Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Brazil3–0Scotland

Elo change: Brazil +23

Pre-game: 49% / 26% / 25%

Scotland goals →
012345+
← Brazil goals08.5%8.3%4.0%1.3%
112.7%12.3%6.0%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.2%4.5%1.5%
34.7%4.6%2.2%0.7%
41.8%1.7%0.8%
5+0.7%0.7%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
United StatesD+0————+0.5%+0.8%+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%
ColombiaK+0-0.1%+0.1%——-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%+0.3%+0.3%
BrazilC+23+47.4%-25.0%-22.7%-0.3%+3.7%+1.7%+1.4%+0.5%+0.2%
GermanyE+0————-0.3%—+0.2%—+0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%—+2.4%+2.6%+0.8%+0.4%+0.3%—+0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.2%+0.4%-0.9%-0.3%—+0.2%+0.2%—+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0—————-0.2%-0.2%—+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0——+5.0%+5.0%+2.1%+0.9%+0.2%—+0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.2%+0.1%——+4.5%+2.4%+0.9%+0.2%—
ParaguayD+0—-0.2%+4.6%+4.4%+1.8%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%—
SenegalI+0——+4.3%+4.3%+1.8%+0.9%+0.5%+0.2%—
AustraliaD+0—+0.2%+3.4%+3.6%+1.5%+0.9%+0.5%+0.1%—
NorwayI+0————+0.4%-1.0%-0.2%——
UzbekistanK+0——+0.1%+0.1%—————
EcuadorE+0——-0.2%-0.1%-0.6%-0.3%———
UruguayH+0+0.2%—+0.2%+0.3%-0.1%-0.1%———
South AfricaA+0—+0.3%—+0.3%+0.3%————
IranG+0-0.6%-0.3%+0.2%-0.7%-0.4%-0.3%———
CuraçaoE+0——-0.1%—-0.1%————
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.2%—+0.4%+0.2%-0.2%————
IraqI+0——+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%————
New ZealandG+0—+0.2%—+0.1%-0.1%————
JordanJ+0——+0.1%+0.1%—————
Czech RepublicA+0——+0.2%+0.2%—————
PanamaL+0—————————
TurkeyD+0——+0.5%+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0——+0.1%—-0.2%————
GhanaL+0+0.2%-0.3%+0.2%—-0.2%————
SpainH+0—+0.1%——+0.3%—+0.2%+0.2%—
NetherlandsF+0————-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%——
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——+1.8%+1.8%+0.2%+0.1%———
ArgentinaJ+0——————-0.3%-0.2%—
MoroccoC+0-47.4%+47.4%——-2.0%+1.4%—-0.2%—
DR CongoK+0————+0.3%+0.3%———
South KoreaA+0+0.1%-0.4%+2.5%+2.3%+0.7%+0.3%———
AustriaJ+0——+2.8%+2.9%+0.9%+0.4%———
EnglandL+0-0.4%+0.4%———+0.5%———
CanadaB+0————+0.2%————
SwedenF+0-0.1%+0.2%+2.5%+2.5%—————
PortugalK+0+0.1%———+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%—
EgyptG+0+0.4%-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%—
Ivory CoastE+0——+1.8%+1.7%-0.2%-1.0%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
JapanF+0+0.2%-0.2%——-3.0%-1.1%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%
FranceI+0————+0.4%-0.4%-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%
ScotlandC-23—-22.4%-8.9%-31.3%-13.4%-6.6%-2.8%-1.1%-0.4%