Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Portugal50Uzbekistan

Elo change: Portugal +21

Pre-game: 55% / 24% / 21%

Uzbekistan goals →
012345+
Portugal goals06.7%6.5%3.1%1.0%
111.6%11.3%5.5%1.8%
210.1%9.8%4.7%1.5%
35.8%5.6%2.7%0.9%
42.5%2.4%1.2%
5+1.2%1.2%0.6%

Gold = actual result (5–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
PortugalK+21+21.6%+10.6%-8.5%+23.7%+20.3%+12.2%+6.6%+3.6%+1.8%
AustriaJ+0-0.1%+0.4%+0.3%+0.4%-0.5%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0+0.3%+0.4%+0.7%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
EnglandL+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
EgyptG+0+0.7%-0.6%+0.2%-0.3%-0.3%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%
CroatiaL+0-0.1%-0.1%-2.5%-1.1%-0.2%
South KoreaA+0-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.2%+0.2%
GermanyE+0-0.6%-0.2%
ScotlandC+0+0.2%-0.1%+0.5%+0.6%+0.5%+0.2%
PanamaL+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%-0.8%
NorwayI+0-0.5%+0.5%-0.6%-0.2%-0.3%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.3%-0.3%+0.2%
IraqI+0+0.8%+0.8%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.7%-0.7%-0.4%-0.1%
South AfricaA+0-0.1%-0.1%+0.1%
QatarB+0+0.7%+0.7%+0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
IranG+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
DR CongoK+0-3.2%-6.7%+12.3%+2.4%-0.8%
CuraçaoE+0-0.3%-0.4%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.1%-0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.1%
New ZealandG+0+0.4%+0.3%
GhanaL+0-0.4%+0.4%-3.9%-0.8%-0.2%-0.1%
TurkeyD+0
CanadaB+0-0.4%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.3%-0.5%-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%
AlgeriaJ+0+1.2%+1.2%+0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
JapanF+0-0.4%+0.7%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.7%-0.7%-0.6%-0.1%
ColombiaK+0-16.0%+12.3%+5.0%+1.3%-0.4%-1.5%
UruguayH+0-1.1%-1.1%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.4%-0.3%-0.6%-0.2%-0.1%
SwedenF+0+0.4%+0.3%+0.7%+0.4%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.2%-0.4%+0.3%-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%-0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
UzbekistanK-21-2.4%-16.3%-10.0%-28.7%-11.4%-3.7%-1.3%-0.5%-0.2%
MexicoA+0-0.1%-0.2%
FranceI+0+0.5%-0.5%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%
SpainH+0-2.4%-1.7%-1.0%-0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.1%-0.8%-0.7%-0.4%-0.3%
United StatesD+0+0.6%+0.5%-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%