Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Netherlands3–1Tunisia

Elo change: Netherlands +8

Pre-game: 74% / 16% / 10%

Tunisia goals →
012345+
← Netherlands goals04.1%3.2%1.2%
110.0%7.7%2.9%0.7%
212.1%9.3%3.5%0.9%
39.8%7.5%2.9%0.7%
45.9%4.5%1.7%
5+4.6%3.5%1.3%

Gold = actual result (3–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
NetherlandsF+8+14.2%-13.7%-0.5%—+1.3%+1.8%+0.9%+0.7%+0.4%
PortugalK+0+0.4%-0.4%———-0.1%—+0.1%+0.3%
EcuadorE+0———————+0.3%+0.2%
BrazilC+0————+0.9%+0.3%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
United StatesD+0—————+0.2%+0.4%——
CroatiaL+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%——
ArgentinaJ+0—————-0.1%—+0.2%—
NorwayI+0+0.1%-0.1%——-0.2%————
FranceI+0-0.1%+0.1%——-0.1%+0.1%—-0.2%—
AustriaJ+0—-0.4%+0.6%+0.1%-0.2%—-0.1%——
IranG+0—-0.1%—-0.2%—+0.2%+0.2%——
MoroccoC+0————-1.0%-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%—
Cabo VerdeH+0—-0.4%—-0.4%+0.2%-0.1%———
BelgiumG+0+0.2%—-0.1%—+0.4%+0.1%———
TurkeyD+0—————————
ParaguayD+0————+0.1%+0.1%-0.1%——
New ZealandG+0——-0.1%—-0.1%————
ScotlandC+0——+0.2%+0.2%—————
Ivory CoastE+0————+0.3%—+0.2%-0.1%—
TunisiaF-8—————————
IraqI+0—————————
SwitzerlandB+0—————+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%—
SwedenF+0-4.5%+4.5%——-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%——
SenegalI+0——-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%—+0.2%——
PanamaL+0—————————
South AfricaA+0————-0.5%-0.3%———
Saudi ArabiaH+0—+0.5%—+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0—————————
GhanaL+0+0.2%-0.2%———-0.2%———
AustraliaD+0————+0.2%—-0.2%——
UruguayH+0————+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%——
South KoreaA+0—————————
DR CongoK+0——-0.1%—-0.2%————
GermanyE+0—————+0.2%———
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.4%+0.2%+0.7%+0.1%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%—
EgyptG+0-0.1%———-0.4%—-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.4%+0.4%————+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
SpainH+0—————-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%-0.1%
CanadaB+0————+0.5%-0.6%—-0.1%-0.1%
JapanF+0-9.7%+9.2%+0.5%—-0.8%-1.1%-0.9%-0.3%-0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.4%+0.4%——+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%—-0.2%
MexicoA+0——————-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%