Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Croatia10Panama

Elo change: Croatia +15

Pre-game: 49% / 25% / 25%

Panama goals →
012345+
Croatia goals07.4%7.7%4.0%1.4%
111.6%12.0%6.2%2.2%0.6%
29.1%9.4%4.9%1.7%
34.7%4.9%2.5%0.9%
41.8%1.9%1.0%
5+0.8%0.8%

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
CroatiaL+15+7.4%+12.1%+9.7%+29.2%+14.4%+7.6%+3.9%+1.9%+0.9%
EnglandL+0-1.5%+5.3%-3.7%+0.5%+0.3%-0.1%+0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.3%-0.3%+0.1%+0.1%
ScotlandC+0-0.1%-0.3%-0.6%+0.1%
BrazilC+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
ParaguayD+0-0.8%-0.9%-0.4%-0.3%
BelgiumG+0-0.2%+0.5%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
South KoreaA+0-0.2%+0.4%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
AustraliaD+0-0.4%-0.4%+0.3%+0.3%
MoroccoC+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.4%+0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
SenegalI+0-0.5%-0.5%-0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0-0.6%-0.6%-0.4%-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.2%
New ZealandG+0-0.2%+0.3%
QatarB+0+0.2%
IraqI+0-0.9%-0.9%-0.2%-0.1%
CuraçaoE+0+0.4%+0.4%
South AfricaA+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
CanadaB+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.7%+0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.2%+0.3%
TurkeyD+0
JordanJ+0-0.2%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.8%-0.8%-0.7%-0.5%
GhanaL+0-2.0%-12.4%+15.4%+1.0%-0.7%
AustriaJ+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.5%+0.4%-0.1%+0.1%-0.2%
UruguayH+0-1.0%-0.9%-0.3%-0.2%
DR CongoK+0-0.2%-0.2%-1.1%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0-0.9%-0.9%-0.4%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+0.4%-0.3%-0.2%
SwedenF+0+0.2%-0.2%-1.0%-1.0%-0.6%-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
JapanF+0-0.5%+0.5%-0.3%-0.3%+0.5%+0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.6%+0.5%-1.6%-0.8%-0.3%-0.1%
IranG+0+0.2%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.3%-0.3%
EcuadorE+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
PanamaL-15-3.9%-5.0%-13.0%-21.9%-7.2%-2.8%-1.0%-0.3%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.5%+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.1%-1.2%-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.6%-0.5%-0.1%-0.9%-0.5%-0.5%-0.4%-0.3%