Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Netherlands51Sweden

Elo change: Netherlands +28

Pre-game: 52% / 25% / 23%

Sweden goals →
012345+
Netherlands goals07.0%7.1%3.6%1.2%
111.5%11.7%6.0%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.6%4.9%1.7%
35.2%5.3%2.7%0.9%
42.1%2.2%1.1%
5+0.9%1.0%0.5%

Gold = actual result (5–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
NetherlandsF+28+46.1%-12.0%-19.1%+15.0%+11.2%+8.0%+4.0%+2.2%+1.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.4%+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%+0.3%
FranceI+0+0.1%+1.8%+1.0%+0.2%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.5%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
JapanF+0-13.2%+14.5%-0.2%+1.1%+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
EgyptG+0+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
IranG+0+0.1%-0.3%+0.3%-0.1%+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.2%+0.6%+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
AustraliaD+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%-0.3%
TurkeyD+0-0.2%-0.2%
IraqI+0-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0+0.7%-0.6%-1.9%-1.2%-0.3%-0.3%
JordanJ+0-0.2%+0.4%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-1.1%-1.1%-0.1%
PanamaL+0-0.2%+0.6%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%
CuraçaoE+0+0.1%-0.1%
UruguayH+0-0.6%+0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%
QatarB+0-0.8%-0.8%-0.2%
South AfricaA+0-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%
TunisiaF+0+0.3%-3.8%-1.6%-5.1%-1.3%-0.4%-0.1%
New ZealandG+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.1%+0.2%
MexicoA+0-0.1%+0.1%
UzbekistanK+0+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%+0.4%+0.2%
GhanaL+0+0.5%-1.2%-0.8%-0.5%-0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.6%-0.4%+0.1%-0.7%-1.0%-0.4%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%
AustriaJ+0-0.5%+0.7%+0.2%+0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0+0.4%+0.4%-1.5%-0.5%-0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.4%+0.2%
EcuadorE+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.6%-0.3%+0.4%+0.3%+0.3%
CanadaB+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.2%-1.0%-0.1%
SenegalI+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.4%
DR CongoK+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.3%-0.4%+0.2%+0.1%-0.4%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%-0.9%-0.3%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.1%-0.5%-0.3%
ParaguayD+0-0.2%-0.5%-0.7%+0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%
SpainH+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.7%+0.2%+0.4%-1.3%-1.0%-0.7%-0.5%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.3%+0.4%-0.1%
EnglandL+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
NorwayI+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.5%-0.3%-0.2%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%-0.2%
SwedenF-28-33.2%+1.3%+23.7%-8.2%-6.9%-3.7%-1.4%-0.6%-0.3%