Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Mexico1–0South Korea

Elo change: Mexico +15

Pre-game: 60% / 24% / 16%

South Korea goals →
012345+
← Mexico goals09.3%6.6%2.4%0.6%
115.4%11.0%3.9%0.9%
212.9%9.2%3.3%0.8%
37.1%5.1%1.8%
43.0%2.1%0.8%
5+1.3%1.0%

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
MexicoA+15+18.7%-16.7%-1.6%+0.5%+4.3%+2.4%+1.5%+0.8%+0.4%
NetherlandsF+0+0.3%——+0.2%+0.1%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.4%+0.5%——+0.2%+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%+0.1%
JapanF+0+0.3%——+0.2%-0.2%——+0.1%+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.5%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%—+0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%———
ColombiaK+0-0.5%+0.3%—-0.3%-0.4%——+0.1%—
NorwayI+0-0.2%+0.3%—+0.1%—-0.2%—+0.1%—
BrazilC+0—-0.2%+0.1%—-0.5%-0.2%—-0.2%—
SenegalI+0——+0.6%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%——
SwedenF+0-0.5%+0.1%+0.3%—-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%——
PanamaL+0—+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%———
CroatiaL+0—-0.1%+0.2%—+0.4%+0.3%———
IranG+0+0.3%-0.4%+0.1%—-0.1%————
New ZealandG+0+0.2%—+0.2%+0.3%-0.2%————
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.1%—+0.2%—-0.4%-0.3%———
SpainH+0—+0.3%—+0.2%———+0.1%—
QatarB+0——-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%————
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.3%——+0.9%+0.6%+0.2%+0.1%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%————
EgyptG+0-0.3%+0.2%———+0.1%———
UruguayH+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%-0.3%————
HaitiC+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.4%-0.2%————
UzbekistanK+0—+0.2%-0.2%—-0.3%-0.3%———
JordanJ+0——+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%————
Cabo VerdeH+0——-0.1%-0.1%—-0.1%———
CuraçaoE+0———+0.1%-0.1%————
South AfricaA+0—+6.4%-4.7%+1.7%+0.5%+0.2%———
IraqI+0——-0.5%-0.5%-0.1%————
TurkeyD+0—+0.2%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%———
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.3%+0.2%———-0.1%——
Czech RepublicA+0—-0.8%—-0.8%-0.2%-0.1%———
BelgiumG+0-0.2%+0.3%-0.1%—-0.5%-0.2%———
TunisiaF+0———-0.2%—————
GhanaL+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.9%-0.9%-0.3%————
MoroccoC+0—-0.4%+0.4%—-0.8%—-0.2%-0.1%—
ParaguayD+0—-0.3%—-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%—
EnglandL+0+0.3%-0.3%——+0.2%-1.0%-0.3%——
DR CongoK+0——-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%———
South KoreaA-15-18.6%+11.1%+6.3%-1.3%-0.6%—-0.3%-0.2%—
CanadaB+0-0.2%+0.2%——+0.7%—+0.2%——
GermanyE+0+0.2%+0.3%-0.4%—-0.3%————
EcuadorE+0—-0.4%+0.5%—-1.2%-0.8%-0.5%-0.3%—
Ivory CoastE+0-0.2%——-0.2%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
United StatesD+0—-0.2%+0.2%—+0.6%—+0.2%—-0.2%
FranceI+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.1%—+0.2%——-0.2%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0+0.4%-0.3%———-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.3%
AustraliaD+0-0.1%+0.3%—+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%