Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Netherlands5–1Sweden

Elo change: Netherlands +28

Pre-game: 52% / 25% / 23%

Sweden goals →
012345+
← Netherlands goals07.0%7.1%3.6%1.2%
111.5%11.7%6.0%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.6%4.9%1.7%
35.2%5.3%2.7%0.9%
42.1%2.2%1.1%
5+0.9%1.0%0.5%

Gold = actual result (5–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
NetherlandsF+28+46.1%-12.0%-19.1%+15.0%+11.2%+8.0%+4.0%+2.2%+1.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.4%+0.3%——-0.5%——+0.2%+0.3%
FranceI+0—+0.1%——+1.8%+1.0%—+0.2%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.5%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%——+0.1%
JapanF+0-13.2%+14.5%-0.2%+1.1%+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%——
EgyptG+0+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.5%+0.2%—+0.2%——
IranG+0+0.1%-0.3%+0.3%—-0.1%+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%—
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.2%+0.6%+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%—-0.2%-0.1%—————
AustraliaD+0—+0.1%—+0.1%+0.2%—-0.3%——
TurkeyD+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
IraqI+0——-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%————
MoroccoC+0+0.7%-0.6%——-1.9%-1.2%-0.3%-0.3%—
JordanJ+0—-0.2%+0.4%——————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——-1.1%-1.1%-0.1%————
PanamaL+0—-0.2%+0.6%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%———
CuraçaoE+0—+0.1%-0.1%——————
UruguayH+0-0.6%—+0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%——
QatarB+0——-0.8%-0.8%-0.2%————
South AfricaA+0—-0.3%—-0.4%—-0.2%———
TunisiaF+0+0.3%-3.8%-1.6%-5.1%-1.3%-0.4%-0.1%——
New ZealandG+0—+0.1%-0.2%-0.1%+0.2%————
MexicoA+0—————-0.1%+0.1%——
UzbekistanK+0—+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%+0.4%+0.2%———
GhanaL+0—+0.5%-1.2%-0.8%-0.5%-0.2%———
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.3%—-0.3%—-0.4%-0.1%———
South KoreaA+0—+0.6%-0.4%+0.1%-0.7%-1.0%-0.4%——
Czech RepublicA+0—-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%————
AustriaJ+0-0.5%+0.7%+0.2%+0.4%-0.3%——-0.2%—
CroatiaL+0—-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%—-0.3%-0.1%——
ScotlandC+0—+0.4%—+0.4%-1.5%-0.5%-0.1%——
PortugalK+0+0.2%-0.4%—-0.2%-0.4%—+0.2%——
EcuadorE+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.6%-0.3%+0.4%+0.3%+0.3%——
CanadaB+0+0.2%-0.2%——+0.2%-1.0%-0.1%——
SenegalI+0—+0.2%—+0.3%+0.4%————
DR CongoK+0——+0.2%+0.2%—-0.1%-0.2%——
GermanyE+0+0.3%-0.4%+0.2%+0.1%——-0.4%——
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%+0.2%——+0.2%-0.9%-0.3%-0.2%—
United StatesD+0————-0.1%-0.5%—-0.3%—
ParaguayD+0—-0.2%-0.5%-0.7%+0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%—
SpainH+0+0.1%—-0.1%————-0.1%-0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.7%+0.2%+0.4%—-1.3%-1.0%-0.7%-0.5%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.3%+0.4%——-0.1%
EnglandL+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.1%—-0.2%———-0.1%
NorwayI+0—-0.2%+0.3%—+0.5%+0.2%—-0.2%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.5%-0.3%-0.2%—+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%-0.2%
SwedenF-28-33.2%+1.3%+23.7%-8.2%-6.9%-3.7%-1.4%-0.6%-0.3%