Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Croatia2–1Ghana

Elo change: Croatia +9

Pre-game: 58% / 23% / 19%

Ghana goals →
012345+
← Croatia goals07.0%6.2%2.8%0.8%
112.3%11.0%4.9%1.5%
210.9%9.8%4.4%1.3%
36.4%5.8%2.6%0.8%
42.8%2.5%1.1%
5+1.4%1.3%0.6%

Gold = actual result (2–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
CroatiaL+9—+47.8%-30.2%+17.6%+8.2%+1.9%+2.0%+1.0%+0.5%
ColombiaK+0+0.2%-0.2%——+5.4%+3.1%+1.2%+0.6%+0.3%
GermanyE+0————-0.2%——+0.2%+0.2%
SwedenF+0————-0.2%—+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
BrazilC+0————+0.1%-0.2%—+0.1%—
SwitzerlandB+0————-0.2%+0.8%+0.4%+0.1%—
SenegalI+0—————-0.3%+0.3%——
BelgiumG+0————-0.2%-0.2%———
EcuadorE+0————-0.1%—-0.2%-0.2%—
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.2%-0.4%-0.6%+0.2%————
DR CongoK+0——+0.1%+0.1%—————
CanadaB+0—————+0.3%———
EgyptG+0————+0.2%+0.3%———
Ivory CoastE+0—————+0.1%———
ArgentinaJ+0————+0.2%—+0.2%——
South AfricaA+0—————-0.4%-0.1%——
ParaguayD+0————+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0————-0.3%-0.2%———
Cabo VerdeH+0————-0.2%————
ScotlandC+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
United StatesD+0————+0.3%-0.2%+0.1%——
JordanJ+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
UzbekistanK+0—————————
MoroccoC+0————+0.1%+0.3%———
GhanaL-9-0.5%-47.3%+47.8%—-1.6%+0.9%———
MexicoA+0—————+0.1%—+0.2%—
JapanF+0————-0.1%—-0.2%——
IranG+0——-2.5%-2.5%-1.0%————
AustriaJ+0—+0.2%-3.0%-2.8%-0.7%-0.5%-0.2%——
NorwayI+0—————+0.2%———
EnglandL+0+0.5%-0.5%————-0.1%——
AustraliaD+0————-0.2%-0.1%—-0.2%—
South KoreaA+0——-11.4%-11.4%-5.1%-2.1%-0.7%-0.3%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0————-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%—-0.2%
FranceI+0————+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0————-0.2%-1.3%-1.5%-0.9%-0.4%
PortugalK+0-0.2%+0.3%——-4.8%-2.2%-1.4%-0.9%-0.5%