Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Morocco1–0Scotland

Elo change: Morocco +26

Pre-game: 39% / 27% / 34%

Scotland goals →
012345+
← Morocco goals08.7%10.1%5.9%2.3%0.7%
111.1%12.9%7.5%2.9%0.9%
27.1%8.3%4.8%1.9%0.5%
33.0%3.5%2.0%0.8%
41.0%1.1%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
MoroccoC+26+22.9%+12.1%-17.0%+18.1%+12.3%+6.8%+3.6%+1.7%+0.8%
FranceI+0-0.2%+0.2%———+0.3%+0.2%+0.4%+0.5%
ParaguayD+0—-0.6%—-0.6%-0.5%——+0.1%+0.1%
EgyptG+0+0.1%———+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%——
TurkeyD+0—-0.2%—-0.1%-0.1%——+0.1%—
BrazilC+0+0.6%-4.9%+4.0%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%———
AustraliaD+0—+0.8%-0.6%————+0.1%—
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.3%—+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%—
ColombiaK+0+0.2%-0.2%———+0.3%———
CanadaB+0+0.5%-0.5%——+0.2%—-0.3%——
BelgiumG+0-0.2%+0.2%——-0.7%——-0.1%—
CroatiaL+0—-0.7%+0.3%-0.3%——+0.1%——
IranG+0+0.2%-0.4%—-0.1%-0.3%————
SenegalI+0—-0.4%-0.1%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%———
SwedenF+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+0.5%—-0.3%———
IraqI+0——-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%————
GhanaL+0—+0.5%-1.2%-0.7%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%——
South AfricaA+0—-0.4%-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%+0.1%———
Cabo VerdeH+0————+0.2%————
TunisiaF+0——-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%———
SwitzerlandB+0-0.5%+0.5%——-0.3%-0.4%———
CuraçaoE+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
New ZealandG+0-0.1%+0.2%—+0.1%+0.3%————
Czech RepublicA+0—————————
QatarB+0——-0.3%-0.3%—————
HaitiC+0+0.4%-0.8%-4.3%-4.7%-0.9%-0.2%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0—-0.3%—-0.3%—-0.1%———
DR CongoK+0—-0.1%+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%————
PanamaL+0——-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%———
JordanJ+0—+0.1%—+0.1%—————
EcuadorE+0—-0.4%—-0.5%——-0.3%-0.2%—
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%—-0.7%-0.9%-0.2%————
NorwayI+0+0.3%+0.2%-0.4%—-0.3%—-0.1%——
JapanF+0+0.5%-0.6%-0.1%-0.3%-0.8%-0.5%-0.4%-0.1%—
South KoreaA+0+0.1%+0.4%-0.2%+0.3%—+0.1%-0.1%——
UruguayH+0—+0.3%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%——
SpainH+0——————+0.3%-0.1%—
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.8%-0.4%-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%——
AustriaJ+0+0.2%-0.5%+0.4%—-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%——
ArgentinaJ+0-0.1%+0.1%——-0.3%-0.4%———
EnglandL+0——-0.1%—-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%+0.5%-0.2%+0.2%-0.7%-0.7%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
PortugalK+0—+0.3%-0.3%—-0.2%-0.5%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.1%+0.1%——+0.8%+0.7%——-0.2%
GermanyE+0-0.2%+0.2%——+0.5%——-0.4%-0.2%
United StatesD+0——————-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%
ScotlandC-26-23.9%-6.4%+21.7%-8.6%-7.7%-4.1%-1.6%-0.7%-0.4%