Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

England20Panama

Elo change: England +10

Pre-game: 63% / 21% / 16%

Panama goals →
012345+
England goals06.1%5.2%2.2%0.6%
111.8%10.1%4.3%1.2%
211.5%9.8%4.2%1.2%
37.5%6.4%2.7%0.8%
43.6%3.1%1.3%
5+2.0%1.7%0.7%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
EnglandL+10+23.3%-23.1%-0.2%+3.6%+3.3%+1.7%+1.0%+0.4%
PortugalK+0+2.7%+1.7%+0.7%+0.3%+0.3%
FranceI+0-0.4%-0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
NetherlandsF+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.3%+0.6%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
NorwayI+0-0.5%
IranG+0+0.1%+0.1%-0.3%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
SwedenF+0+0.4%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
SenegalI+0-1.0%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%
CanadaB+0-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.7%-0.2%
PanamaL-10-1.1%-1.1%-0.3%-0.1%
MexicoA+0-1.6%-0.5%-0.3%
ParaguayD+0-0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0
GhanaL+0-8.7%+8.9%-0.2%-1.9%-1.0%-0.2%
SpainH+0+0.5%+0.5%+0.4%
JapanF+0+0.1%+0.3%-0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.6%+0.2%+0.7%-0.2%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0+1.5%+0.8%+0.4%
BelgiumG+0-0.1%-0.1%
DR CongoK+0+0.1%+0.2%-2.2%-0.9%-0.3%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.5%-0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.2%-0.5%
CroatiaL+0-14.6%+14.2%+0.4%-2.2%-1.1%-0.6%-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
AustriaJ+0-0.6%+0.4%-0.1%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.1%-0.1%-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%