Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Mexico30Czech Republic

Elo change: Mexico +16

Pre-game: 72% / 19% / 10%

Czech Republic goals →
012345+
Mexico goals06.9%4.2%1.3%
114.3%8.7%2.6%0.5%
214.7%9.0%2.7%0.6%
310.1%6.1%1.9%
45.2%3.2%1.0%
5+3.2%1.9%0.6%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
MexicoA+16+2.7%-2.7%+3.3%+2.4%+1.3%+0.8%+0.5%
FranceI+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%+0.4%+0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%+0.3%+0.2%
AustriaJ+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+0.2%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0+0.6%-0.3%+0.3%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%
CanadaB+0+0.2%+0.4%
PortugalK+0-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
EgyptG+0-0.4%+0.3%-0.5%+0.1%
South KoreaA+0-2.7%+4.6%-0.2%+1.7%+1.3%+0.6%+0.3%+0.2%
TurkeyD+0+0.1%+0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.2%
SwedenF+0+0.2%-0.7%+0.8%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%
GhanaL+0-0.2%+0.6%-0.4%+0.4%
IranG+0+0.5%+0.3%+0.8%+0.5%+0.2%
UruguayH+0-0.1%+0.5%+0.4%+0.3%
New ZealandG+0-0.5%-0.4%
IraqI+0+0.6%+0.6%+0.1%
South AfricaA+0+1.4%-1.6%-0.2%-0.1%
CuraçaoE+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%
UzbekistanK+0+0.4%+0.4%
GermanyE+0-0.5%-0.4%-0.1%
EcuadorE+0+0.5%+0.5%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0+2.0%+2.0%-1.6%-0.7%-0.3%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.1%+0.7%+0.5%+0.2%+0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.2%-0.1%
EnglandL+0+0.4%-0.4%+0.3%-0.7%-0.3%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.7%+0.8%+0.4%+0.1%+0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.4%-0.1%-0.5%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0-0.5%+1.0%+0.4%-0.5%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
JapanF+0+0.4%-0.5%-0.2%
NetherlandsF+0-0.3%+0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
Czech RepublicA-16-3.3%-5.5%-8.8%-4.0%-1.4%-0.5%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0-0.2%+0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.3%
CroatiaL+0-0.2%-0.1%+0.6%+0.2%-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.1%-0.7%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%