Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Canada6–0Qatar

Elo change: Canada +10

Pre-game: 83% / 13% / 5%

Qatar goals →
012345+
← Canada goals04.9%2.2%0.5%
112.5%5.7%1.3%
216.0%7.3%1.7%
313.7%6.3%1.4%
48.7%4.0%0.9%
5+7.4%3.4%0.8%

Gold = actual result (6–0) — shown in 5+ bucket.

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
CanadaB+10+33.8%-10.9%-10.5%+12.4%+12.5%+5.1%+1.7%+0.7%+0.4%
United StatesD+0+0.5%-0.2%-0.2%—+1.8%+1.1%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.9%-0.5%-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+0.7%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
FranceI+0—+0.1%——+0.3%+0.7%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.1%-0.3%—-0.2%-0.5%-0.4%——+0.2%
AustraliaD+0-0.4%+0.1%+0.1%-0.1%+1.3%+0.8%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.1%———-0.2%—+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%
SpainH+0+0.4%-0.2%-0.3%———+0.2%——
UruguayH+0-0.4%+0.2%—-0.2%+0.2%+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%—
Ivory CoastE+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%—
AlgeriaJ+0——-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.3%———
CroatiaL+0—————————
Saudi ArabiaH+0——+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%————
JordanJ+0——-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%———
GhanaL+0+0.1%—+0.8%+0.8%+0.2%+0.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0—-7.7%+8.6%+0.9%-0.8%————
BelgiumG+0+0.3%-0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%——
MexicoA+0+0.3%-0.3%——-1.4%-1.2%-0.2%-0.1%—
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%————————
SenegalI+0—+0.2%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%—-0.2%——
DR CongoK+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.8%+0.5%—-0.1%———
ParaguayD+0-0.1%————————
IraqI+0———-0.1%+0.1%————
CuraçaoE+0——-0.3%-0.3%—————
TunisiaF+0——-0.2%-0.1%—————
QatarB-10-3.2%-14.0%+6.0%-11.2%-4.6%-0.8%-0.1%——
EgyptG+0————-0.7%-0.4%———
South AfricaA+0—-0.1%—-0.1%-1.1%-0.2%———
HaitiC+0—-0.3%-0.2%-0.6%-0.1%————
Czech RepublicA+0——-0.1%-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%——
EcuadorE+0+0.2%—-0.9%-0.7%-0.6%——+0.1%—
TurkeyD+0————+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%——
New ZealandG+0-0.2%+0.1%——-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%——
ScotlandC+0—-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%—
UzbekistanK+0—+0.2%——+0.3%+0.3%———
IranG+0——-0.2%-0.3%-1.0%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%—
PanamaL+0————+0.2%————
SwitzerlandB+0-30.7%+32.6%-1.9%—-0.4%-0.3%———
NorwayI+0—-0.3%—-0.2%—+0.1%—-0.1%—
SwedenF+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.7%-0.4%—-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%—
JapanF+0—-0.5%+0.1%-0.3%—-0.2%-0.1%——
MoroccoC+0-0.6%+0.7%+0.3%+0.4%—-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.2%——-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.3%+0.3%——-0.2%-0.8%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
South KoreaA+0-0.3%+0.5%-0.3%-0.1%-3.7%-1.5%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.7%-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%-1.0%-0.7%-0.4%-0.3%
PortugalK+0-0.7%+0.5%+0.4%+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%——-0.3%
EnglandL+0-0.1%+0.1%———+0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%