Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Cabo Verde22Uruguay

Elo change: Cabo Verde +19

Pre-game: 21% / 25% / 54%

Notable upsetdraw — Uruguay failed to win (Elo gap: 264)

Uruguay goals →
012345+
Cabo Verde goals07.4%12.2%10.2%5.7%2.4%1.1%
16.9%11.6%9.6%5.3%2.2%1.0%
23.3%5.5%4.6%2.5%1.1%0.5%
31.0%1.7%1.4%0.8%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (2–2).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
ArgentinaJ+0-0.3%+0.2%+7.1%+5.7%+4.1%+2.4%+1.3%
BrazilC+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
SpainH+0+5.0%-9.6%+4.6%+1.5%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
GermanyE+0+0.1%+0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.3%-0.2%+0.4%+0.5%+1.2%+0.8%+0.2%+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
ScotlandC+0-0.2%+0.1%+1.3%+1.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.3%-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+19-3.4%+17.8%-7.7%+6.8%+1.4%+1.2%+0.5%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.7%+0.7%+0.2%-0.1%
EnglandL+0+0.2%
AustraliaD+0+1.2%+1.2%+1.0%+0.6%+0.4%
MexicoA+0-0.1%+0.1%-2.3%-1.3%-0.8%-0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.9%-0.9%-0.4%-0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.3%-1.2%-0.5%-0.3%
QatarB+0-0.2%-0.2%
PanamaL+0+0.1%+0.2%+0.5%+0.8%+0.4%+0.2%
DR CongoK+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
SwedenF+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.8%+0.7%-0.1%-0.4%-0.2%
IraqI+0+0.7%+0.6%
GhanaL+0-0.1%+2.3%+2.1%+1.0%+0.2%
HaitiC+0+0.1%+0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.4%+0.3%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
JordanJ+0+0.6%+0.7%+0.2%
CuraçaoE+0-0.4%-0.1%-0.6%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+18.7%-18.8%-0.1%-3.7%-0.6%
TurkeyD+0
New ZealandG+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.6%-0.4%-0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.2%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.1%-0.2%
EgyptG+0+0.7%+0.7%-0.3%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.2%+0.3%-0.7%
AlgeriaJ+0+1.6%+1.6%+0.3%
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%-0.1%
ParaguayD+0+1.5%+1.6%+0.6%
CanadaB+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.1%-0.1%+0.6%+0.5%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0+0.5%+0.4%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0+0.3%-0.1%-0.1%+0.4%+0.6%+0.1%
JapanF+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
IranG+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.3%+0.2%-0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.5%-0.3%+0.3%+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.4%+0.3%+0.5%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.4%+0.8%-0.5%-0.1%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%
UruguayH-19-1.7%-26.9%+9.3%-19.3%-6.5%-4.6%-2.7%-1.4%-0.6%