Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

France3–0Iraq

Elo change: France +6

Pre-game: 88% / 9% / 4%

Iraq goals →
012345+
← France goals02.1%1.2%
16.8%4.0%1.2%
211.2%6.6%2.0%
312.2%7.2%2.1%
410.1%5.9%1.8%
5+13.0%7.7%2.3%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ArgentinaJ+0—————-0.4%-0.1%+0.2%+0.5%
FranceI+6+0.8%—-0.8%—-0.3%+0.7%+0.9%+0.6%+0.4%
SpainH+0————-0.2%-0.1%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.3%—+0.4%————+0.2%+0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.6%+0.6%——-0.3%-0.2%—+0.1%+0.1%
AustraliaD+0—-0.3%+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%————
EgyptG+0+0.2%—-0.3%-0.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%——
ParaguayD+0—+0.3%+0.2%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%——
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.6%+0.2%-0.4%—————
SwitzerlandB+0-0.3%+0.4%————-0.2%-0.1%—
Czech RepublicA+0——-0.1%——————
Saudi ArabiaH+0—-0.3%—-0.4%—-0.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%————
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.1%+0.7%-0.4%+0.4%—————
SenegalI+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%—+0.1%———
QatarB+0——+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%————
HaitiC+0—————————
CuraçaoE+0—+0.2%—+0.2%+0.1%————
New ZealandG+0—+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%—————
IraqI-6—-0.5%-0.8%-1.4%-0.4%-0.1%———
GhanaL+0—-0.1%+0.4%+0.2%+0.4%————
South AfricaA+0—————-0.1%———
PanamaL+0+0.1%-0.2%——+0.2%————
TurkeyD+0—————————
JordanJ+0—+0.2%+0.4%+0.6%—————
BelgiumG+0—-0.6%+0.3%-0.3%+0.4%————
Ivory CoastE+0—-0.3%+0.4%+0.1%-0.4%—+0.1%——
EcuadorE+0———+0.1%—+0.1%———
CanadaB+0+0.3%-0.3%———+0.2%———
IranG+0-0.2%+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%—+0.1%——
PortugalK+0—-0.1%+0.6%+0.4%+0.7%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%—
NetherlandsF+0+0.5%-0.5%———+0.5%+0.3%——
South KoreaA+0——+0.3%+0.2%—————
CroatiaL+0—+0.3%—+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%———
UzbekistanK+0—-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%———
DR CongoK+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.2%+0.4%—————
United StatesD+0————-0.2%————
BrazilC+0+0.3%+0.1%-0.6%-0.2%-0.3%-0.4%+0.2%——
JapanF+0-0.4%-0.2%+0.5%—+0.6%—-0.2%——
SwedenF+0-0.1%+0.8%-0.8%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%—
EnglandL+0—————+0.2%-0.3%——
AustriaJ+0—+0.4%+0.1%+0.6%+0.1%—-0.2%-0.1%—
ScotlandC+0+0.3%-0.7%—-0.5%-0.3%—-0.2%-0.2%—
MexicoA+0————+0.4%—-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
NorwayI+0-0.5%+0.1%+0.5%+0.1%+0.6%+0.6%+0.2%—-0.1%
UruguayH+0—-0.3%-0.1%-0.5%-0.3%———-0.2%
GermanyE+0————-0.7%-1.1%-0.6%-0.5%-0.2%