Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Brazil30Haiti

Elo change: Brazil +8

Pre-game: 82% / 12% / 6%

Haiti goals →
012345+
Brazil goals02.8%2.0%0.7%
18.1%5.6%1.9%
211.7%8.1%2.8%0.6%
311.2%7.7%2.7%0.6%
48.1%5.6%1.9%
5+8.2%5.7%2.0%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
BrazilC+8+8.8%-3.3%+1.6%+7.1%+5.8%+3.0%+1.8%+1.1%+0.7%
PortugalK+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%+0.2%+0.5%+0.2%+0.3%
SpainH+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.1%-0.3%+0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.1%-0.3%+0.4%+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.7%-0.3%-0.4%
South KoreaA+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.1%-0.1%+0.2%
JordanJ+0-0.1%-0.7%-0.8%-0.3%
NorwayI+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.6%+0.3%+0.7%+0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
SwedenF+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.7%-0.3%-0.3%
QatarB+0-0.2%-0.2%
JapanF+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%-1.1%-0.3%-0.1%
TunisiaF+0-0.2%
HaitiC-8-1.3%-2.1%-5.1%-8.6%-1.8%-0.5%
CuraçaoE+0
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
CanadaB+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.4%+0.4%+0.1%
IraqI+0-0.1%
CroatiaL+0+0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.2%-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%+0.2%
ScotlandC+0-1.6%-2.7%+8.2%+3.9%+1.2%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
South AfricaA+0+0.3%+0.1%+0.4%+0.2%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.7%-0.2%
GhanaL+0-0.2%-0.6%-0.9%+0.2%
IranG+0+0.2%-0.3%
New ZealandG+0+0.2%+0.1%+0.4%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.6%-0.3%
PanamaL+0+0.2%+0.1%
SenegalI+0+0.3%+0.6%+0.9%+0.7%+0.5%+0.2%
DR CongoK+0-0.4%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0-0.8%+0.7%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.1%-0.4%-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.2%+0.4%-0.3%-0.3%+0.2%
ParaguayD+0+0.7%-0.7%+0.4%+0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.4%-0.4%+0.3%+0.4%-0.1%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0-5.9%+8.2%-2.2%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.4%+0.1%
TurkeyD+0+0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
GermanyE+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.8%-0.9%-0.5%-0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.5%+0.4%-0.5%-0.8%-0.5%-0.1%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
EgyptG+0-0.5%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%