Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Egypt3–1New Zealand

Elo change: Egypt +29

Pre-game: 45% / 27% / 28%

New Zealand goals →
012345+
← Egypt goals08.8%9.1%4.7%1.6%
112.3%12.7%6.6%2.3%0.6%
28.6%8.9%4.6%1.6%
34.0%4.1%2.1%0.7%
41.4%1.5%0.7%
5+0.5%0.5%

Gold = actual result (3–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
EgyptG+29+30.5%-3.2%+1.4%+28.7%+15.1%+5.8%+2.2%+0.9%+0.4%
FranceI+0————+0.3%+0.3%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
JapanF+0+0.2%———+0.2%——+0.3%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.4%-0.5%+0.1%—+0.1%——+0.2%+0.2%
EnglandL+0————-0.4%-0.2%+0.1%—+0.2%
CroatiaL+0——-0.2%-0.1%-0.4%—+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.5%+0.3%+0.2%——+0.1%+0.2%—+0.1%
BelgiumG+0-11.9%+22.2%-5.8%+4.5%+2.2%+0.2%+0.7%+0.3%+0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.3%—-0.3%—-0.5%-0.1%—+0.1%+0.1%
GermanyE+0————+0.3%—-0.3%-0.1%—
UzbekistanK+0————+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%——
EcuadorE+0——+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%————
NorwayI+0—-0.4%+0.5%——+0.1%-0.2%——
Czech RepublicA+0——+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%———
SwedenF+0+0.1%-0.3%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.6%+0.3%+0.1%—
ParaguayD+0—-0.1%+0.6%+0.5%-0.2%+0.3%———
IranG+0+0.4%-11.2%+8.6%-2.2%-1.9%-0.3%-0.2%——
South AfricaA+0—-0.4%—-0.5%-0.3%————
SwitzerlandB+0+0.3%-0.3%——-0.9%-0.7%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0—+0.3%+0.4%+0.7%-0.2%————
HaitiC+0—————————
TurkeyD+0—————————
CuraçaoE+0—+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%————
GhanaL+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.4%-0.4%————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——+0.7%+0.7%+0.3%————
IraqI+0——+0.4%+0.5%+0.2%————
QatarB+0——+0.2%+0.2%—————
PanamaL+0—+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%—————
JordanJ+0—-0.2%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%———
AustraliaD+0—+0.1%-0.1%—-1.6%-0.6%-0.3%-0.1%—
DR CongoK+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.4%—+0.3%————
NetherlandsF+0-0.3%+0.4%——+0.2%-0.1%+0.2%——
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.1%—-0.2%——+0.1%——
Cabo VerdeH+0—-0.4%-0.2%-0.7%-0.4%————
MoroccoC+0-0.4%+0.3%———+0.1%———
South KoreaA+0—+0.5%-0.3%+0.1%—+0.3%———
New ZealandG-29-18.9%-7.9%-6.0%-32.8%-11.6%-2.6%-0.6%-0.2%—
AustriaJ+0-0.7%+0.7%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%———
MexicoA+0———————-0.1%—
SenegalI+0—+0.4%-0.4%——-0.2%———
CanadaB+0-0.3%+0.3%——-0.3%+0.1%—-0.1%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0+0.1%——+0.2%-0.4%-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0—-0.1%——+0.2%-0.2%——-0.1%
BrazilC+0+0.2%-0.3%——-0.6%-0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
SpainH+0-0.2%+0.2%———-0.3%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
United StatesD+0————-0.3%-0.7%-0.3%—-0.4%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.6%-0.4%-0.2%——-1.8%-1.4%-0.7%-0.5%