Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Paraguay1–0Turkey

Elo change: Paraguay +36

Pre-game: 34% / 27% / 39%

Turkey goals →
012345+
← Paraguay goals08.3%10.8%7.0%3.1%1.0%
19.8%12.8%8.4%3.6%1.2%
25.8%7.6%5.0%2.2%0.7%
32.3%3.0%2.0%0.9%
40.7%0.9%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ParaguayD+36—+12.6%+25.8%+38.3%+18.8%+8.0%+4.1%+1.8%+0.8%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.4%-0.3%+0.3%-0.1%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.1%+0.2%—————+0.1%+0.1%
AustriaJ+0——+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%—+0.3%+0.1%
GermanyE+0-0.1%—+0.1%—+0.3%+0.5%+0.5%+0.1%+0.1%
NorwayI+0—+0.2%-0.8%-0.5%-0.9%-0.1%—+0.1%—
MexicoA+0—————+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%—
NetherlandsF+0+0.2%—-0.2%—-0.3%—+0.2%——
SenegalI+0—-0.3%-1.3%-1.7%-1.1%-0.8%-0.3%——
AustraliaD+0-0.1%-0.5%+1.0%+0.4%—+0.3%+0.1%——
BelgiumG+0——-0.1%-0.2%—-0.2%—+0.1%—
DR CongoK+0-0.2%————————
CroatiaL+0—+0.2%-0.3%——-0.1%-0.1%——
South KoreaA+0—-0.4%+0.4%—+0.5%—+0.1%+0.1%—
New ZealandG+0-0.2%—-0.5%-0.8%-0.5%————
CanadaB+0-0.3%+0.3%——-0.4%+0.2%———
Ivory CoastE+0—+0.2%-0.2%—+0.4%+0.1%———
South AfricaA+0—+0.4%-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%————
IraqI+0—+0.1%-0.7%-0.6%-0.1%————
PanamaL+0——-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%————
HaitiC+0—————————
CuraçaoE+0—————————
TunisiaF+0—+0.1%-0.4%-0.2%+0.2%————
GhanaL+0—-0.3%-0.4%-0.6%—————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——+1.3%+1.2%—————
Czech RepublicA+0—-0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%———
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.3%——-0.4%—+0.1%———
QatarB+0——+1.2%+1.2%+0.3%————
JordanJ+0——-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%————
MoroccoC+0-0.3%+0.4%——+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%—
IranG+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.3%-0.3%+0.3%————
Saudi ArabiaH+0——-0.2%——-0.2%———
SpainH+0+0.3%-0.3%——+0.1%—+0.2%——
ColombiaK+0+0.7%-0.3%-0.3%———+0.4%——
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%-0.1%—-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%———
ArgentinaJ+0—-0.2%+0.1%—-0.2%+0.1%-0.2%-0.3%—
EgyptG+0+0.5%-0.2%-0.3%——+0.2%———
AlgeriaJ+0——-0.4%-0.4%——+0.2%——
ScotlandC+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-1.0%-1.1%-0.7%-0.5%-0.3%—
SwedenF+0+0.3%—-0.4%—-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%—
UruguayH+0—+0.3%-0.6%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%—
JapanF+0-0.6%-0.2%+0.1%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%—-0.1%—
SwitzerlandB+0+0.3%-0.3%——+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%—-0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.3%+0.4%-0.4%-0.3%—-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
United StatesD+0+0.6%-0.6%——+0.5%+0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.6%—-0.7%-0.2%—+0.3%——-0.2%
FranceI+0————————-0.3%
TurkeyD-36-0.5%-11.6%-19.7%-31.7%-16.2%-6.9%-3.4%-1.5%-0.7%