Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Belgium0–0Iran

Elo change: Belgium -10

Pre-game: 43% / 28% / 30%

Mild upset — draw — Belgium failed to win (Elo gap: 123)

Iran goals →
012345+
← Belgium goals09.5%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
112.4%13.0%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.2%8.5%4.4%1.5%
33.6%3.7%1.9%0.7%
41.2%1.2%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ParaguayD+0—+0.4%-0.6%-0.1%—+0.4%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.1%-0.5%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%—+0.2%
IranG+10+0.2%+1.8%+2.4%+4.3%+2.4%+1.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0—+0.4%-0.4%——+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
SenegalI+0————+0.4%+0.2%—+0.1%+0.1%
SwedenF+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%—+0.4%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%—
NetherlandsF+0+0.1%-0.2%——-0.4%-0.5%-0.2%——
CanadaB+0-0.2%+0.2%——-0.9%-0.2%———
JapanF+0-0.4%+0.6%-0.2%—+0.5%————
FranceI+0-0.3%+0.3%———-0.3%-0.2%——
AustraliaD+0—-0.5%—-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%——
Ivory CoastE+0—-0.5%—-0.4%—+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%—
EgyptG+0+6.5%-8.1%+1.2%-0.5%-0.3%+0.3%———
AlgeriaJ+0——-0.7%-0.7%-0.1%————
UzbekistanK+0————-0.1%————
JordanJ+0—+0.2%-0.2%—+0.1%————
Czech RepublicA+0—-0.2%—-0.3%—————
New ZealandG+0+3.7%+1.4%-3.8%+1.3%+1.0%————
United StatesD+0—————+1.0%+0.2%+0.3%—
PanamaL+0-0.1%—+0.3%+0.1%—————
South KoreaA+0—-0.1%—-0.2%——-0.1%-0.1%—
CuraçaoE+0——+0.3%+0.3%—————
GermanyE+0————-0.4%————
BelgiumG-10-10.4%+5.0%+2.6%-2.7%-2.4%-1.4%-0.6%-0.3%—
Saudi ArabiaH+0—-0.1%-0.2%-0.3%—————
IraqI+0————+0.1%————
TurkeyD+0——+0.2%+0.2%—————
Cabo VerdeH+0—+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.3%—-0.1%——
South AfricaA+0—+0.4%-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0————-0.2%————
MoroccoC+0—-0.2%+0.2%——-0.2%—-0.2%—
GhanaL+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.7%-0.4%-0.3%————
ScotlandC+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%————
DR CongoK+0+0.1%-0.5%-0.2%-0.5%—————
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%—+0.2%-0.2%-0.5%-0.4%—
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.2%———+0.5%———
UruguayH+0+0.2%-0.3%—-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%——
EcuadorE+0—+0.5%+0.1%+0.7%+0.1%————
NorwayI+0+0.4%-0.3%—+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%——-0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.2%-0.3%——-0.2%-0.5%——-0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.2%+0.1%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
MexicoA+0————+0.6%+0.2%+0.3%—-0.2%
EnglandL+0+0.1%—-0.1%—+0.3%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.2%+0.2%——————-0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.2%—+0.1%—-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.3%