Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Portugal5–0Uzbekistan

Elo change: Portugal +21

Pre-game: 55% / 24% / 21%

Uzbekistan goals →
012345+
← Portugal goals06.7%6.5%3.1%1.0%
111.6%11.3%5.5%1.8%
210.1%9.8%4.7%1.5%
35.8%5.6%2.7%0.9%
42.5%2.4%1.2%
5+1.2%1.2%0.6%

Gold = actual result (5–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
PortugalK+21+21.6%+10.6%-8.5%+23.7%+20.3%+12.2%+6.6%+3.6%+1.8%
AustriaJ+0—-0.1%+0.4%+0.3%+0.4%-0.5%——+0.1%
ParaguayD+0——+0.3%+0.4%+0.7%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
EnglandL+0+0.3%-0.2%——-0.2%-0.2%——+0.1%
EgyptG+0—+0.7%-0.6%+0.2%—-0.3%-0.3%—+0.1%
EcuadorE+0——-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%————
CroatiaL+0——-0.1%-0.1%-2.5%-1.1%-0.2%——
South KoreaA+0————-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%——
AustraliaD+0——+0.2%+0.2%—————
GermanyE+0————-0.6%-0.2%———
ScotlandC+0+0.2%-0.1%+0.5%+0.6%+0.5%+0.2%———
PanamaL+0—+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%-0.8%————
NorwayI+0-0.5%+0.5%——-0.6%-0.2%-0.3%——
Cabo VerdeH+0——-0.3%-0.3%+0.2%————
IraqI+0——+0.8%+0.8%+0.1%————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——-0.7%-0.7%-0.4%—-0.1%——
South AfricaA+0—-0.1%—-0.1%+0.1%————
QatarB+0——+0.7%+0.7%—+0.1%———
Czech RepublicA+0——-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%———
IranG+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.6%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%——
DR CongoK+0-3.2%-6.7%+12.3%+2.4%-0.8%————
CuraçaoE+0—-0.3%—-0.4%—————
SwitzerlandB+0————-0.1%-0.2%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0————-0.1%————
New ZealandG+0——+0.4%+0.3%—————
GhanaL+0-0.4%—+0.4%—-3.9%-0.8%-0.2%-0.1%—
TurkeyD+0—————————
CanadaB+0—————-0.4%———
Ivory CoastE+0—+0.3%-0.5%-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%——
AlgeriaJ+0——+1.2%+1.2%+0.3%-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%—
JapanF+0—-0.4%+0.7%+0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%——
SenegalI+0——-0.7%-0.7%-0.6%-0.1%———
ColombiaK+0-16.0%+12.3%+5.0%+1.3%-0.4%-1.5%———
UruguayH+0——-1.1%-1.1%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%——
NetherlandsF+0————-0.4%-0.3%-0.6%-0.2%-0.1%
SwedenF+0—+0.4%+0.3%+0.7%+0.4%———-0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.2%-0.4%+0.3%-0.3%-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%—-0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.1%———+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%—-0.1%
MoroccoC+0————-0.1%——-0.2%-0.2%
UzbekistanK-21-2.4%-16.3%-10.0%-28.7%-11.4%-3.7%-1.3%-0.5%-0.2%
MexicoA+0———————-0.1%-0.2%
FranceI+0+0.5%-0.5%————-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%
SpainH+0—————-2.4%-1.7%-1.0%-0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0————-0.1%-0.8%-0.7%-0.4%-0.3%
United StatesD+0————+0.6%+0.5%-0.9%-0.6%-0.4%