Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Egypt31New Zealand

Elo change: Egypt +29

Pre-game: 45% / 27% / 28%

New Zealand goals →
012345+
Egypt goals08.8%9.1%4.7%1.6%
112.3%12.7%6.6%2.3%0.6%
28.6%8.9%4.6%1.6%
34.0%4.1%2.1%0.7%
41.4%1.5%0.7%
5+0.5%0.5%

Gold = actual result (3–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
EgyptG+29+30.5%-3.2%+1.4%+28.7%+15.1%+5.8%+2.2%+0.9%+0.4%
FranceI+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
JapanF+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.4%-0.5%+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.4%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
CroatiaL+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.4%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
BelgiumG+0-11.9%+22.2%-5.8%+4.5%+2.2%+0.2%+0.7%+0.3%+0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%+0.1%+0.1%
GermanyE+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.4%+0.5%+0.1%-0.2%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
SwedenF+0+0.1%-0.3%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.6%+0.3%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0-0.1%+0.6%+0.5%-0.2%+0.3%
IranG+0+0.4%-11.2%+8.6%-2.2%-1.9%-0.3%-0.2%
South AfricaA+0-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.9%-0.7%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.3%+0.4%+0.7%-0.2%
HaitiC+0
TurkeyD+0
CuraçaoE+0+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%
GhanaL+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.4%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.7%+0.7%+0.3%
IraqI+0+0.4%+0.5%+0.2%
QatarB+0+0.2%+0.2%
PanamaL+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
JordanJ+0-0.2%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.1%-0.1%-1.6%-0.6%-0.3%-0.1%
DR CongoK+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.4%+0.3%
NetherlandsF+0-0.3%+0.4%+0.2%-0.1%+0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.7%-0.4%
MoroccoC+0-0.4%+0.3%+0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.5%-0.3%+0.1%+0.3%
New ZealandG-29-18.9%-7.9%-6.0%-32.8%-11.6%-2.6%-0.6%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.7%+0.7%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%
MexicoA+0-0.1%
SenegalI+0+0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
CanadaB+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.3%+0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
BrazilC+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.6%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
SpainH+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.3%-0.7%-0.3%-0.4%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.6%-0.4%-0.2%-1.8%-1.4%-0.7%-0.5%