Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Brazil3–0Haiti

Elo change: Brazil +8

Pre-game: 82% / 12% / 6%

Haiti goals →
012345+
← Brazil goals02.8%2.0%0.7%
18.1%5.6%1.9%
211.7%8.1%2.8%0.6%
311.2%7.7%2.7%0.6%
48.1%5.6%1.9%
5+8.2%5.7%2.0%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
BrazilC+8+8.8%-3.3%+1.6%+7.1%+5.8%+3.0%+1.8%+1.1%+0.7%
PortugalK+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%—+0.2%+0.5%—+0.2%+0.3%
SpainH+0-0.3%+0.3%———-0.1%-0.3%—+0.2%
United StatesD+0————-0.3%+0.2%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.1%-0.3%+0.4%—+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%—+0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.1%————————
MexicoA+0————-0.7%-0.3%-0.4%——
South KoreaA+0—-0.4%+0.4%—-0.1%-0.1%+0.2%——
JordanJ+0—-0.1%-0.7%-0.8%-0.3%————
NorwayI+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.6%+0.3%+0.7%—+0.2%——
EnglandL+0————-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%—
UzbekistanK+0+0.2%———-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%——
SwedenF+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.7%-0.3%-0.3%——
QatarB+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
JapanF+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%—-1.1%-0.3%-0.1%——
TunisiaF+0————-0.2%————
HaitiC-8-1.3%-2.1%-5.1%-8.6%-1.8%-0.5%———
CuraçaoE+0—————————
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%-0.1%—-0.2%—-0.1%———
CanadaB+0-0.2%+0.1%———+0.4%+0.4%+0.1%—
IraqI+0———-0.1%—————
CroatiaL+0—+0.3%-0.2%—+0.2%+0.3%———
Czech RepublicA+0—+0.2%-0.1%——————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——+0.2%+0.2%—————
ScotlandC+0-1.6%-2.7%+8.2%+3.9%+1.2%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%—
South AfricaA+0—+0.3%+0.1%+0.4%+0.2%-0.1%———
NetherlandsF+0——-0.2%-0.3%-0.7%-0.2%———
GhanaL+0—-0.2%-0.6%-0.9%+0.2%————
IranG+0—+0.2%-0.3%——————
New ZealandG+0+0.2%—+0.1%+0.4%—————
Saudi ArabiaH+0—+0.2%-0.2%—-0.2%————
AustriaJ+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.6%-0.3%—————
PanamaL+0———+0.2%+0.1%————
SenegalI+0—+0.3%+0.6%+0.9%+0.7%+0.5%+0.2%——
DR CongoK+0——-0.4%-0.2%—————
AustraliaD+0—-0.8%+0.7%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%——
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.1%-0.4%-0.5%-0.5%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%—
EcuadorE+0-0.2%+0.4%-0.3%—-0.3%—+0.2%——
ParaguayD+0—+0.7%-0.7%—+0.4%+0.1%———
UruguayH+0+0.4%-0.4%+0.3%+0.4%-0.1%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%—
MoroccoC+0-5.9%+8.2%-2.2%—-0.6%—-0.3%-0.2%—
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.2%———+0.4%+0.1%——
TurkeyD+0—+0.3%-0.5%-0.3%———-0.1%-0.1%
GermanyE+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%—-0.8%-0.9%-0.5%—-0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.5%+0.4%——-0.5%-0.8%-0.5%-0.1%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%—-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
EgyptG+0-0.5%+0.1%—-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%—-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.1%————-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%