Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

France30Iraq

Elo change: France +6

Pre-game: 88% / 9% / 4%

Iraq goals →
012345+
France goals02.1%1.2%
16.8%4.0%1.2%
211.2%6.6%2.0%
312.2%7.2%2.1%
410.1%5.9%1.8%
5+13.0%7.7%2.3%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
ArgentinaJ+0-0.4%-0.1%+0.2%+0.5%
FranceI+6+0.8%-0.8%-0.3%+0.7%+0.9%+0.6%+0.4%
SpainH+0-0.2%-0.1%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0-0.3%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.6%+0.6%-0.3%-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
AustraliaD+0-0.3%+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
EgyptG+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%
ParaguayD+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.6%+0.2%-0.4%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.3%+0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.1%+0.7%-0.4%+0.4%
SenegalI+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%
QatarB+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%
HaitiC+0
CuraçaoE+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
New ZealandG+0+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%
IraqI-6-0.5%-0.8%-1.4%-0.4%-0.1%
GhanaL+0-0.1%+0.4%+0.2%+0.4%
South AfricaA+0-0.1%
PanamaL+0+0.1%-0.2%+0.2%
TurkeyD+0
JordanJ+0+0.2%+0.4%+0.6%
BelgiumG+0-0.6%+0.3%-0.3%+0.4%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.3%+0.4%+0.1%-0.4%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0+0.1%+0.1%
CanadaB+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.2%
IranG+0-0.2%+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%+0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.1%+0.6%+0.4%+0.7%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
NetherlandsF+0+0.5%-0.5%+0.5%+0.3%
South KoreaA+0+0.3%+0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%
DR CongoK+0+0.3%+0.3%-0.2%+0.4%
United StatesD+0-0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.3%+0.1%-0.6%-0.2%-0.3%-0.4%+0.2%
JapanF+0-0.4%-0.2%+0.5%+0.6%-0.2%
SwedenF+0-0.1%+0.8%-0.8%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
EnglandL+0+0.2%-0.3%
AustriaJ+0+0.4%+0.1%+0.6%+0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0+0.3%-0.7%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
NorwayI+0-0.5%+0.1%+0.5%+0.1%+0.6%+0.6%+0.2%-0.1%
UruguayH+0-0.3%-0.1%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%
GermanyE+0-0.7%-1.1%-0.6%-0.5%-0.2%