Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

England00Ghana

Elo change: England -27

Pre-game: 85% / 10% / 4%

Major upsetdraw — England failed to win (Elo gap: 498)

Ghana goals →
012345+
England goals03.0%1.6%
18.9%4.9%1.3%
213.2%7.2%2.0%
313.0%7.1%1.9%
49.6%5.2%1.4%
5+10.3%5.6%1.5%

Gold = actual result (0–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
FranceI+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.5%+0.6%+0.6%+0.3%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-1.1%-0.6%-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%
NetherlandsF+0-0.1%+0.6%+0.5%+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.5%+0.2%
MexicoA+0-0.1%+0.1%+0.3%+2.6%+1.0%+0.4%+0.1%
JapanF+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.4%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
United StatesD+0-0.4%-0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
UruguayH+0+0.2%-0.6%-0.4%
CanadaB+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%+2.7%+0.8%+0.2%+0.2%
SwedenF+0-0.9%-1.0%-0.6%-0.2%
GhanaL+27+7.7%+16.4%+24.0%+10.1%+2.9%+0.8%+0.3%
IranG+0+0.3%-0.8%-0.5%-0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
BrazilC+0+0.5%-0.6%-0.5%+0.1%+0.4%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0-0.9%-0.9%+0.4%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.8%-0.7%-0.4%-0.4%+0.1%
SenegalI+0-1.4%-1.4%+0.8%
TurkeyD+0-0.5%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.3%+0.2%
EcuadorE+0-0.2%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
New ZealandG+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%+0.1%
PanamaL+0+3.1%-3.9%+0.4%-0.4%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
CuraçaoE+0
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
QatarB+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
HaitiC+0
IraqI+0-1.1%-1.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.1%-0.4%-0.8%-1.0%+0.1%+0.4%+0.2%
MoroccoC+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.2%-0.3%-0.1%
AustraliaD+0-1.4%-1.4%-0.8%-0.6%-0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.3%-0.4%+0.5%-0.2%-0.1%+0.3%+0.2%
ScotlandC+0-0.2%+0.2%-2.4%-2.4%-1.0%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-2.3%-2.3%-0.8%-0.2%-0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
ParaguayD+0-1.5%-1.5%-0.9%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0-1.6%-1.6%-0.9%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0+5.9%-26.4%+13.6%-6.8%-3.2%-0.6%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
EnglandL-27-16.7%+13.9%+2.9%+0.1%-4.7%-4.2%-2.7%-1.4%-1.1%