Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Belgium00Iran

Elo change: Belgium -10

Pre-game: 43% / 28% / 30%

Mild upsetdraw — Belgium failed to win (Elo gap: 123)

Iran goals →
012345+
Belgium goals09.5%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
112.4%13.0%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.2%8.5%4.4%1.5%
33.6%3.7%1.9%0.7%
41.2%1.2%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
ParaguayD+0+0.4%-0.6%-0.1%+0.4%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.1%-0.5%+0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%+0.2%
IranG+10+0.2%+1.8%+2.4%+4.3%+2.4%+1.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.4%-0.4%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
SenegalI+0+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
SwedenF+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%+0.4%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.5%-0.2%
CanadaB+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.9%-0.2%
JapanF+0-0.4%+0.6%-0.2%+0.5%
FranceI+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0-0.5%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.5%-0.4%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
EgyptG+0+6.5%-8.1%+1.2%-0.5%-0.3%+0.3%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.7%-0.7%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0-0.1%
JordanJ+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.2%-0.3%
New ZealandG+0+3.7%+1.4%-3.8%+1.3%+1.0%
United StatesD+0+1.0%+0.2%+0.3%
PanamaL+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.1%
South KoreaA+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
CuraçaoE+0+0.3%+0.3%
GermanyE+0-0.4%
BelgiumG-10-10.4%+5.0%+2.6%-2.7%-2.4%-1.4%-0.6%-0.3%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.3%
IraqI+0+0.1%
TurkeyD+0+0.2%+0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.3%-0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.4%-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.2%
MoroccoC+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
GhanaL+0-0.1%+0.5%-0.7%-0.4%-0.3%
ScotlandC+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%
DR CongoK+0+0.1%-0.5%-0.2%-0.5%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%-0.5%-0.4%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.5%
UruguayH+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
EcuadorE+0+0.5%+0.1%+0.7%+0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.4%-0.3%+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.2%+0.1%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.6%+0.2%+0.3%-0.2%
EnglandL+0+0.1%-0.1%+0.3%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.3%