Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Germany7–1Curaçao

Elo change: Germany +7

Pre-game: 85% / 10% / 4%

Curaçao goals →
012345+
← Germany goals03.0%1.6%
18.9%4.9%1.3%
213.2%7.2%2.0%
313.0%7.1%1.9%
49.6%5.2%1.4%
5+10.3%5.6%1.5%

Gold = actual result (7–1) — shown in 5+ bucket.

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
GermanyE+7+13.3%-5.2%-2.6%+5.4%+3.8%+2.0%+1.2%+0.7%+0.4%
NorwayI+0+0.2%+0.3%—+0.5%————+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.2%-0.4%—-0.2%+0.1%+0.4%+0.7%+0.3%+0.1%
United StatesD+0+0.2%-0.3%————-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
BrazilC+0—+0.4%-0.3%—-0.3%-0.4%—+0.1%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.5%+0.5%——-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%——
ArgentinaJ+0———————+0.2%—
MoroccoC+0+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%+0.1%—————
SpainH+0————+0.2%+0.3%———
IranG+0+0.3%-0.2%——+0.3%————
AustriaJ+0+0.2%-0.2%——-0.2%—+0.2%——
PanamaL+0+0.2%+0.2%—+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%——
Saudi ArabiaH+0—+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%-0.1%————
ScotlandC+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.6%+0.3%—+0.1%-0.1%——
TurkeyD+0——-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%-0.6%-0.2%-0.6%—————
Ivory CoastE+0-2.3%-1.3%+4.8%+1.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%——
TunisiaF+0—-0.2%—-0.2%—+0.2%+0.2%——
SwedenF+0—-0.4%—-0.4%—————
South AfricaA+0—-0.4%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%————
Czech RepublicA+0—+0.3%+0.1%+0.5%+0.3%—+0.1%——
HaitiC+0——-0.3%-0.3%—————
CuraçaoE-7-0.9%-2.6%-4.6%-8.1%-1.2%-0.2%———
JordanJ+0-0.2%——-0.1%+0.1%+0.3%———
GhanaL+0-0.2%—+0.3%——————
Cabo VerdeH+0—+0.3%-0.3%——————
CanadaB+0-0.2%—+0.1%-0.1%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%——
EgyptG+0-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%-0.8%—-0.1%-0.1%——
QatarB+0—+0.4%-0.4%—+0.1%————
BelgiumG+0-0.3%—-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%——-0.2%—
New ZealandG+0+0.1%+0.6%-0.1%+0.6%—————
CroatiaL+0+0.2%—-0.2%+0.1%—+0.2%+0.3%——
SwitzerlandB+0—+0.1%—+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%———
FranceI+0-0.6%+0.1%+0.5%—-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%——
DR CongoK+0—+0.4%+0.2%+0.7%+0.2%+0.2%———
IraqI+0+0.2%——+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%———
EcuadorE+0-10.0%+9.1%+1.7%+0.7%——-0.2%-0.3%—
SenegalI+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.6%-0.7%-0.4%———
AustraliaD+0—+0.4%-0.4%——-0.1%—-0.2%—
ParaguayD+0-0.2%—+0.8%+0.6%+0.1%+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%—
EnglandL+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.3%——-0.3%-0.2%——
AlgeriaJ+0————-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%——
UzbekistanK+0—-0.2%—-0.3%—-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%—
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.4%+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.5%-0.5%——-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%—-0.1%
JapanF+0+0.4%+0.1%—+0.6%+0.4%———-0.1%
South KoreaA+0-0.5%+0.6%+0.1%+0.2%-0.6%-0.6%-0.4%—-0.2%
UruguayH+0+0.1%-0.5%—-0.3%+0.1%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%