Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Mexico3–0Czech Republic

Elo change: Mexico +16

Pre-game: 72% / 19% / 10%

Czech Republic goals →
012345+
← Mexico goals06.9%4.2%1.3%
114.3%8.7%2.6%0.5%
214.7%9.0%2.7%0.6%
310.1%6.1%1.9%
45.2%3.2%1.0%
5+3.2%1.9%0.6%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
MexicoA+16+2.7%-2.7%——+3.3%+2.4%+1.3%+0.8%+0.5%
FranceI+0+0.3%-0.3%——-0.3%-0.3%—+0.4%+0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.3%+0.3%——+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%
AustriaJ+0——+0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+0.2%——+0.1%
ParaguayD+0—+0.6%-0.3%+0.3%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%—
BrazilC+0————-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%—
CanadaB+0————+0.2%+0.4%———
PortugalK+0—————-0.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0——-0.4%-0.4%—-0.1%———
EgyptG+0-0.4%+0.3%——-0.5%+0.1%———
South KoreaA+0-2.7%+4.6%-0.2%+1.7%+1.3%+0.6%+0.3%+0.2%—
TurkeyD+0——+0.1%+0.1%—————
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.2%——————
SwedenF+0+0.2%-0.7%+0.8%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%———
GhanaL+0-0.2%+0.6%-0.4%—+0.4%————
IranG+0+0.5%+0.3%—+0.8%+0.5%+0.2%———
UruguayH+0-0.1%—+0.5%+0.4%—+0.3%———
New ZealandG+0—-0.5%—-0.4%—————
IraqI+0——+0.6%+0.6%+0.1%————
South AfricaA+0—+1.4%-1.6%-0.2%-0.1%————
CuraçaoE+0—-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%—————
Saudi ArabiaH+0——+0.1%——————
UzbekistanK+0——+0.4%+0.4%—————
GermanyE+0—————-0.5%-0.4%-0.1%—
EcuadorE+0——+0.5%+0.5%-0.1%————
ScotlandC+0——+2.0%+2.0%-1.6%-0.7%-0.3%-0.1%—
BelgiumG+0-0.1%—+0.7%+0.5%——+0.2%+0.1%—
DR CongoK+0————-0.2%-0.1%———
EnglandL+0+0.4%-0.4%——+0.3%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%—
AlgeriaJ+0——+0.7%+0.8%+0.4%—+0.1%+0.1%—
Ivory CoastE+0—+0.1%+0.3%+0.4%-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%——
AustraliaD+0—-0.5%+1.0%+0.4%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%—
JapanF+0—+0.4%-0.5%———-0.2%——
NetherlandsF+0-0.3%+0.2%————-0.1%-0.1%—
SenegalI+0—————-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%—
Czech RepublicA-16—-3.3%-5.5%-8.8%-4.0%-1.4%-0.5%-0.2%—
MoroccoC+0—————-0.2%—+0.1%—
ColombiaK+0———————-0.3%—
CroatiaL+0-0.2%-0.1%+0.6%+0.2%——-0.1%——
ArgentinaJ+0————+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%——
SwitzerlandB+0————-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%-0.2%—
SpainH+0————-0.2%-0.1%—-0.1%-0.2%
United StatesD+0————-0.1%-0.7%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%