Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Morocco10Scotland

Elo change: Morocco +26

Pre-game: 39% / 27% / 34%

Scotland goals →
012345+
Morocco goals08.7%10.1%5.9%2.3%0.7%
111.1%12.9%7.5%2.9%0.9%
27.1%8.3%4.8%1.9%0.5%
33.0%3.5%2.0%0.8%
41.0%1.1%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
MoroccoC+26+22.9%+12.1%-17.0%+18.1%+12.3%+6.8%+3.6%+1.7%+0.8%
FranceI+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.4%+0.5%
ParaguayD+0-0.6%-0.6%-0.5%+0.1%+0.1%
EgyptG+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%
TurkeyD+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%+0.1%
BrazilC+0+0.6%-4.9%+4.0%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%
AustraliaD+0+0.8%-0.6%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
ColombiaK+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.3%
CanadaB+0+0.5%-0.5%+0.2%-0.3%
BelgiumG+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.7%-0.1%
CroatiaL+0-0.7%+0.3%-0.3%+0.1%
IranG+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.1%-0.3%
SenegalI+0-0.4%-0.1%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%
SwedenF+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+0.5%-0.3%
IraqI+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
GhanaL+0+0.5%-1.2%-0.7%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
South AfricaA+0-0.4%-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%+0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.2%
TunisiaF+0-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.5%+0.5%-0.3%-0.4%
CuraçaoE+0-0.2%-0.2%
New ZealandG+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%
Czech RepublicA+0
QatarB+0-0.3%-0.3%
HaitiC+0+0.4%-0.8%-4.3%-4.7%-0.9%-0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%
PanamaL+0-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
JordanJ+0+0.1%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%-0.7%-0.9%-0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.3%+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
JapanF+0+0.5%-0.6%-0.1%-0.3%-0.8%-0.5%-0.4%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.1%+0.4%-0.2%+0.3%+0.1%-0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.3%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.4%+0.1%
SpainH+0+0.3%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.8%-0.4%-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%
AustriaJ+0+0.2%-0.5%+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.1%+0.1%-0.3%-0.4%
EnglandL+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%+0.5%-0.2%+0.2%-0.7%-0.7%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.1%+0.1%+0.8%+0.7%-0.2%
GermanyE+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.5%-0.4%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%
ScotlandC-26-23.9%-6.4%+21.7%-8.6%-7.7%-4.1%-1.6%-0.7%-0.4%