Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Croatia1–0Panama

Elo change: Croatia +15

Pre-game: 49% / 25% / 25%

Panama goals →
012345+
← Croatia goals07.4%7.7%4.0%1.4%
111.6%12.0%6.2%2.2%0.6%
29.1%9.4%4.9%1.7%
34.7%4.9%2.5%0.9%
41.8%1.9%1.0%
5+0.8%0.8%

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
CroatiaL+15+7.4%+12.1%+9.7%+29.2%+14.4%+7.6%+3.9%+1.9%+0.9%
EnglandL+0-1.5%+5.3%-3.7%—+0.5%—+0.3%-0.1%+0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.1%+0.2%——-0.3%-0.3%—+0.1%+0.1%
ScotlandC+0—-0.1%-0.3%-0.6%—+0.1%———
BrazilC+0—+0.3%-0.2%——-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%—
ParaguayD+0——-0.8%-0.9%-0.4%-0.3%———
BelgiumG+0—-0.2%+0.5%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%—
South KoreaA+0-0.2%+0.4%-0.4%-0.1%—-0.2%-0.1%——
AustraliaD+0——-0.4%-0.4%—+0.3%+0.3%——
MoroccoC+0+0.1%-0.1%——-0.4%——+0.2%—
MexicoA+0+0.2%-0.2%——-0.2%-0.6%-0.1%——
Cabo VerdeH+0—-0.1%—-0.1%—————
FranceI+0+0.2%-0.1%———-0.3%-0.2%——
SenegalI+0——-0.5%-0.5%-0.1%————
Czech RepublicA+0——-0.6%-0.6%-0.4%-0.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——-0.1%-0.2%—+0.1%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0————+0.2%————
New ZealandG+0—-0.2%+0.3%——————
QatarB+0————+0.2%————
IraqI+0——-0.9%-0.9%-0.2%-0.1%———
CuraçaoE+0—+0.4%—+0.4%—————
South AfricaA+0—-0.2%—-0.3%-0.2%————
CanadaB+0+0.1%-0.1%——-0.7%+0.2%———
United StatesD+0————-0.2%+0.3%———
TurkeyD+0—————————
JordanJ+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
AlgeriaJ+0——-0.8%-0.8%-0.7%-0.5%———
GhanaL+0-2.0%-12.4%+15.4%+1.0%-0.7%————
AustriaJ+0——-0.2%-0.1%—-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%—
Ivory CoastE+0—-0.5%+0.4%-0.1%+0.1%—-0.2%——
UruguayH+0——-1.0%-0.9%-0.3%-0.2%———
DR CongoK+0——-0.2%-0.2%-1.1%-0.2%———
UzbekistanK+0——-0.9%-0.9%-0.4%-0.2%———
SwitzerlandB+0-0.1%+0.2%——+0.1%+0.4%-0.3%-0.2%—
SwedenF+0+0.2%-0.2%-1.0%-1.0%-0.6%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%—
JapanF+0-0.5%+0.5%-0.3%-0.3%—+0.5%+0.2%——
EgyptG+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.4%—-0.2%-0.2%——
PortugalK+0-0.6%+0.5%——-1.6%-0.8%-0.3%-0.1%—
IranG+0+0.2%—-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%——
ArgentinaJ+0————+0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.3%—
EcuadorE+0—+0.1%-0.1%————-0.1%—
PanamaL-15-3.9%-5.0%-13.0%-21.9%-7.2%-2.8%-1.0%-0.3%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0+0.3%-0.3%——+0.5%+0.1%+0.2%—-0.2%
SpainH+0————-0.1%-1.2%-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%
GermanyE+0————+0.1%——-0.2%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.6%-0.5%-0.1%—-0.9%-0.5%-0.5%-0.4%-0.3%