World Cup 2026
South Africa1–0South Korea
Elo: South Africa +48 · South Korea −48
Pre-game odds: South Africa 23% · Draw 26% · South Korea 51%
Notable upset — South Africa won as underdog (Elo gap: 244 pts)
South Africa1–0South Korea
Elo change: South Africa +48
Pre-game: 23% / 26% / 51%
Notable upset — South Africa won as underdog (Elo gap: 244)
| South Korea goals → | |||||||
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ← South Africa goals | 0 | 8.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | ||
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5+ | |||||||
Gold = actual result (1–0).
Click a team name to view their stats.
| Country | Grp | Elo Δ | 1st (grp) | 2nd (grp) | 3rd (adv) | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win ▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netherlands | F | +0 | — | — | — | — | -0.1% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +0.6% | +0.2% |
 Morocco | C | +0 | — | — | — | — | — | +2.0% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +0.2% |
| South Africa | A | +48 | — | +78.3% | — | +78.3% | +29.6% | +8.7% | +2.3% | +0.6% | +0.2% |
 Portugal | K | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.5% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% |
 Canada | B | +0 | — | — | — | — | +10.7% | +3.6% | +1.3% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
 France | I | +0 | -0.4% | +0.4% | — | — | +0.3% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
 Argentina | J | +0 | — | — | — | — | -0.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -0.1% | — |
 United States | D | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.3% | +2.5% | +0.9% | +0.4% | — |
 Germany | E | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.6% | — | +0.2% | +0.4% | — |
 DR Congo | K | +0 | — | — | -1.2% | -1.2% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.1% | — | — |
 Spain | H | +0 | -0.1% | — | — | — | -0.5% | -0.3% | — | -0.1% | — |
 Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | +0 | — | — | +0.9% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.2% | — | — |
 Ivory Coast | E | +0 | — | -0.2% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -0.7% | +0.1% | — | — | — |
 England | L | +0 | -0.1% | +0.1% | — | — | -1.0% | -0.7% | -0.1% | — | — |
 Austria | J | +0 | — | +0.3% | -2.3% | -2.0% | -1.8% | -0.4% | -0.1% | +0.1% | — |
 Ghana | L | +0 | — | -0.6% | +0.5% | — | -0.5% | -0.2% | — | — | — |
 Panama | L | +0 | — | — | -0.1% | -0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Egypt | G | +0 | — | +0.2% | -0.1% | — | +1.2% | +0.6% | +0.3% | — | — |
 Curaçao | E | +0 | — | — | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 New Zealand | G | +0 | — | +0.4% | — | +0.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
 Brazil | C | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.3% | — |
 Jordan | J | +0 | — | — | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | — | — | — | — |
 Iraq | I | +0 | — | — | -5.5% | -5.5% | -1.6% | -0.4% | — | — | — |
 Ecuador | E | +0 | — | +0.2% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -0.8% | -0.4% | -0.2% | — | — |
 Sweden | F | +0 | -0.2% | +0.2% | -2.8% | -2.7% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -0.1% | — | — |
 Australia | D | +0 | — | +0.2% | -3.5% | -3.3% | -1.4% | -0.7% | — | — | — |
 Cabo Verde | H | +0 | — | — | -0.4% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -0.3% | — | — | — |
 Senegal | I | +0 | — | — | -3.5% | -3.5% | -2.8% | -1.0% | -0.2% | — | — |
 Saudi Arabia | H | +0 | — | -0.2% | — | -0.2% | -0.7% | — | — | — | — |
 Turkey | D | +0 | — | — | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | — | — |
 Japan | F | +0 | +0.1% | -0.2% | — | — | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | — |
 Norway | I | +0 | +0.4% | -0.4% | — | — | -0.3% | — | -0.2% | — | — |
 Uzbekistan | K | +0 | — | — | -6.4% | -6.4% | -2.0% | -0.8% | -0.3% | -0.1% | — |
 Uruguay | H | +0 | +0.1% | +0.2% | -2.7% | -2.4% | -2.9% | -1.3% | -0.4% | -0.2% | — |
 Mexico | A | +0 | — | — | — | — | -2.4% | -1.3% | -0.5% | -0.3% | — |
 Croatia | L | +0 | +0.1% | +0.4% | -3.1% | -2.6% | -1.5% | -0.6% | — | — | — |
 Iran | G | +0 | — | — | -1.7% | -1.6% | -0.5% | -0.1% | — | — | — |
 Algeria | J | +0 | — | -0.3% | -8.1% | -8.4% | -5.6% | -2.0% | -0.7% | -0.4% | — |
 Belgium | G | +0 | — | -0.6% | — | -0.5% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.1% | — | — |
 Scotland | C | +0 | — | — | -24.9% | -24.9% | -4.5% | -1.9% | -0.7% | -0.2% | -0.1% |
 Colombia | K | +0 | — | — | — | — | +0.2% | — | — | — | -0.1% |
 Switzerland | B | +0 | — | — | — | — | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.3% | — | -0.1% |
 Paraguay | D | +0 | — | -0.1% | -6.5% | -6.7% | -3.3% | -1.5% | -0.6% | -0.2% | -0.1% |
| South Korea | A | -48 | — | -78.3% | +74.3% | -4.1% | -5.9% | -5.4% | -3.0% | -1.2% | -0.5% |