Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Netherlands31Tunisia

Elo change: Netherlands +8

Pre-game: 74% / 16% / 10%

Tunisia goals →
012345+
Netherlands goals04.1%3.2%1.2%
110.0%7.7%2.9%0.7%
212.1%9.3%3.5%0.9%
39.8%7.5%2.9%0.7%
45.9%4.5%1.7%
5+4.6%3.5%1.3%

Gold = actual result (3–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
NetherlandsF+8+14.2%-13.7%-0.5%+1.3%+1.8%+0.9%+0.7%+0.4%
PortugalK+0+0.4%-0.4%-0.1%+0.1%+0.3%
EcuadorE+0+0.3%+0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.9%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
United StatesD+0+0.2%+0.4%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.1%+0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.1%+0.1%-0.1%+0.1%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.4%+0.6%+0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
IranG+0-0.1%-0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
MoroccoC+0-1.0%-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.4%-0.4%+0.2%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.2%-0.1%+0.4%+0.1%
TurkeyD+0
ParaguayD+0+0.1%+0.1%-0.1%
New ZealandG+0-0.1%-0.1%
ScotlandC+0+0.2%+0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.3%+0.2%-0.1%
TunisiaF-8
IraqI+0
SwitzerlandB+0+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%
SwedenF+0-4.5%+4.5%-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%
SenegalI+0-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%+0.2%
PanamaL+0
South AfricaA+0-0.5%-0.3%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.5%+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0
GhanaL+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.2%-0.2%
UruguayH+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%
South KoreaA+0
DR CongoK+0-0.1%-0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.4%+0.2%+0.7%+0.1%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
EgyptG+0-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.4%+0.4%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
SpainH+0-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%-0.1%
CanadaB+0+0.5%-0.6%-0.1%-0.1%
JapanF+0-9.7%+9.2%+0.5%-0.8%-1.1%-0.9%-0.3%-0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.4%+0.4%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
MexicoA+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%