Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Cabo Verde2–2Uruguay

Elo change: Cabo Verde +19

Pre-game: 21% / 25% / 54%

Notable upset — draw — Uruguay failed to win (Elo gap: 264)

Uruguay goals →
012345+
← Cabo Verde goals07.4%12.2%10.2%5.7%2.4%1.1%
16.9%11.6%9.6%5.3%2.2%1.0%
23.3%5.5%4.6%2.5%1.1%0.5%
31.0%1.7%1.4%0.8%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (2–2).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ArgentinaJ+0-0.3%+0.2%——+7.1%+5.7%+4.1%+2.4%+1.3%
BrazilC+0————+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
SpainH+0+5.0%-9.6%+4.6%—+1.5%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
GermanyE+0——————+0.1%+0.1%—
AustriaJ+0+0.3%-0.2%+0.4%+0.5%+1.2%+0.8%+0.2%+0.1%—
SwitzerlandB+0-0.3%+0.3%——-0.1%-0.2%———
ScotlandC+0-0.2%+0.1%+1.3%+1.2%+0.2%—+0.1%+0.1%—
EcuadorE+0—-0.3%-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%————
Cabo VerdeH+19-3.4%+17.8%-7.7%+6.8%+1.4%+1.2%+0.5%+0.2%—
Ivory CoastE+0—+0.7%—+0.7%—+0.2%-0.1%——
EnglandL+0———————+0.2%—
AustraliaD+0——+1.2%+1.2%+1.0%+0.6%+0.4%——
MexicoA+0-0.1%+0.1%——-2.3%-1.3%-0.8%-0.2%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——-0.9%-0.9%-0.4%-0.2%———
United StatesD+0————+0.3%-1.2%-0.5%-0.3%—
QatarB+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
PanamaL+0+0.1%+0.2%+0.5%+0.8%+0.4%+0.2%———
DR CongoK+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%———
SwedenF+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.8%+0.7%-0.1%-0.4%-0.2%——
IraqI+0——+0.7%+0.6%—————
GhanaL+0—-0.1%+2.3%+2.1%+1.0%+0.2%———
HaitiC+0——+0.1%+0.1%—————
SenegalI+0—-0.4%+0.3%—-0.4%-0.3%—-0.1%—
JordanJ+0——+0.6%+0.7%+0.2%————
CuraçaoE+0—-0.4%-0.1%-0.6%—————
Saudi ArabiaH+0—+18.7%-18.8%-0.1%-3.7%-0.6%———
TurkeyD+0—————————
New ZealandG+0—+0.2%+0.3%+0.6%-0.4%—-0.1%——
South AfricaA+0————+0.2%————
Czech RepublicA+0————-0.1%-0.2%———
EgyptG+0——+0.7%+0.7%-0.3%-0.1%———
BelgiumG+0—-0.2%+0.3%—-0.7%————
AlgeriaJ+0——+1.6%+1.6%+0.3%————
NetherlandsF+0————-0.2%—-0.1%——
ParaguayD+0——+1.5%+1.6%+0.6%————
CanadaB+0+0.3%-0.3%——-0.2%—-0.1%-0.1%—
South KoreaA+0+0.1%-0.1%+0.6%+0.5%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%——
UzbekistanK+0——+0.5%+0.4%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%——
MoroccoC+0+0.3%-0.1%-0.1%—+0.4%+0.6%+0.1%——
JapanF+0+0.3%-0.3%——-0.3%-0.1%—-0.1%-0.1%
IranG+0——-0.2%-0.2%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.3%-0.3%——-0.3%+0.2%——-0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.5%-0.3%—+0.3%+0.4%—-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0——+0.4%+0.3%+0.5%—-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.4%+0.8%-0.5%-0.1%————-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%—+0.1%—+0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%
UruguayH-19-1.7%-26.9%+9.3%-19.3%-6.5%-4.6%-2.7%-1.4%-0.6%