Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Brazil30Scotland

Elo change: Brazil +23

Pre-game: 49% / 26% / 25%

Scotland goals →
012345+
Brazil goals08.5%8.3%4.0%1.3%
112.7%12.3%6.0%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.2%4.5%1.5%
34.7%4.6%2.2%0.7%
41.8%1.7%0.8%
5+0.7%0.7%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
United StatesD+0+0.5%+0.8%+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%
ColombiaK+0-0.1%+0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%+0.3%+0.3%
BrazilC+23+47.4%-25.0%-22.7%-0.3%+3.7%+1.7%+1.4%+0.5%+0.2%
GermanyE+0-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%+2.4%+2.6%+0.8%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.2%+0.4%-0.9%-0.3%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0+5.0%+5.0%+2.1%+0.9%+0.2%+0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.2%+0.1%+4.5%+2.4%+0.9%+0.2%
ParaguayD+0-0.2%+4.6%+4.4%+1.8%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%
SenegalI+0+4.3%+4.3%+1.8%+0.9%+0.5%+0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.2%+3.4%+3.6%+1.5%+0.9%+0.5%+0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.4%-1.0%-0.2%
UzbekistanK+0+0.1%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.6%-0.3%
UruguayH+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.3%
IranG+0-0.6%-0.3%+0.2%-0.7%-0.4%-0.3%
CuraçaoE+0-0.1%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%-0.2%
IraqI+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
New ZealandG+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%
JordanJ+0+0.1%+0.1%
Czech RepublicA+0+0.2%+0.2%
PanamaL+0
TurkeyD+0+0.5%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%-0.2%
GhanaL+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
NetherlandsF+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+1.8%+1.8%+0.2%+0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.3%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0-47.4%+47.4%-2.0%+1.4%-0.2%
DR CongoK+0+0.3%+0.3%
South KoreaA+0+0.1%-0.4%+2.5%+2.3%+0.7%+0.3%
AustriaJ+0+2.8%+2.9%+0.9%+0.4%
EnglandL+0-0.4%+0.4%+0.5%
CanadaB+0+0.2%
SwedenF+0-0.1%+0.2%+2.5%+2.5%
PortugalK+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
EgyptG+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0+1.8%+1.7%-0.2%-1.0%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
JapanF+0+0.2%-0.2%-3.0%-1.1%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%
FranceI+0+0.4%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%
ScotlandC-23-22.4%-8.9%-31.3%-13.4%-6.6%-2.8%-1.1%-0.4%