Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Mexico10South Korea

Elo change: Mexico +15

Pre-game: 60% / 24% / 16%

South Korea goals →
012345+
Mexico goals09.3%6.6%2.4%0.6%
115.4%11.0%3.9%0.9%
212.9%9.2%3.3%0.8%
37.1%5.1%1.8%
43.0%2.1%0.8%
5+1.3%1.0%

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
MexicoA+15+18.7%-16.7%-1.6%+0.5%+4.3%+2.4%+1.5%+0.8%+0.4%
NetherlandsF+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.4%+0.5%+0.2%+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%+0.1%
JapanF+0+0.3%+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.5%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%+0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.5%+0.3%-0.3%-0.4%+0.1%
NorwayI+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.1%-0.2%+0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.2%+0.1%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%
SenegalI+0+0.6%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
SwedenF+0-0.5%+0.1%+0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
PanamaL+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
CroatiaL+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.4%+0.3%
IranG+0+0.3%-0.4%+0.1%-0.1%
New ZealandG+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%-0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%
SpainH+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
QatarB+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.9%+0.6%+0.2%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%-0.3%
HaitiC+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.4%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%
JordanJ+0+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
CuraçaoE+0+0.1%-0.1%
South AfricaA+0+6.4%-4.7%+1.7%+0.5%+0.2%
IraqI+0-0.5%-0.5%-0.1%
TurkeyD+0+0.2%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.3%+0.2%-0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.8%-0.8%-0.2%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.2%+0.3%-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%
TunisiaF+0-0.2%
GhanaL+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.9%-0.9%-0.3%
MoroccoC+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.8%-0.2%-0.1%
ParaguayD+0-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
EnglandL+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.2%-1.0%-0.3%
DR CongoK+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
South KoreaA-15-18.6%+11.1%+6.3%-1.3%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
CanadaB+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.7%+0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.2%+0.3%-0.4%-0.3%
EcuadorE+0-0.4%+0.5%-1.2%-0.8%-0.5%-0.3%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
United StatesD+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.6%+0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.3%
AustraliaD+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%