Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Japan40Tunisia

Elo change: Japan +15

Pre-game: 59% / 24% / 17%

Tunisia goals →
012345+
Japan goals08.7%6.7%2.6%0.7%
114.6%11.2%4.3%1.1%
212.2%9.4%3.6%0.9%
36.8%5.2%2.0%0.5%
42.9%2.2%0.8%
5+1.3%1.0%

Gold = actual result (4–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
JapanF+15+7.7%+4.8%+1.8%+14.2%+9.1%+5.5%+2.8%+1.6%+0.8%
EnglandL+0-0.1%+0.4%+0.4%+0.5%+0.2%
SwedenF+0-1.8%-8.7%+13.6%+3.1%-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.5%-0.5%+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.9%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.5%+0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0
AlgeriaJ+0+0.4%-1.1%-0.8%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
SpainH+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
NorwayI+0-0.4%+0.3%-0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%
IranG+0-0.4%+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.4%-0.8%-0.4%+0.3%
New ZealandG+0+0.4%+0.4%-0.3%+0.5%+0.3%
PanamaL+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.1%-0.1%
South AfricaA+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%
UzbekistanK+0+0.1%-0.4%-0.3%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0-0.4%-0.3%-0.7%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
IraqI+0
Czech RepublicA+0-0.2%-0.2%
QatarB+0
CuraçaoE+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
JordanJ+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%+0.2%-0.3%
GhanaL+0+0.4%-0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
TunisiaF-15-1.5%-0.7%-7.9%-10.1%-1.8%-0.7%-0.2%
DR CongoK+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
PortugalK+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%
TurkeyD+0
ScotlandC+0-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.9%-0.4%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.2%+0.5%+0.2%
NetherlandsF+0-4.3%+4.6%-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%
UruguayH+0+0.3%-0.7%-0.5%-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
EcuadorE+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%+0.1%
CanadaB+0-0.3%-0.1%
CroatiaL+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.6%-0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.2%+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%-1.6%-1.1%-0.9%-0.1%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
GermanyE+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.3%-0.2%-1.6%-0.7%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%