Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

United States2–0Australia

Elo change: United States +40

Pre-game: 48% / 28% / 24%

Australia goals →
012345+
← United States goals011.3%9.6%4.1%1.2%
115.1%12.8%5.4%1.5%
210.0%8.5%3.6%1.0%
34.4%3.8%1.6%0.5%
41.5%1.2%0.5%
5+0.5%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
United StatesD+40+36.3%-27.2%-8.2%+0.8%+7.1%+13.4%+6.9%+4.3%+2.3%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.2%——+0.1%+0.9%——+0.1%
GermanyE+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%—+0.2%+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0—————————
ParaguayD+0-1.5%+10.4%-4.4%+4.5%+2.6%+0.7%+0.4%+0.1%—
UzbekistanK+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%———
DR CongoK+0——-0.2%——+0.2%-0.3%——
South KoreaA+0—-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.5%-0.4%———
EgyptG+0-0.2%-0.3%+0.4%-0.1%+1.4%-0.5%———
PanamaL+0+0.1%—+0.6%+0.7%+0.3%+0.3%———
South AfricaA+0—+0.2%—+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%———
Czech RepublicA+0—————-0.2%-0.1%——
TunisiaF+0—————+0.1%———
EnglandL+0-0.3%+0.2%———+0.3%+0.1%——
QatarB+0——-0.1%-0.1%-1.0%-0.3%———
HaitiC+0——+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——-0.8%-0.8%-2.9%-1.1%-0.3%——
UruguayH+0—-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.3%-0.7%-0.5%——
GhanaL+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.8%+0.6%—+0.2%———
New ZealandG+0+0.2%—-0.5%-0.4%+1.4%-0.1%———
AustriaJ+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%——
IraqI+0——+0.2%+0.2%—————
JordanJ+0—-0.1%——-0.5%-0.3%———
MoroccoC+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%————
JapanF+0-0.6%+0.8%—+0.2%+0.7%+0.3%+0.4%——
CanadaB+0————+0.2%—+0.3%——
Saudi ArabiaH+0——+0.1%+0.2%—-0.1%———
PortugalK+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%—+0.6%———
BrazilC+0-0.1%+0.3%-0.2%——+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%—
Cabo VerdeH+0—+0.4%—+0.5%—-0.2%———
NetherlandsF+0—-0.7%+0.4%-0.4%-0.4%+0.1%———
IranG+0-0.2%+0.5%-0.3%—+1.6%-0.5%-0.1%——
Ivory CoastE+0—+0.1%+0.4%+0.5%+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%-0.1%—
MexicoA+0————-0.1%-0.8%-0.3%-0.3%—
BelgiumG+0+0.2%——+0.2%+1.5%-0.9%-0.2%——
EcuadorE+0—+0.2%+0.4%+0.5%-0.5%-0.4%———
SenegalI+0——+0.5%+0.6%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%—
NorwayI+0—-0.2%+0.4%+0.3%+0.3%-0.2%—-0.3%—
CroatiaL+0————-0.4%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.7%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
TurkeyD+0-1.3%+0.4%-1.6%-2.6%-1.6%-0.9%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
SwedenF+0+0.6%—-0.3%+0.3%-0.2%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0—-0.2%-0.1%-0.4%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
FranceI+0—+0.2%——-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0——+0.3%+0.1%+0.5%——-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0—-0.1%+0.2%—-0.3%-0.2%-0.6%-0.2%-0.3%
AustraliaD-40-33.4%+16.4%+10.9%-6.1%-9.9%-8.2%-3.6%-1.8%-0.7%