Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

United States20Australia

Elo change: United States +40

Pre-game: 48% / 28% / 24%

Australia goals →
012345+
United States goals011.3%9.6%4.1%1.2%
115.1%12.8%5.4%1.5%
210.0%8.5%3.6%1.0%
34.4%3.8%1.6%0.5%
41.5%1.2%0.5%
5+0.5%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
United StatesD+40+36.3%-27.2%-8.2%+0.8%+7.1%+13.4%+6.9%+4.3%+2.3%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.9%+0.1%
GermanyE+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0
ParaguayD+0-1.5%+10.4%-4.4%+4.5%+2.6%+0.7%+0.4%+0.1%
UzbekistanK+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.3%
South KoreaA+0-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.5%-0.4%
EgyptG+0-0.2%-0.3%+0.4%-0.1%+1.4%-0.5%
PanamaL+0+0.1%+0.6%+0.7%+0.3%+0.3%
South AfricaA+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.2%-0.1%
TunisiaF+0+0.1%
EnglandL+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
QatarB+0-0.1%-0.1%-1.0%-0.3%
HaitiC+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.8%-0.8%-2.9%-1.1%-0.3%
UruguayH+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.3%-0.7%-0.5%
GhanaL+0+0.2%-0.4%+0.8%+0.6%+0.2%
New ZealandG+0+0.2%-0.5%-0.4%+1.4%-0.1%
AustriaJ+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%
IraqI+0+0.2%+0.2%
JordanJ+0-0.1%-0.5%-0.3%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
JapanF+0-0.6%+0.8%+0.2%+0.7%+0.3%+0.4%
CanadaB+0+0.2%+0.3%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.6%
BrazilC+0-0.1%+0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.4%+0.5%-0.2%
NetherlandsF+0-0.7%+0.4%-0.4%-0.4%+0.1%
IranG+0-0.2%+0.5%-0.3%+1.6%-0.5%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.1%+0.4%+0.5%+0.5%+0.4%+0.1%-0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.1%-0.8%-0.3%-0.3%
BelgiumG+0+0.2%+0.2%+1.5%-0.9%-0.2%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%+0.4%+0.5%-0.5%-0.4%
SenegalI+0+0.5%+0.6%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%
NorwayI+0-0.2%+0.4%+0.3%+0.3%-0.2%-0.3%
CroatiaL+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.7%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
TurkeyD+0-1.3%+0.4%-1.6%-2.6%-1.6%-0.9%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
SwedenF+0+0.6%-0.3%+0.3%-0.2%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.4%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.3%+0.1%+0.5%-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.6%-0.2%-0.3%
AustraliaD-40-33.4%+16.4%+10.9%-6.1%-9.9%-8.2%-3.6%-1.8%-0.7%