Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Spain40Saudi Arabia

Elo change: Spain +5

Pre-game: 95% / 4% / 1%

Saudi Arabia goals →
012345+
Spain goals00.9%
13.6%1.9%0.5%
27.7%4.0%1.0%
310.9%5.6%1.4%
411.6%5.9%1.5%
5+25.2%12.9%3.3%0.6%

Gold = actual result (4–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
SpainH+5+13.2%-2.7%-5.8%+4.7%+3.8%+3.2%+2.8%+1.8%+1.0%
BrazilC+0+0.5%-0.6%+0.5%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%
MexicoA+0+0.4%+0.7%+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.1%+0.5%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.3%+0.2%
CanadaB+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.4%-0.1%+0.3%+0.3%
South KoreaA+0+0.1%-0.4%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%
DR CongoK+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%-0.3%
AustriaJ+0-2.6%-1.2%-0.5%-0.1%
UruguayH+0-5.5%+6.0%-0.3%+0.2%-0.4%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
TurkeyD+0-0.3%-0.3%
IranG+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0-3.3%+4.3%+0.9%-0.3%+0.1%
QatarB+0-0.1%-0.1%
South AfricaA+0-0.1%
GhanaL+0-0.6%+0.2%-0.4%-0.1%-0.5%
CuraçaoE+0+0.4%-0.1%+0.3%
IraqI+0-0.2%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
NetherlandsF+0+0.3%-0.4%+0.6%+0.7%+0.4%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.3%-0.1%
PanamaL+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%-0.1%
JordanJ+0+0.2%+0.2%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.1%-0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH-5-4.5%-7.6%+4.6%-7.4%-0.9%-0.4%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.2%+0.5%-0.8%-0.5%
New ZealandG+0-0.2%-0.5%-0.7%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.5%+0.2%+0.6%+0.4%-0.6%-0.3%
SenegalI+0+0.7%+0.8%+0.6%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0-0.5%+0.7%-0.3%-0.4%
FranceI+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.5%
GermanyE+0-0.2%
EgyptG+0+0.2%+0.3%-0.1%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.1%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
SwedenF+0-0.2%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
EnglandL+0-0.3%-0.5%-0.5%-0.4%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
ParaguayD+0-0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
JapanF+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.5%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-1.7%-1.3%-0.7%-0.2%-0.3%