World Cup 2026
Curaçao0–0Ecuador
Elo change: Curaçao +26
Pre-game: 8% / 16% / 76%
Major upset — draw — Ecuador failed to win (Elo gap: 463)
| Ecuador goals → | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ← Curaçao goals | 0 | 5.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | ||||||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5+ | |||||||
Gold = actual result (0–0).
Click a team name to view their stats.
| Country | Grp | Elo Δ | 1st (grp) | 2nd (grp) | 3rd (adv) | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain | H | +0 | — | — | — | +0.1% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.3% |
 Germany | E | +0 | +1.9% | -1.9% | — | — | +0.4% | — | — | — | +0.2% |
 Paraguay | D | +0 | — | +0.3% | +3.9% | +4.1% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
 Colombia | K | +0 | +0.5% | — | -0.2% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% |
 Uruguay | H | +0 | -0.2% | +0.2% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% |
 Brazil | C | +0 | -0.3% | — | +0.2% | — | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
 Morocco | C | +0 | — | — | — | — | -0.1% | +0.1% | +0.4% | — | — |
 Belgium | G | +0 | — | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.1% | — |
 Croatia | L | +0 | — | +0.2% | +0.9% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | — |
 Austria | J | +0 | — | +0.2% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +0.4% | — | +0.2% | — |
 Norway | I | +0 | +0.3% | -0.2% | — | +0.2% | +3.4% | +1.7% | +1.1% | +0.4% | — |
 Switzerland | B | +0 | — | — | — | — | -0.4% | -0.1% | — | — | — |
 South Korea | A | +0 | — | +0.2% | +1.2% | +1.4% | +0.9% | +0.7% | +0.3% | — | — |
 England | L | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.7% | +0.3% | — | — | — |
 Japan | F | +0 | -0.3% | — | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Netherlands | F | +0 | +0.3% | -0.4% | — | — | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.1% | +0.1% | — |
 Jordan | J | +0 | — | — | +2.0% | +2.0% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +0.2% | — | — |
 United States | D | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.9% | +1.1% | — | — | — |
 Czech Republic | A | +0 | — | -0.1% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Canada | B | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | +0 | — | — | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 DR Congo | K | +0 | -0.3% | — | +1.0% | +0.7% | +0.3% | — | — | — | — |
 Algeria | J | +0 | — | -0.1% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +0.8% | +0.3% | — | — | — |
 Turkey | D | +0 | — | — | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 France | I | +0 | -0.3% | +0.3% | — | — | +1.1% | +0.8% | +0.3% | — | — |
 New Zealand | G | +0 | -0.4% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +0.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Saudi Arabia | H | +0 | — | — | +0.6% | +0.6% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.1% | — | — |
| Curaçao | E | +26 | — | +11.0% | +1.9% | +12.9% | +1.3% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Qatar | B | +0 | — | — | +0.7% | +0.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Haiti | C | +0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 Scotland | C | +0 | +0.3% | -0.1% | +3.3% | +3.5% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +0.3% | — | — |
 Iraq | I | +0 | — | — | +1.9% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Ghana | L | +0 | — | — | +4.3% | +4.2% | +0.2% | — | — | — | — |
 Cabo Verde | H | +0 | +0.2% | -0.2% | +0.9% | +0.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Tunisia | F | +0 | — | — | +0.8% | +0.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
 South Africa | A | +0 | — | — | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.1% | — | — | — |
 Panama | L | +0 | — | -0.2% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | — | — | — |
 Mexico | A | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.3% | +0.4% | — | +0.1% | — |
 Uzbekistan | K | +0 | — | -0.1% | +2.0% | +1.8% | +0.4% | — | — | — | — |
 Ivory Coast | E | +0 | — | +14.9% | -18.3% | -3.4% | — | +0.2% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Australia | D | +0 | — | -0.3% | +2.7% | +2.4% | +0.9% | +0.3% | — | +0.1% | — |
 Egypt | G | +0 | +0.4% | -0.3% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +0.5% | — | — | — | — |
 Sweden | F | +0 | — | +0.4% | +1.9% | +2.2% | +1.0% | +0.5% | — | — | — |
 Portugal | K | +0 | -0.2% | — | +0.7% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +0.4% | — | — |
 Iran | G | +0 | — | +0.4% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +0.3% | — | — | — |
 Senegal | I | +0 | — | -0.1% | +1.8% | +1.7% | +1.3% | +0.5% | — | — | -0.1% |
 Argentina | J | +0 | — | — | +0.1% | — | -0.3% | -0.3% | — | — | -0.2% |
| Ecuador | E | -26 | -1.9% | -24.1% | -26.1% | -52.1% | -23.2% | -11.9% | -5.7% | -2.7% | -1.3% |