Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Argentina2–0Austria

Elo change: Argentina +16

Pre-game: 55% / 24% / 21%

Austria goals →
012345+
← Argentina goals06.7%6.5%3.1%1.0%
111.6%11.3%5.5%1.8%
210.1%9.8%4.7%1.5%
35.8%5.6%2.7%0.9%
42.5%2.4%1.2%
5+1.2%1.2%0.6%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ArgentinaJ+16+21.7%-19.3%-2.2%+0.2%+9.5%+7.6%+5.1%+2.9%+1.6%
United StatesD+0————+0.1%+0.3%+0.8%+0.4%+0.3%
SpainH+0————+2.7%+1.8%+1.5%+0.7%+0.3%
CanadaB+0————+0.9%—-0.4%——
ScotlandC+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.6%+0.5%+0.5%+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%—
NorwayI+0+0.2%—-0.3%—-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%-0.3%—
TurkeyD+0——+0.3%+0.3%—————
DR CongoK+0-0.2%——-0.2%-0.3%+0.3%———
Ivory CoastE+0—-0.3%+0.2%—+0.1%————
AlgeriaJ+0-0.4%+7.9%-5.1%+2.3%-0.2%————
JordanJ+0-0.3%-0.4%-2.3%-3.0%-1.0%-0.5%———
SenegalI+0—-0.2%+0.7%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%———
South KoreaA+0—-0.4%+0.4%——————
New ZealandG+0—-0.2%—-0.1%—-0.2%———
QatarB+0——-0.3%-0.3%—————
HaitiC+0—————————
CuraçaoE+0—+0.1%—+0.1%—————
South AfricaA+0—+0.3%—+0.3%+0.1%————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——-0.1%—+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%——
GhanaL+0—+0.2%-0.1%——+0.2%———
IraqI+0——-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%————
UzbekistanK+0———-0.1%-0.3%————
UruguayH+0—+0.2%+0.4%+0.6%+0.8%—+0.2%——
PanamaL+0—-0.2%—-0.3%-0.6%-0.1%-0.1%——
Saudi ArabiaH+0—+0.1%-0.2%—-1.1%-0.4%———
Czech RepublicA+0———+0.2%-0.1%————
EgyptG+0-0.6%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%-0.3%-0.5%———
GermanyE+0————+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%—
PortugalK+0+0.5%-0.2%-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%+0.6%———
MexicoA+0————-0.3%——-0.2%—
SwedenF+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.4%+0.4%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%——
Cabo VerdeH+0—-0.3%+0.5%+0.2%-5.7%-2.6%-0.9%-0.2%—
MoroccoC+0+0.3%-0.3%——-0.2%-0.3%—-0.2%—
BrazilC+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%——
ParaguayD+0—-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%—-1.1%-0.5%-0.1%—
IranG+0+0.8%-0.6%-0.1%—-0.1%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%—
BelgiumG+0-0.3%+0.5%+0.1%+0.4%-0.2%-1.7%-0.9%-0.3%—
EcuadorE+0—+0.1%-0.1%—-0.1%————
CroatiaL+0——+0.1%—+0.4%+0.5%-0.2%——
SwitzerlandB+0————+0.2%+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0—————-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0—+0.3%—+0.2%+0.1%-1.4%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
JapanF+0—+0.2%-0.1%—-0.4%+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.2%+0.2%———-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.3%+0.3%——+0.3%+0.6%-0.7%-0.5%-0.2%
EnglandL+0——-0.1%—+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.3%
AustriaJ-16-20.9%+11.8%+7.3%-1.8%-6.1%-3.7%-1.9%-0.9%-0.3%