Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Senegal23Norway

Elo change: Senegal -22

Pre-game: 32% / 27% / 42%

Norway goals →
012345+
Senegal goals08.2%11.2%7.6%3.4%1.2%
19.4%12.7%8.6%3.9%1.3%0.5%
25.4%7.3%4.9%2.2%0.8%
32.0%2.8%1.9%0.8%
40.6%0.8%0.5%
5+

Gold = actual result (2–3).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
NorwayI+22+1.7%+17.4%-18.5%+0.6%+3.0%+1.5%+1.4%+1.0%+0.7%
JapanF+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.4%+0.3%+0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.3%+0.4%+0.3%-0.3%-0.3%+0.1%
GermanyE+0+0.4%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.3%+1.3%+1.6%+0.8%+0.6%+0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.5%+0.3%-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%
IranG+0-0.2%-0.1%+1.0%+0.7%+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.3%+0.5%+0.9%+1.1%+0.6%+0.2%
CroatiaL+0-0.4%+0.4%+0.1%
AustraliaD+0+0.5%+0.3%+0.8%+0.2%
EcuadorE+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0+0.7%-0.5%-0.1%+0.3%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0-0.1%+0.8%+0.7%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
PanamaL+0+0.2%+0.4%+0.5%+0.2%
SwedenF+0-0.3%+1.6%+1.3%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
GhanaL+0+0.3%+0.9%+1.3%
CuraçaoE+0-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
JordanJ+0+0.2%+0.2%
IraqI+0+4.1%+4.1%+0.9%+0.2%
DR CongoK+0-0.5%+0.6%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
South AfricaA+0-0.1%+0.2%
QatarB+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.3%+0.3%
New ZealandG+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%
MexicoA+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%+0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.2%+0.2%
EnglandL+0+1.4%+0.8%+0.1%-0.3%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.3%+0.2%-0.1%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%
CanadaB+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.3%+0.9%+1.3%+0.2%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.5%-0.3%+0.2%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.9%+1.2%+0.4%
SpainH+0+0.4%+0.4%+0.3%-0.2%
EgyptG+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.8%-0.2%-0.3%
PortugalK+0-0.3%+0.6%-0.6%-0.2%-0.4%
ParaguayD+0-0.5%+1.4%+0.9%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.3%-0.2%+0.7%+0.3%+0.5%-0.2%
FranceI+0-1.4%+1.6%-0.2%+0.7%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.3%-0.1%-0.3%
SenegalI-22-0.3%-19.0%+3.3%-16.1%-10.5%-5.1%-2.3%-1.0%-0.4%