Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Argentina20Austria

Elo change: Argentina +16

Pre-game: 55% / 24% / 21%

Austria goals →
012345+
Argentina goals06.7%6.5%3.1%1.0%
111.6%11.3%5.5%1.8%
210.1%9.8%4.7%1.5%
35.8%5.6%2.7%0.9%
42.5%2.4%1.2%
5+1.2%1.2%0.6%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
ArgentinaJ+16+21.7%-19.3%-2.2%+0.2%+9.5%+7.6%+5.1%+2.9%+1.6%
United StatesD+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.8%+0.4%+0.3%
SpainH+0+2.7%+1.8%+1.5%+0.7%+0.3%
CanadaB+0+0.9%-0.4%
ScotlandC+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.6%+0.5%+0.5%+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%-0.3%
TurkeyD+0+0.3%+0.3%
DR CongoK+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%+0.3%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.4%+7.9%-5.1%+2.3%-0.2%
JordanJ+0-0.3%-0.4%-2.3%-3.0%-1.0%-0.5%
SenegalI+0-0.2%+0.7%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%
South KoreaA+0-0.4%+0.4%
New ZealandG+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
QatarB+0-0.3%-0.3%
HaitiC+0
CuraçaoE+0+0.1%+0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
GhanaL+0+0.2%-0.1%+0.2%
IraqI+0-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0-0.1%-0.3%
UruguayH+0+0.2%+0.4%+0.6%+0.8%+0.2%
PanamaL+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.6%-0.1%-0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%-0.2%-1.1%-0.4%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.2%-0.1%
EgyptG+0-0.6%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%-0.3%-0.5%
GermanyE+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%
PortugalK+0+0.5%-0.2%-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%+0.6%
MexicoA+0-0.3%-0.2%
SwedenF+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.3%+0.5%+0.2%-5.7%-2.6%-0.9%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%
ParaguayD+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-1.1%-0.5%-0.1%
IranG+0+0.8%-0.6%-0.1%-0.1%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
BelgiumG+0-0.3%+0.5%+0.1%+0.4%-0.2%-1.7%-0.9%-0.3%
EcuadorE+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
CroatiaL+0+0.1%+0.4%+0.5%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%-1.4%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
JapanF+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.4%+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.3%+0.6%-0.7%-0.5%-0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.3%
AustriaJ-16-20.9%+11.8%+7.3%-1.8%-6.1%-3.7%-1.9%-0.9%-0.3%