorE+0-10.0%+9.1%+1.7%+0.7%-0.2%-0.3%
SenegalI+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.6%-0.7%-0.4%
AustraliaD+0+0.4%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%
ParaguayD+0-0.2%+0.8%+0.6%+0.1%+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.4%+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.5%-0.5%-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
JapanF+0+0.4%+0.1%+0.6%+0.4%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0-0.5%+0.6%+0.1%+0.2%-0.6%-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%
UruguayH+0+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%+0.1%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%