Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Japan4–0Tunisia

Elo change: Japan +15

Pre-game: 59% / 24% / 17%

Tunisia goals →
012345+
← Japan goals08.7%6.7%2.6%0.7%
114.6%11.2%4.3%1.1%
212.2%9.4%3.6%0.9%
36.8%5.2%2.0%0.5%
42.9%2.2%0.8%
5+1.3%1.0%

Gold = actual result (4–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
JapanF+15+7.7%+4.8%+1.8%+14.2%+9.1%+5.5%+2.8%+1.6%+0.8%
EnglandL+0-0.1%————+0.4%+0.4%+0.5%+0.2%
SwedenF+0-1.8%-8.7%+13.6%+3.1%-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0—+0.5%-0.5%—+0.2%-0.2%—+0.1%+0.1%
SenegalI+0——-0.9%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%——
EgyptG+0-0.4%—-0.2%-0.5%——+0.2%——
SwitzerlandB+0—————————
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.4%-1.1%-0.8%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%—
SpainH+0-0.2%——-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%—
NorwayI+0-0.4%+0.3%—-0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%—
IranG+0—-0.4%+0.2%-0.1%—+0.1%———
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.1%——+0.3%+0.2%———
AustraliaD+0—+0.4%-0.8%-0.4%——+0.3%——
New ZealandG+0+0.4%+0.4%-0.3%+0.5%+0.3%————
PanamaL+0——-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%———
BelgiumG+0———-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%—
MexicoA+0————+0.1%-0.1%———
South AfricaA+0—-0.2%—-0.2%-0.3%————
UzbekistanK+0—+0.1%-0.4%-0.3%—————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——+0.3%+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%———
ParaguayD+0—-0.4%-0.3%-0.7%-0.1%————
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.1%—-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%———
IraqI+0—————————
Czech RepublicA+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
QatarB+0—————————
CuraçaoE+0—-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%—————
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.2%+0.1%——+0.2%+0.1%———
JordanJ+0——-0.2%-0.2%—-0.2%-0.1%——
South KoreaA+0—+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%+0.2%-0.3%———
GhanaL+0—+0.4%-0.5%—+0.3%+0.2%———
TunisiaF-15-1.5%-0.7%-7.9%-10.1%-1.8%-0.7%-0.2%——
DR CongoK+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%————
PortugalK+0——+0.2%+0.2%—-0.2%———
TurkeyD+0—————————
ScotlandC+0—-0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.9%-0.4%-0.2%——
United StatesD+0————-0.2%—+0.5%+0.2%—
NetherlandsF+0-4.3%+4.6%-0.3%—-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%——
AustriaJ+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%—
UruguayH+0+0.3%—-0.7%-0.5%-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%—
EcuadorE+0—-0.2%-0.2%-0.4%—+0.1%———
CanadaB+0——————-0.3%—-0.1%
CroatiaL+0—-0.4%-0.2%-0.6%-0.2%+0.2%—-0.3%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0—-0.2%+0.1%—-0.5%-0.3%-0.4%—-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%—-1.6%-1.1%-0.9%-0.1%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.1%—————-0.3%-0.2%
GermanyE+0————-0.4%——-0.2%-0.2%
BrazilC+0—+0.3%-0.2%—-1.6%-0.7%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%