Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Canada60Qatar

Elo change: Canada +10

Pre-game: 83% / 13% / 5%

Qatar goals →
012345+
Canada goals04.9%2.2%0.5%
112.5%5.7%1.3%
216.0%7.3%1.7%
313.7%6.3%1.4%
48.7%4.0%0.9%
5+7.4%3.4%0.8%

Gold = actual result (6–0) — shown in 5+ bucket.

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
CanadaB+10+33.8%-10.9%-10.5%+12.4%+12.5%+5.1%+1.7%+0.7%+0.4%
United StatesD+0+0.5%-0.2%-0.2%+1.8%+1.1%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.9%-0.5%-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+0.7%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
FranceI+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.7%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.4%+0.2%
AustraliaD+0-0.4%+0.1%+0.1%-0.1%+1.3%+0.8%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%
SpainH+0+0.4%-0.2%-0.3%+0.2%
UruguayH+0-0.4%+0.2%-0.2%+0.2%+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.3%
CroatiaL+0
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%
JordanJ+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%
GhanaL+0+0.1%+0.8%+0.8%+0.2%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-7.7%+8.6%+0.9%-0.8%
BelgiumG+0+0.3%-0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.3%-0.3%-1.4%-1.2%-0.2%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%
SenegalI+0+0.2%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
DR CongoK+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.8%+0.5%-0.1%
ParaguayD+0-0.1%
IraqI+0-0.1%+0.1%
CuraçaoE+0-0.3%-0.3%
TunisiaF+0-0.2%-0.1%
QatarB-10-3.2%-14.0%+6.0%-11.2%-4.6%-0.8%-0.1%
EgyptG+0-0.7%-0.4%
South AfricaA+0-0.1%-0.1%-1.1%-0.2%
HaitiC+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.6%-0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%-0.9%-0.7%-0.6%+0.1%
TurkeyD+0+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%
New ZealandG+0-0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%
IranG+0-0.2%-0.3%-1.0%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
PanamaL+0+0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0-30.7%+32.6%-1.9%-0.4%-0.3%
NorwayI+0-0.3%-0.2%+0.1%-0.1%
SwedenF+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.7%-0.4%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%
JapanF+0-0.5%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.6%+0.7%+0.3%+0.4%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.2%-0.8%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
South KoreaA+0-0.3%+0.5%-0.3%-0.1%-3.7%-1.5%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.7%-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%-1.0%-0.7%-0.4%-0.3%
PortugalK+0-0.7%+0.5%+0.4%+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%
EnglandL+0-0.1%+0.1%+0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%