Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

England2–0Panama

Elo change: England +10

Pre-game: 63% / 21% / 16%

Panama goals →
012345+
← England goals06.1%5.2%2.2%0.6%
111.8%10.1%4.3%1.2%
211.5%9.8%4.2%1.2%
37.5%6.4%2.7%0.8%
43.6%3.1%1.3%
5+2.0%1.7%0.7%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
EnglandL+10+23.3%-23.1%-0.2%—+3.6%+3.3%+1.7%+1.0%+0.4%
PortugalK+0————+2.7%+1.7%+0.7%+0.3%+0.3%
FranceI+0————-0.4%-0.2%—+0.3%+0.2%
NetherlandsF+0————+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
United StatesD+0————+0.3%+0.6%+0.4%+0.3%+0.2%
AustraliaD+0————+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
NorwayI+0——————-0.5%——
IranG+0——+0.1%+0.1%-0.3%-0.1%———
South KoreaA+0——+0.2%+0.2%—+0.1%+0.2%——
SwedenF+0————+0.4%+0.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0————-0.3%-0.1%+0.1%——
SenegalI+0————-1.0%-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%—
CanadaB+0————-0.5%-0.3%-0.1%——
EcuadorE+0—————-0.7%-0.2%——
PanamaL-10——-1.1%-1.1%-0.3%-0.1%———
MexicoA+0—————-1.6%-0.5%-0.3%—
ParaguayD+0————-0.1%————
South AfricaA+0————+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%——
Cabo VerdeH+0—————————
GhanaL+0-8.7%+8.9%-0.2%—-1.9%-1.0%-0.2%——
SpainH+0————+0.5%+0.5%+0.4%——
JapanF+0————+0.1%+0.3%—-0.1%—
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.6%+0.2%+0.7%-0.2%-0.2%———
ColombiaK+0————+1.5%+0.8%+0.4%——
BelgiumG+0—————-0.1%—-0.1%—
DR CongoK+0——+0.1%+0.2%-2.2%-0.9%-0.3%-0.1%—
SwitzerlandB+0————+0.5%——-0.2%—
EgyptG+0————-0.2%-0.5%———
CroatiaL+0-14.6%+14.2%+0.4%—-2.2%-1.1%-0.6%-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0——————-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0————-0.2%-0.3%-0.2%—-0.1%
AustriaJ+0—-0.6%+0.4%-0.1%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
BrazilC+0————-0.1%-0.1%-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%
GermanyE+0————+0.1%—-0.2%-0.2%-0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0————+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%-0.5%-0.3%