Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Paraguay10Turkey

Elo change: Paraguay +36

Pre-game: 34% / 27% / 39%

Turkey goals →
012345+
Paraguay goals08.3%10.8%7.0%3.1%1.0%
19.8%12.8%8.4%3.6%1.2%
25.8%7.6%5.0%2.2%0.7%
32.3%3.0%2.0%0.9%
40.7%0.9%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
ParaguayD+36+12.6%+25.8%+38.3%+18.8%+8.0%+4.1%+1.8%+0.8%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.4%-0.3%+0.3%-0.1%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
GermanyE+0-0.1%+0.1%+0.3%+0.5%+0.5%+0.1%+0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.2%-0.8%-0.5%-0.9%-0.1%+0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%
NetherlandsF+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%+0.2%
SenegalI+0-0.3%-1.3%-1.7%-1.1%-0.8%-0.3%
AustraliaD+0-0.1%-0.5%+1.0%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0-0.4%+0.4%+0.5%+0.1%+0.1%
New ZealandG+0-0.2%-0.5%-0.8%-0.5%
CanadaB+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.4%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.4%+0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.4%-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%
IraqI+0+0.1%-0.7%-0.6%-0.1%
PanamaL+0-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
HaitiC+0
CuraçaoE+0
TunisiaF+0+0.1%-0.4%-0.2%+0.2%
GhanaL+0-0.3%-0.4%-0.6%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+1.3%+1.2%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.3%-0.4%+0.1%
QatarB+0+1.2%+1.2%+0.3%
JordanJ+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%
MoroccoC+0-0.3%+0.4%+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%
IranG+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.3%-0.3%+0.3%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.7%-0.3%-0.3%+0.4%
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%+0.1%-0.2%+0.1%-0.2%-0.3%
EgyptG+0+0.5%-0.2%-0.3%+0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.4%-0.4%+0.2%
ScotlandC+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-1.0%-1.1%-0.7%-0.5%-0.3%
SwedenF+0+0.3%-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.3%-0.6%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
JapanF+0-0.6%-0.2%+0.1%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.3%+0.4%-0.4%-0.3%-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
United StatesD+0+0.6%-0.6%+0.5%+0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.6%-0.7%-0.2%+0.3%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.3%
TurkeyD-36-0.5%-11.6%-19.7%-31.7%-16.2%-6.9%-3.4%-1.5%-0.7%